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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 20.1

Home Win Probability

Nevada 9%

Market (consensus)

Nevada +22.5

Edge: Nevada +22.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
17731441
NevadaNevada
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-170-240-277-3414-41
NevadaFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSPUNT38ydTD1065ydPUNT413ydFG749ydTO68ydTD331ydPUNT619ydPUNT512ydPUNT34ydTD1175ydPUNT619ydPUNT630ydEND1-5ydMISS964ydDOWNS861ydPUNT620ydDOWNS540ydFG742ydTD275ydTO522ydTD762ydTO950ydTD497ydTD1075ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Nevada
StatisticFresno StateNevada
Passing29-4216-38
Pass Yards361243
Rush Yards163146
Total Yards524389
Turnovers03
3rd Down8-158-18
Penalties3-458-60
Possession34:2325:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
29/42, 361 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jordan Mims
19 CAR, 156 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Cropper
7 REC, 136 YDS
defense
David Perales
2 TFL, 1 PD
Nevada
passing
Nate Cox
16/38, 243 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Toa Taua
17 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Dalevon Campbell
3 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Bentlee Sanders
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 7 yds to the Nevad 26

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 8 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Mac Dalena

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 14 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.60

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 28 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 3 Jordan Mims fumbled, recovered by FrsSt

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Moreno-Cropper run for 2 yds to the Nevad 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jake Haener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Toa Taua run for 21 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Taua,Toa rush right for 0 yards to the Nevada46 (Bailey,Levelle) PENALTY Nevada Holding (World,Isaiah) 10 yards from Nevada46 to Nevada36. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Cox run for 2 yds to the Nevad 38

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jamaal Bell run for 5 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +4.29

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 45 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Nevad 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Zane Pope

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Dylan Lynch 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nate Cox run for 6 yds to the Nevad 29

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Taua,Toa rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Nevada31 (Johnson,Isaiah) PENALTY Nevada Illegal Shift 5 yards from Nevada29 to Nevada24. NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the Nevad 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.91

Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 11 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.58

Nate Cox sacked by David Perales for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 31 Nate Cox fumbled, recovered by FrsSt , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the Nevad 27

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Haener,Jake pass incomplete short left to Jones,Ty PENALTY Nevada Offside (Togiola,Dwight) 5 yards from Nevada27 to Nevada22. NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.81

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 22 yds for a TD NEVADA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined, (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 60 yds , Bentlee Sanders return for 18 yds to the NEVADA 47 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Drue Watts) to the Nevad 10

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Taua,Toa rush left for 9 yards gain to the Nevada19 (Williams,Evan; Langley,Malachi) PENALTY Nevada Holding (Starck,Grant) 5 yards from Nevada10 to Nevada05. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 4

2nd & 16Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Toa Taua run for 11 yds to the Nevad 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Cox run for 5 yds to the Nevad 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 6 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik Brooks

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Haener sacked by Dwight Togiola for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dyson Frank

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Malik Sherrod

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jake Haener pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 1 yd to the Nevad 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.44

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 17 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Nevad 18

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 10 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 5 yds to the Nevad 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 3 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Nate Cox run for 14 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jamaal Bell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 44

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jacob Munro

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 11 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 24 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Nevad 43

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.61

Jake Haener sacked by Thomas Witte for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 49

3rd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for no gain to the Nevad 13

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Cox run for 5 yds to the Nevad 8 Nate Cox fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Nate Cox

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 62 yds , Nikko Remigio return for 14 yds to the FrsSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 12 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Jordan Mims run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Nevad 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.60

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 22 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Ty Jones

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Dylan Lynch 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Nevada Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Nevada37 to Nevada32. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.43

Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 41 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 10 yds to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 6 yds to the FrsSt 20

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.46

Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik Brooks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.94

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 26 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.41

Jake Haener sacked by Micah Lilo for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 39

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bentlee Sanders at the Nevad 19

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.03

Toa Taua run for 37 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.00

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 27 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the Nevad 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik Brooks

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 yds

Dylan Lynch 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +6.53

Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 73 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 2 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 6 yds to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Nate Cox run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Nate Cox pass complete to Cameron Zeidler for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 7 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 9 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 4 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the Nevad 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.59

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 8 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 11 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Gavriel Lightfoot) to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 14 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jamaal Bell run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 25 Jamaal Bell fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Andrew Madrigal

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

4th & 17Interception0 ydsPPA -1.56

Nate Cox pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+82 ydsPPA +4.40

Jordan Mims run for 82 yds to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the Nevad 10

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Malik Sherrod run for 9 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jake Haener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

3rd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Nate Cox run for 21 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 1 yd to the Nevad 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.93

Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 17 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Toa Taua run for no gain to the FrsSt 28

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.98

Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 28 yds for a TD FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Mac Dalena) declined, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

L. Fife takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

L. Fife takes a knee

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

L. Fife takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
33 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
38%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
71%
7 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play