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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 9.2

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 75%

Market (consensus)

Fresno State -10.5

Edge: San Diego State +10.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
7147028
Fresno StateFresno State
3771532

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-1410-2110-2817-2832-28
Fresno StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSSDSFSSDSFSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSFSSDSFG1358ydTD982ydPUNT3-13ydTD674ydTD975ydTO212ydDOWNS49ydTD981ydPUNT411ydEND625ydTO848ydTO649ydTD880ydPUNT621ydTD210ydDOWNS842ydTO951ydTO3-10ydMISS40ydPUNT35ydTD1180ydTD137ydTO10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Fresno State
StatisticSan Diego StateFresno State
Passing19-2534-45
Pass Yards291394
Rush Yards158-3
Total Yards449391
Turnovers52
3rd Down6-119-15
Penalties8-656-65
Possession29:0130:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
19/24, 291 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jalen Mayden
8 CAR, 43 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kenan Christon
2 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
34/45, 394 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jordan Mims
13 CAR, 32 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zane Pope
10 REC, 143 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Jake Haener sacked by Michael Shawcroft and Jonah Tavai for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 16 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MIMS, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the FST47 (TAVAI, Justus;MCMORRIS, Patrick). PENALTY FST Holding on SPOMER, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the FST42 to the FST32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 5 yds to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.63

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 21 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the SDSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.06

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 12 yds to the SDSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the SDSt 21

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jake Haener run for 4 yds to the SDSt 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Abraham Montano 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 16

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 17

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.83

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 23 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

MAYDEN, Jalen pass to the left incomplete intended for RUDOLPH, Jay thrown to the FST35. PENALTY SDS Holding on SIMMONS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the FST39 to the FST49. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.24

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 21 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Jalen Mayden run for 28 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.30

Jake Haener sacked by Justus Tavai and Jonah Tavai for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 13Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Haener sacked by Jonah Tavai and Caden McDonald for a loss of 10 yards to the FrsSt 20

4th & 23Punt-2 yds

Carson King punt for 42 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 18 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyrell Shavers) to the SDSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jordan Byrd for no gain to the SDSt 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 7 yds to the SDSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 42

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+32 ydsPPA +2.56

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 32 yds Tyrell Shavers fumbled, recovered by SDSt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 26 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.60

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 29 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Haener pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 3 yds to the SDSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 10 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Malik Sherrod run for 12 yds to the SDSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 21

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.67

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 21 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 28 Jordan Byrd fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Leonard Payne Jr.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 29

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Jordan Mims run for 10 yds to the SDSt 19

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the SDSt 19

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.69

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the SDSt 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSt 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 7 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.17

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 49 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty0 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the FrsSt 2

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 10 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jake Haener run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.56

Jake Haener sacked by Caden McDonald and Zyrus Fiaseu for a loss of 7 yards to the FrsSt 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 32 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for no gain to the SDSt 36 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cedarious Barfield) to the SDSt 22

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Chance Bell run for 15 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Chance Bell for 13 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 15 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 25Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 48

2nd & 30Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kneel down by MAYDEN, Jalen at SDS47 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 30End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jordan Byrd run for 8 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.16

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Martin Blake for 29 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Chance Bell run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 36

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Bell run for no gain to the FrsSt 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.06

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Josh Simmons) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 16 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 9 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.22

Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 14 yds to the SDSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds to the SDSt 6

2nd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -4.90

Jake Haener pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 6 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSt 26

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSt 26

4th & 4Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.90

Jack Browning run for 33 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Face mask (10 yards) (David Perales) to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 7

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds for a TD, (Jarrett Reeser KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offsides (Keshawn Banks) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.51

Jake Haener sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 33

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 9 yds to the SDSt 24

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

HAENER, Jake pass to the right incomplete intended for MIMS, Jordan thrown to the SDS20; QB hurried by TAVAI, Jonah. PENALTY FST Holding on SPOMER, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the SDS24 to the SDS34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.76

Jake Haener sacked by Garret Fountain for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSt 44

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for no gain

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the SDSt 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 6 yds to the SDSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (David Perales) to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Alama Uluave) to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 9 yds to the FrsSt 29

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.06

Chance Bell run for no gain to the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.34

Jake Haener sacked by Michael Shawcroft for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 4 yds to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.29

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 12 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the SDSt 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the SDSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.39

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 16 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.38

Jake Haener pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 17

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 15

3rd & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Mayden sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+28 yds

Abraham Montano 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSt 23

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the SDSt 18

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSt 20

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SDSt 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 11 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 4 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offsides (Keshawn Banks) to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 20 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offsides (Caden McDonald) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 6 yds to the SDSt 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds to the SDSt 9

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds to the SDSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Haener pass to Zane Pope for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 37 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 29 yds , Mark Redman return for no gain to the SDSt 36

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play