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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 10.5

Home Win Probability

Boise State 71%

Market (consensus)

Boise State -10.5

Edge: Fresno State +10.5 (0.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
7103020
Boise StateBoise State
71371340

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-713-1420-1720-2027-2030-2033-2040-20
Boise StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSPUNT35ydTD654ydPUNT418ydTO31ydTD411ydFG1568ydTO511ydFG45ydTD1272ydTD378ydFG1466ydPUNT35ydFG840ydPUNT419ydPUNT35ydTD1163ydPUNT3-11ydFG836ydTO10ydFG637ydPUNT36ydTD1162yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Boise State
StatisticFresno StateBoise State
Passing14-2610-18
Pass Yards134127
Rush Yards99316
Total Yards233443
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-1510-18
Penalties1-53-30
Possession25:2534:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Logan Fife
14/25, 134 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jordan Mims
21 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Raymond Pauwels Jr.
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Boise State
passing
Taylen Green
10/18, 127 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
George Holani
17 CAR, 157 YDS
receiving
Riley Smith
2 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 22

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 2 yds Nikko Remigio fumbled, recovered by FrsSt

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the FrsSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 24 yds, downed at the BoiSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 17 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.39

George Holani run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Taylen Green run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Mims for 14 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 8

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Taylen Green run for no gain to the BoiSt 8

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.29

Taylen Green pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylen Henderson run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 9

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 5

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.77

run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Logan Fife run for 1 yd for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 62 yds , Cole Wright return for 22 yds to the BoiSt 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.66

Taylen Green pass complete to Shea Whiting for no gain fumbled, forced by Cale Sanders Jr., recovered by BoiSt

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.68

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 25 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 9 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

George Holani run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

George Holani run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Jonah Dalmas 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+63 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 63 yds , Nikko Remigio return for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 1 Nikko Remigio fumbled, recovered by FrsSt

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 7

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Logan Fife run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.11

Logan Fife pass intercepted

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Jonah Dalmas 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 58 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 21 yds to the FrsSt 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.33

run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Logan Fife sacked by Demitri Washington and Divine Obichere for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.96

Logan Fife pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 21 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 16 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 5

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Nikko Remigio run for 5 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 62 yds , Cole Wright return for 19 yds to the BoiSt 22

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.67

George Holani run for 59 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.42

Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 63 yds , Nikko Remigio return for 15 yds to the FrsSt 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 13 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Logan Fife pass complete to Elijah Gates for 5 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Logan Fife pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 15 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Mims for no gain to the BoiSt 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Abraham Montano 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 32

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Taylen Green sacked by David Perales and Johnny Hudson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 30

4th & 5Punt+36 yds

Will Ferrin punt for 36 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 36 yds to the BOISEST 34 BOISE ST Penalty, Kick Catch Interference enforced at the deadball spot for (TEAM) to the BoiSt 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.71

Logan Fife pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 29 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Logan Fife pass complete to Jordan Mims for no gain to the BoiSt 11

4th & 9Field Goal Good+29 yds

Abraham Montano 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 65 yds , Cole Wright return for 24 yds to the BoiSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 13 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 1 yd to the BoiSt 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Ferrin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Logan Fife run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 36 yds, fair catch by George Holani at the BoiSt 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.75

George Holani run for 18 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

George Holani run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.28

Taylen Green run for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 13 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

George Holani run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

George Holani run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 5

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Logan Fife sacked by Ezekiel Noa for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for no gain to the FrsSt 17

3rd & 18Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 14

4th & 21Punt+8 yds

Carson King punt for 46 yds , George Holani returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Ashton Jeanty run for 19 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Will Farrar) to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 13Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Taylen Green sacked by Bralyn Lux for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

George Holani run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jonah Dalmas 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Logan Fife pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the FrsSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.96

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 35 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

GREEN, Taylen pass to the left incomplete intended for CRAVENS, Jackson broken up by GATES, Elijah at the FST0. PENALTY BOI Holding on HOLANI, George enforced 10 yards from the FST6 to the FST16. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.46

George Holani run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Jonah Dalmas 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 64 yds , Nikko Remigio return for 11 yds to the FrsSt 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Logan Fife pass complete to Tre Watson for 6 yds to the FrsSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.06

Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Elelyon Noa run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 12

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.03

Ashton Jeanty 12 Yd Run (Jonah Dalmas Kick)

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play