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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 18.9

Home Win Probability

Montana State 86%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
033713
Montana State
287141463

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-028-035-342-342-656-663-13
Montana StateMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSTD575ydTO3-3ydTD522ydTO32ydTD327ydPUNT624ydMISS964ydTD32ydPUNT3-7ydTD450ydFG1453ydTO671ydPUNT935ydEND2-1ydPUNT32ydTD660ydFG1256ydTD262ydTO35ydTD527ydPUNT620ydTO542ydPUNT738ydTD2-4ydTD768ydEND523yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and Montana State
StatisticMorehead StateMontana State
Passing18-3719-29
Pass Yards133295
Rush Yards127290
Total Yards260585
Turnovers33
3rd Down6-203-5
Penalties6-383-40
Possession32:3927:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Grady Cramer
13/29, 89 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chance Harris
12 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Christian Graves
4 REC, 45 YDS
Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
16/22, 265 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sean Chambers
7 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Treyton Pickering
5 REC, 98 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 65 yds , Marqui Johnson return for 25 yds to the MntSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.91

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ravi Alston for 43 yds to the MorSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.96

Tommy Mellott run for 21 yds to the MorSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Sean Chambers pass complete to Willie Patterson for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Grady Cramer pass complete to Christian Graves for 6 yds to the MorSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -0.39

Grady Cramer run for a loss of 9 yards to the MorSt 22 Grady Cramer fumbled, recovered by MntSt Sebastian Valdez

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Marqui Johnson run for 2 yds to the MorSt 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Jared White for 7 yds to the MorSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the MorSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the MorSt 8

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Sean Chambers pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 8 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MorSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA +0.07

Grady Cramer run for 1 yd to the MorSt 27 Grady Cramer fumbled, recovered by MntSt Callahan O'Reilly

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jared White run for 4 yds to the MorSt 23

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.31

Marqui Johnson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

James Louis run for 9 yds to the MorSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

James Louis run for 8 yds to the MntSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MntSt 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Grady Cramer pass complete to Michael Armour for 6 yds to the MntSt 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ravi Alston for 8 yds to the MntSt 18

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the MntSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.91

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 36 yds to the MorSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 10 yds to the MorSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tommy Mellott run for no gain to the MorSt 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 6 yds to the MorSt 22

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.41

Tommy Mellott run for a loss of 4 yards to the MorSt 26 Tommy Mellott fumbled, recovered by MntSt Tommy Mellott

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Blake Glessner 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 27

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+67 yds

Kip Warren punt for 39 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 67 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MorSt 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MorSt 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Grady Cramer pass complete to Michael Armour for a loss of 1 yard to the MorSt 21

3rd & 14Penalty0 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Block below the waist ( Yards) declined

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the MorSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.84

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Willie Patterson for 17 yds to the MorSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.45

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ravi Alston for 23 yds to the MorSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Derryk Snell for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Chance Harris run for 7 yds to the MorSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Chance Harris run for 3 yds to the MorSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MorSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MorSt 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Grady Cramer pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 18 yds to the MntSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Grady Cramer pass complete to Ryan Upp for 3 yds to the MntSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.07

Grady Cramer pass complete to Christian Graves for 14 yds to the MntSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chance Harris run for 5 yds to the MntSt 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+40 yds

Nathan Hazlett 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 8 yds to the MntSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ravi Alston for 14 yds to the MntSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+38 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle enforced half the distance from the goal (Kaleb Lyons) to the MorSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

R.J. Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MorSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.30

Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the MorSt 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Grady Cramer pass complete to Christian Graves for 8 yds to the MorSt 19

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Grady Cramer run for 7 yds to the MorSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Grady Cramer run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.09

Grady Cramer pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 15 yds to the MorSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Chance Harris run for 11 yds to the MntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Grady Cramer sacked by Sebastian Valdez for a loss of 5 yards to the MorSt 46

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+11 yds

Kip Warren punt for 34 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 11 yds to the MntSt 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Grady Cramer pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 6 yds to the MorSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MorSt 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chance Harris run for no gain to the MorSt 32

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MorSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Elijah Elliott run for 9 yds to the MntSt 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ravi Alston for 8 yds to the MorSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the MorSt 38

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper MELLOTT, Tommy rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the MOR36, out of bounds. PENALTY MSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the MOR38 to the MOR48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Elijah Elliott for 8 yds to the MorSt 40

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Elijah Elliott run for 10 yds to the MorSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 7 yds to the MorSt 23

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.46

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Willie Patterson for 23 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MorSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

James Louis run for 3 yds to the MorSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.64

Grady Cramer pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 17 yds to the MorSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

James Louis run for 5 yds to the MntSt 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Grady Cramer pass complete to Chance Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 49

4th & 6Penalty-15 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MntSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Chance Harris run for 13 yds to the MntSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MntSt 12

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Good+37 yds

Nathan Hazlett 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 45 yds , Derryk Snell return for 18 yds to the MntSt 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the MntSt 45

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.24

Sean Chambers run for 55 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Grady Cramer pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 1 yd to the MorSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chance Harris run for 4 yds to the MorSt 30

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.26

Grady Cramer pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Elijah Elliott run for 12 yds to the MorSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Elliott run for 1 yd to the MorSt 14

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.15

Sean Chambers run for 14 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Carter Cravens run for 2 yds to the MorSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nate Adebayo run for 5 yds to the MorSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 10 yds to the MorSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nate Adebayo run for 3 yds to the MorSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MntSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Sean Chambers pass complete to Christian Anaya for 11 yds to the MntSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Sean Chambers run for 31 yds to the MorSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Sean Chambers run for 15 yds to the MorSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the MorSt 44

1st & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

R.J. Fitzgerald run for no gain to the MorSt 44

2nd & 25Interception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Sean Chambers pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 5 yds to the MorSt 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Carter Cravens pass complete to James Louis for 4 yds to the MorSt 27

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (TEAM) to the MorSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

James Louis run for 6 yds to the MntSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nate Adebayo run for 5 yds to the MntSt 39

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Carter Cravens sacked by Kenneth Eiden IV for a loss of 5 yards to the MntSt 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MntSt 4

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tayvian Williams run for 6 yds to the MntSt 10

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tayvian Williams run for 90 yds Tayvian Williams fumbled, recovered by MorSt Javian Browder for a TD, (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 61 yds , Marqui Johnson return for 28 yds to the MntSt 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Sean Austin run for 8 yds to the MntSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Sean Austin run for 5 yds to the MntSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Marqui Johnson run for 6 yds to the MorSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Sean Austin run for 6 yds to the MorSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Sean Austin run for 7 yds to the MorSt 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Sean Austin run for 6 yds to the MorSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Marqui Johnson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Cravens run for no gain to the MorSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Zavier Lomax run for 4 yds to the MorSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Graves for 17 yds to the MorSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Zavier Lomax run for 2 yds to the MorSt 48

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zavier Lomax run for no gain to the MorSt 48

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
73%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th