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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado State by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 53%

Market (consensus)

Colorado State -6

Edge: Hawai'i +6 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Hawai'iHawai'i
3100013
Colorado StateColorado State
037717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-33-33-1010-1317-13
Colorado StateHawai'i

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HAWCSHAWCSHAWCSHAWCSHAWCSHAWCSHAWCSHAWCSHAWFG1165ydDOWNS772ydPUNT621ydFG742ydTD1076ydDOWNS1142ydFG1060ydTD1075ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1048ydPUNT27ydPUNT33ydPUNT420ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-5ydTD1380ydTO414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Hawai'i and Colorado State
StatisticHawai'iColorado State
Passing18-3017-24
Pass Yards173177
Rush Yards84209
Total Yards257386
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-123-12
Penalties4-235-50
Possession24:1535:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Hawai'i
passing
Brayden Schager
18/30, 173 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dedrick Parson
15 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Zion Bowens
2 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Colorado State
passing
Clay Millen
17/24, 177 YDS
rushing
Avery Morrow
26 CAR, 147 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Justus Ross-Simmons
4 REC, 64 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 24 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Dedrick Parson run for 9 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Brayden Schager run for 3 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Dedrick Parson run for 9 yds to the ColSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.38

Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 6 yds to the ColSt 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 5 yds to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 15

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 5 yds to the ColSt 10

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matthew Shipley 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Peter Montini run for 7 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Clay Millen pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 9 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MILLEN, Clay pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to BROWN, Louis caught at the CSU43 and advanced to the CSU44 (HAUSMAN, Malik). PENALTY CSU Holding on GARDNER, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the CSU41 to the CSU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+67 ydsPPA +5.44

Avery Morrow run for 67 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the Hawa 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Clay Millen pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Clay Millen pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 5

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dior Scott run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24

2nd & 9Penalty-19 yds

SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the left complete for 19 yards to BOWENS, Zion caught at the HAW43 and advanced to the HAW43 (GUZMAN, Brandon). PENALTY HAW Face mask on MANNING, Ilm enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the HAW24 to the HAW12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.06

Brayden Schager run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 10

3rd & 23Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.11

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 14 yds to the Hawa 24

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

SHIPLEY, Matthew punt 44 yards to the CSU48, HORTON, Tory return 8 yards to the HAW44 (KING, Devyn;SEMEATU, Sonny), clock 03:51. PENALTY CSU Personal Foul on WILLIAMS, Jordan enforced 15 yards from the HAW8 to the HAW23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the ColSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 20 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Clay Millen run for 8 yds to the Hawa 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.13

Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 6 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the Hawa 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Clay Millen pass complete to Louis Brown for 3 yds to the Hawa 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Clay Millen pass complete to Louis Brown for 4 yds to the Hawa 21

4th & 2Field Goal Good+38 yds

Michael Boyle 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Henry Katleman kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Perdue return for 24 yds to the Hawa 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 6 yds to the Hawa 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 8 yds to the Hawa 44

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.01

Tylan Hines run for 18 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.48

Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 18 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 12 yds to the ColSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 6 yds to the ColSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the ColSt 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clay Millen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Clay Millen run for 8 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Clay Millen run for 2 yds to the ColSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 3 yds to the ColSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.44

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 11 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Clay Millen run for 12 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 35

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Clay Millen run for 2 yds to the Hawa 33

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.82

Clay Millen pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.09

Dedrick Parson run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.16

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 26 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 7 yds to the ColSt 17

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.16

Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 3 yds to the ColSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+23 yds

Matthew Shipley 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.00

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 31 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Clay Millen pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 13 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.20

Avery Morrow run for 14 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the Hawa 11

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Avery Morrow run for 9 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the Hawa 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Clay Millen run for 1 yd to the Hawa 2

4th & 2Penalty0 yds

MILLEN, Clay pass to the right incomplete intended for HORTON, Tory thrown to the HAW0, clock 09:26. PENALTY HAW Offsides on KAHAHAWAI-WELCH, Jonah enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the HAW2 to the HAW1 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the right complete for 17 yards to WALTHALL, Jalen caught at the HAW38 and advanced to the HAW42 (GUZMAN, Brandon;BLACKBURN, Henry). PENALTY HAW Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HOPP, Austin enforced 5 yards from the HAW25 to the HAW20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Peter Montini run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Clay Millen pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 9 yds to the ColSt 48

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Avery Morrow run for 3 yds to the Hawa 49

4th & 1Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.98

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 19 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

MORROW, Avery rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the HAW25 (LEE, Leonard). PENALTY CSU Holding on ARKIN, Tanner enforced 10 yards from the HAW26 to the HAW36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.78

Avery Morrow run for 17 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Clay Millen run for 8 yds to the Hawa 11

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the Hawa 11

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the Hawa 10

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.03

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the Hawa 10

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

PARSON, Dedrick rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW8 (WILSON, Chase). PENALTY CSU Holding on TUIOTI, Teivis enforced 10 yards from the HAW10 to the HAW20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HAW fumbled snap, QB Keeper SCHAGER, Brayden rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards, SCHAGER, Brayden fumbled at HAW15 , recovered by HAW SCHAGER, Brayden at the HAW15, returned 0 yards to the HAW15, End of Play. PENALTY Before the snap, HAW False Start enforced 5 yards from the HAW15 to the HAW10, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with -5 yards on the play. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 15

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 17

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the ColSt 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Clay Millen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 27 yds , returns for no gain to the Hawa 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 18 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the ColSt 49

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the ColSt 8

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 5

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 4 yds to the ColSt 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Clay Millen pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the ColSt 47

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Brayden Schager run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 48 Brayden Schager fumbled, recovered by Hawa Tylan Hines

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 14 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 1 yd to the ColSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.78

Clay Millen run for 9 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the ColSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Clay Millen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.50

Clay Millen pass complete to Louis Brown for 12 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the Hawa 36

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Jacob Gardner) to the Hawa 41

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Clay Millen run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Clay Millen pass complete to Louis Brown for 5 yds to the Hawa 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 13 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the Hawa 16

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Louis Brown run for 6 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Avery Morrow run for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 6 yds to the Hawa 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 3 yds to the Hawa 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 5 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.14

Brayden Schager pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play