Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 9, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 16.1

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 83%

Market (consensus)

San Diego State -23.5

Edge: Hawai'i +23.5 (7.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Hawai'iHawai'i
007714
San Diego StateSan Diego State
037616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401410-010-713-716-14
San Diego StateHawai'i

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWPUNT825ydPUNT623ydPUNT734ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydPUNT937ydPUNT1252ydPUNT927ydPUNT34ydFG736ydEND1-1ydTD765ydTD576ydPUNT719ydPUNT843ydFG1167ydPUNT36ydMISS960ydTD780ydFG756ydTO118yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Hawai'i and San Diego State
StatisticHawai'iSan Diego State
Passing20-3424-36
Pass Yards196322
Rush Yards14695
Total Yards342417
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-107-16
Penalties2-114-33
Possession23:5036:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Hawai'i
passing
Brayden Schager
20/34, 196 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dedrick Parson
14 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zion Bowens
9 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
24/36, 322 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chance Bell
7 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Tyrell Shavers
8 REC, 149 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 61 yds , Chuuky Hines return for 19 yds to the Hawa 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 2 yds to the Hawa 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.65

Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 8 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 40

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the Hawa 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for no gain to the Hawa 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 47 yds, downed at the SDSt 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 6

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jordan Byrd run for 5 yds to the SDSt 11

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 9 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 10 yds to the SDSt 28

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 28

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Jack Browning punt for 53 yds , Nicholas Cenacle returns for 2 yds to the Hawa 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 4 yds to the Hawa 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 8 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 5 yds to the Hawa 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 9 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 8 yds to the SDSt 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the SDSt 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 4 yds to the SDSt 16

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 16

3rd & 6Penalty-12 yds

MAYDEN, Jalen pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to REDMAN, Mark caught at the SDS23 and advanced to the SDS28 (PAVIHI, Penei). PENALTY SDS Holding on SIMMONS, Josh enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the SDS16 to the SDS8 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jordan Byrd run for 4 yds to the SDSt 12

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Jack Browning punt for 45 yds , Nicholas Cenacle returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the SDSt 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 29

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 9 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Chance Bell run for 12 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Chance Bell run for 6 yds to the Hawa 43

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the Hawa 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nicholas Cenacle at the Hawa 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Dedrick Parson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 17

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offsides (Justus Tavai) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the Hawa 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Brayden Schager run for 9 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 15 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.81

Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 40

2nd & 16Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 1 yd to the SDSt 39

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SDSt 11

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSt 12

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds to the SDSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the SDSt 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.94

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 15 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.05

Jalen Mayden sacked by Tariq Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSt 25

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 49 yds , Nicholas Cenacle returns for no gain to the Hawa 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 51 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 10 yds to the SDSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 14 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 11 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Jack Browning 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 60 yds , Chuuky Hines return for 17 yds to the Hawa 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

[NH] Kneel down by SCHAGER, Brayden at HAW21 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Byrd run for 7 yds to the SDSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Jordan Byrd run for 5 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 18 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Chance Bell run for 16 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the Hawa 15

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 15 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 58 yds , Chuuky Hines return for 17 yds to the Hawa 24

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the Hawa 32

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Stephan Bernal-Wendt) to the Hawa 35

2nd & 12Penalty0 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (Stephan Bernal-Wendt) declined

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +7.02

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 66 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 8 yds to the SDSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.26

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 25 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Block below the waist on SIMMONS, Josh enforced (Josh Simmons) to the SDSt 42

2nd & 23Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.52

Jalen Mayden sacked by John Tuitupou for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 35

3rd & 30Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenan Christon run for 9 yds to the SDSt 44

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nicholas Cenacle at the Hawa 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 10 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 9 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 9 yds to the Hawa 45

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.58

Dedrick Parson run for 15 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 44

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Cam Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 17

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SDSt 21

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Jalen Mayden run for 9 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Chance Bell run for 13 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 6 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson) to the SDSt 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.77

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 41 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the Hawa 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jack Browning 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 65 yds , Chuuky Hines return for 20 yds to the Hawa 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 6 yds to the Hawa 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSt 26

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SDSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.97

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Kenan Christon) to the SDSt 45

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSt 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.49

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 42 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 14

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the Hawa 14

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Jack Browning 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.29

Tylan Hines run for 27 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 11 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 12 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the SDSt 22

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.84

Dedrick Parson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 14 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 4 yds to the Hawa 47

2nd & 6Penalty+6 yds

MAYDEN, Jalen pass up the middle incomplete intended for SHAVERS, Tyrell thrown to the HAW42. PENALTY HAW Pass Interference on MANUMA, Peter enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the HAW41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 6 yds to the Hawa 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 7 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 3 yds to the Hawa 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.50

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 16 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jack Browning 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 60 yds , Chuuky Hines return for 20 yds to the Hawa 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -0.92

Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 18 yds Zion Bowens fumbled, recovered by SDSt Cooper McDonald

Situational Analysis

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play