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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stony Brook by 11.4

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 21%

Market (consensus)

Massachusetts -1

Edge: Stony Brook +1 (12.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stony Brook
03003
MassachusettsMassachusetts
7103020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-017-017-320-3
MassachusettsStony Brook

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SBMASMASSBMASSBSBMASSBMASSBMASSBMASSBMASSBMASSBMASSBMASPUNT926ydPUNT951ydTD1070ydPUNT729ydPUNT3-8ydTD611ydTO310ydFG1049ydFG1049ydMISS515ydPUNT38ydPUNT418ydMISS760ydTO722ydPUNT32ydFG621ydPUNT527ydPUNT314ydPUNT415ydPUNT619ydDOWNS1246ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stony Brook and Massachusetts
StatisticStony BrookMassachusetts
Passing16-3412-19
Pass Yards206105
Rush Yards127159
Total Yards333264
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-145-14
Penalties8-553-15
Possession27:1132:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stony Brook
passing
Daron Bryden
15/31, 186 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jayden Cook
14 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Shawn Harris Jr.
3 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Gino Campiotti
10/15, 90 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ellis Merriweather
20 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
George Johnson
6 REC, 48 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ty Son Lawton run for 12 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the StBrk 39

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Jayden Cook run for 21 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cletus Mathurin) to the UMass 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jayden Cook run for 4 yds to the UMass 26

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ty Son Lawton run for 10 yds to the UMass 16 STONY BROOK Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Zamot) to the UMass 36

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Daron Bryden pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the UMass 34

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Tyler Devera

1st & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.42

Jayden Cook run for 9 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Lawton,Ty Son rush right for 10 yards gain to the UMA16, out of bounds at UMA16 PENALTY SBU Holding 10 yards from UMA26 to UMA36. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Jayden Cook run for 10 yds to the UMass 26

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Ty Son Lawton run for 8 yds to the UMass 34

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Tyler Devera

1st & 10Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 5 yds to the UMass 9

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.18

Gino Campiotti run for 21 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 3 yds to the UMass 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 6 yds to the UMass 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 2 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Gino Campiotti pass complete to Rico Arnold for 11 yds to the StBrk 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Gregory Desrosiers run for 2 yds to the StBrk 46

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the StBrk 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Jacob Orlando

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the StBrk 32

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.11

Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 18 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 11 yds to the UMass 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 39

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.67

Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Gino Campiotti run for 15 yds to the StBrk 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the StBrk 33

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Ellis Merriweather run for 11 yds to the StBrk 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 7 yds to the StBrk 15

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

George Johnson III run for 3 yds to the StBrk 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the StBrk 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Daron Bryden pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 22 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jayden Cook run for 3 yds to the UMass 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jayden Cook run for 3 yds to the UMass 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jadon Turner for 8 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the UMass 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SBU False Start (Lawton,Ty Son) 5 yards from UMA34 to UMA39. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Isaiah Holiness

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.33

Gino Campiotti sacked by Dakar Edwards for a loss of 11 yards to the UMass 12

4th & 18Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 22

4th & 18Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joshua Zamot run for 4 yds to the UMass 18

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the UMass 17

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.79

Joshua Zamot run for 15 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SBU False Start (Tunc,Collin) 5 yards from UMA02 to UMA07. NO PLAY.

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joshua Zamot pass incomplete to Tyler Devera

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Joshua Zamot sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 11

3rd & 11Interception Return Touchdown+94 ydsPPA -10.85

Jordan Mahoney 94 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Carson Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STONY BROOK Penalty, False Start (Niko Papic) to the StBrk 30

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jayden Cook run for 2 yds to the StBrk 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.41

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 13 yds to the StBrk 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.72

Daron Bryden pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the UMass 47

2nd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.27

Gino Campiotti run for 24 yds to the StBrk 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 1 yd to the StBrk 28

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the StBrk 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gino Campiotti pass complete to Gregory Desrosiers for 1 yd to the StBrk 30

4th & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.67

Gino Campiotti pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 14 yds to the StBrk 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the StBrk 15

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the StBrk 9

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the StBrk 11

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Cameron Carson 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the StBrk 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Daron Bryden pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 14 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 8 yds to the UMass 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Joshua Zamot run for 1 yd to the UMass 38

4th & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.16

Joshua Zamot pass complete to Tyler Devera for 20 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the UMass 17

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Joshua Zamot run for 5 yds to the UMass 12

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the UMass 11

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 yds

Angelo Guglielmello 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the StBrk 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

3rd & 10Missed Field Goal Return+40 yds

Cameron Carson 55 yd FG MISSED , Ty Son Lawton return for 40 yds to the StBrk 40

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Cook run for no gain to the StBrk 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for no gain to the StBrk 25

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Daron Bryden run for 8 yds to the StBrk 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 11 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 48

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Shawn Harris Jr. returns for 9 yds to the StBrk 18

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Shawn Harris Jr. returns for 9 yds to the StBrk 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.39

Daron Bryden pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 44 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jayden Cook run for 2 yds to the UMass 36

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Jadon Turner run for 7 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Joshua Zamot pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Tyler Devera

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Angelo Guglielmello 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gino Campiotti run for 5 yds to the UMass 29

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (Josiah Johnson) to the UMass 28

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 6 yds to the UMass 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.63

Gino Campiotti pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jadon Turner run for 1 yd to the StBrk 8

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 6 yds to the StBrk 14

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

STONY BROOK Penalty, False Start (Shawn Harris Jr.) to the StBrk 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Khalil Newton

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 41 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 8 yds to the StBrk 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Gino Campiotti pass complete to George Johnson III for 3 yds to the StBrk 39

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.82

Gino Campiotti run for 11 yds to the StBrk 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the StBrk 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Gino Campiotti pass complete to Gregory Desrosiers for 8 yds to the StBrk 21

4th & 3Field Goal Good+38 yds

Cameron Carson 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the StBrk 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.74

Daron Bryden pass complete to Tyler Devera for 23 yds to the StBrk 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden Cook run for no gain to the StBrk 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to RJ Lamarre

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jadon Turner run for 3 yds to the UMass 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

4th & 6Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.88

Jayden Cook run for 23 yds to the StBrk 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Jayden rush left for 0 yards to the SBU42 (Wallace,Josh), out of bounds PENALTY SBU Holding (Lucas,Cameron) 10 yards from SBU42 to SBU32. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Daron Bryden pass complete to Khalil Newton for 9 yds to the StBrk 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Daron Bryden pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.65

Daron Bryden sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 7 yards to the StBrk 34

4th & 18Punt+17 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 49 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 17 yds to the UMass 34

4th & 18Punt+17 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 49 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 17 yds to the UMass 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 41

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.50

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the StBrk 48

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the StBrk 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 30 yds

4th & 1Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Daron Bryden pass complete to Jayden Cook for 3 yds to the StBrk 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Daron Bryden pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 14 yds to the StBrk 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Daron Bryden run for 6 yds to the StBrk 40

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jayden Cook run for 1 yd to the StBrk 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY UMA Disconcerting Signals (Turner,Myles) 5 yards from SBU41 to SBU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Daron Bryden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SBU False Start (El,Rah'Khem) 5 yards from SBU46 to SBU41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Daron Bryden pass complete to Tyler Devera for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.31

Daron Bryden pass complete to Tyler Devera for 10 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Daron Bryden pass complete to Kevonne Wilder for 3 yds to the UMass 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to RJ Lamarre

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Jadon Turner

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.56

Daron Bryden pass incomplete to Khalil Newton

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Gino Campiotti run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 36

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Gino Campiotti run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 35

Situational Analysis

Stony Brook

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
16%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
15 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play