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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 12.7

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 17%

Market (consensus)

New Mexico +9.5

Edge: Fresno State -9.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
103141441
New MexicoNew Mexico
33309

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-106-136-279-349-41
New MexicoFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSNMFSFG1267ydFG518ydTD1375ydPUNT620ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT33ydPUNT623ydFG1045ydFG1255ydPUNT47ydTD175ydPUNT38ydTD864ydPUNT31ydTO35ydFG43ydTD867ydPUNT50ydTD1070ydPUNT418ydEND516yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and New Mexico
StatisticFresno StateNew Mexico
Passing19-299-17
Pass Yards22551
Rush Yards28587
Total Yards510138
Turnovers10
3rd Down10-162-12
Penalties1-54-39
Possession36:5723:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Logan Fife
19/29, 225 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Mims
26 CAR, 165 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Cropper
9 REC, 158 YDS, 1 TD
defense
New Mexico
passing
Justin Holaday
8/16, 37 YDS
rushing
Justin Holaday
11 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Donald Jones
1 REC, 15 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

2nd & 6Uncategorized+9 yds

to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 1 yd to the NMex 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 yds

Abraham Montano 26 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Logan Fife pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Justin Holaday run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Justin Holaday pass complete to Luke Wysong for 9 yds to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.03

Sherod White run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Justin Holaday run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 12

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.69

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 18 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 18 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 35

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 10 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the NMex 18

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the NMex 11

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 8Penalty0 yds

FIFE, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for POPE, Zane thrown to the UNM0, clock 07:26. PENALTY UNM Holding on WILSON, Ronald enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UNM8 to the UNM4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the NMex 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Logan Fife run for 2 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Justin Holaday pass complete to Sherod White for 4 yds to the NMex 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Justin Holaday run for 1 yd to the NMex 26

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Justin Holaday run for 10 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Holaday pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the NMex 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds , Luke Wysong returns for no gain to the NMex 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Holaday run for 3 yds to the NMex 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Justin Harris) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 35

4th & 1Punt+38 yds

Carson King punt for 55 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 38 yds to the NMex 48

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Christian Washington run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Austin Erickson run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Justin Holaday sacked by Andres Fox for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 16Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.26

Justin Holaday run for 35 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Christian Washington run for no gain to the FrsSt 2

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Justin Holaday run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 6

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Holaday sacked by Johnny Hudson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 24 yd FG GOOD

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

FIFE, Logan pass to the left incomplete intended for MORENO-CROPPER, Jalen broken up by LEWIS, Jer'Marius at the FST45, clock 07:26. PENALTY FST Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MIMS, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the FST31 to the FST26 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Fife pass complete to Bula Schmidt for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Syaire Riley) to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 10 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Logan Fife pass complete to Ty Jones for 6 yds to the NMex 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the NMex 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 yds

Abraham Montano 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Nathaniel Jones run for 14 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 40

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.41

Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 37

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NMex 22

3rd & 24Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Nathaniel Jones run for 7 yds to the NMex 29

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 75 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the NMex 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the NMex 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Holaday run for 2 yds to the NMex 33

4th & 2Punt+14 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 60 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 14 yds to the FrsSt 47 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Syaire Riley) to the FrsSt 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 10 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the NMex 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the NMex 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Logan Fife run for 3 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 5 yds to the NMex 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the NMex 30

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.26

Logan Fife run for 30 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 58 yds , Luke Wysong return for 10 yds to the NMex 17

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Christian Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception-11 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Holaday pass complete to Justin Holaday for a loss of 11 yards to the NMex 4

3rd & 23Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.07

Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 14 yds to the NMex 18

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 57 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.50

Logan Fife pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nathaniel Jones run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Holaday pass complete to Elijah Queen for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 16

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

George Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds , Nikko Remigio return for 33 yds to the FrsSt 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.43

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordan Mims run for 34 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the NMex 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Justin Holaday pass complete to Elijah Queen for 15 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.74

Justin Holaday sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. for a loss of 15 yards to the NMex 25

4th & 25Punt+7 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 52 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 7 yds to the FrsSt 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the NMex 41

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the NMex 31

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Holaday pass complete to Duece Jones for 15 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Justin Holaday pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the NMex 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Holaday pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 18

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Jaylen Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 28

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
59%
29 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
17 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th