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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Virginia 34%

Market (consensus)

Virginia +5.5

Edge: Pittsburgh -5.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
2803637
VirginiaVirginia
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-210-280-317-317-347-37
VirginiaPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRVIRVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITTD10ydTD10ydPUNT514ydTD863ydPUNT63ydTD862ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT39ydPUNT621ydPUNT37ydMISS728ydMISS1039ydEND10ydPUNT628ydPUNT3-5ydFG1054ydTD975ydPUNT37ydPUNT57ydFG1454ydDOWNS616ydFG720ydPUNT30ydEND310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Virginia
StatisticPittsburghVirginia
Passing14-2417-32
Pass Yards208152
Rush Yards189-8
Total Yards397144
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-152-13
Penalties9-821-5
Possession36:0223:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Kedon Slovis
14/24, 208 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Israel Abanikanda
24 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerrod Means
3 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Virginia
passing
Brennan Armstrong
17/32, 152 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Mike Hollins
8 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Malachi Fields
5 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+29 ydsPPA -7.92

M.J. Devonshire 29 Yd Interception Return (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+39 ydsPPA -7.92

Marquis Williams 39 Yd Interception Return (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Virg 25

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start 5 yards from UVA36 to UVA31. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Mike Hollins run for 3 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 5 yds to the Virg 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson

4th & 7Punt+20 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 44 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 20 yds to the Pitt 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 42

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.53

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 37 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the Virg 12

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Virg 9

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Israel Abanikanda run for 8 yds to the Virg 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Israel Abanikanda run for no gain to the Virg 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Israel Abanikanda 1 Yd Run (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mike Hollins run for 4 yds to the Virg 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the Virg 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Malachi Fields for 5 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Malachi Fields

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 1 yd to the Virg 37

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.63

Brennan Armstrong sacked by John Morgan III for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 28

4th & 18Punt+6 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 38 , M.J. Devonshire returns for 6 yds to the Pitt 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Pitt 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.04

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 17 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 5 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the Virg 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gavin Bartholomew

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.11

Bub Means 31 Yd pass from Kedon Slovis (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mike Hollins run for 1 yd to the Virg 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Virg 26

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Judson Tallandier II for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 18

4th & 17Punt+3 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 47 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 3 yds to the Pitt 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.60

run for 7 yds to the Pitt 18 fumbled, recovered by Pitt Israel Abanikanda

2nd & 17Penalty-8 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass complete deep right to Abanikanda,Israel for 16 yards to the PITT34 (Long,Langston) PENALTY PITT Holding (Wayne,Jared) 8 yards from PITT18 to PITT10. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the Pitt 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 8 yds to the Pitt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 48 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for no gain to the Virg 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 4 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the Virg 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Xavier Brown run for no gain to the Virg 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 8 yds to the Pitt 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the Pitt 29

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.44

C'Bo Flemister run for 9 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass complete short right to Flemister,C'Bo for 6 yards to the PITT44 (Jackson,James) PENALTY PITT Holding 10 yards from PITT38 to PITT28. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 6 yds to the Pitt 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 7 yds to the Pitt 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the Virg 35

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

4th & 3Punt+31 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 60 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 31 yds to the Pitt 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 12 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Israel Abanikanda run for 12 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass complete short right to Abanikanda,Israel for 1 yard to the UVA36, out of bounds at UVA36 PENALTY PITT Holding (Johnson,Karter) 10 yards from UVA37 to UVA47. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 8 yds to the Virg 39

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Virg 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Ben Sauls 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Malachi Fields for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.66

Brennan Armstrong sacked by John Morgan III for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 42

2nd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 9 yds to the Pitt 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.85

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Malachi Fields for 15 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Malachi Fields for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Holding (A.J. Woods) to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 10 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 12

3rd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.83

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Deslin Alexandre for a loss of 13 yards to the Pitt 25

4th & 21Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Will Bettridge 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

K. Slovis takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Israel Abanikanda run for 12 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Israel Abanikanda run for 9 yds to the Pitt 46

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Konata Mumpfield

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the Virg 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 6 yds to the Virg 16

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.73

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Calijah Kancey for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 9

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Habakkuk Baldonado for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 5

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 39 , M.J. Devonshire returns for 1 yd to the Pitt 39

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 6 yds to the Pitt 45

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 45

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY PITT False Start (Goncalves,Matt) 5 yards from PITT45 to PITT40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.47

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 22 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 3 yds to the Virg 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Bub Means

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.69

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 23 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Virg 8

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the Virg 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ben Sauls 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 20 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 6 yds to the Pitt 49

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Mike Hollins run for 4 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Brennan Armstrong run for 12 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY PITT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting UVA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 8 yds to the Pitt 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 24

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.16

Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 6 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Bangally Kamara) to the Pitt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Malachi Fields for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for no gain to the Pitt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Malachi Fields for 15 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 12 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.59

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Calijah Kancey for a loss of 15 yards to the Virg 45

2nd & 25Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.50

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Calijah Kancey for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 40

3rd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling

4th & 30Punt+14 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 37 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 14 yds to the Pitt 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 42

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Israel Abanikanda run for 13 yds to the VIRGINIA 39 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gavin Bartholomew) to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the Virg 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Calijah Kancey

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 8 yds to the Virg 26

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.06

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the Virg 17

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Virg 11

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Virg 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Ben Sauls 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 3 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Mike Hollins run for 9 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 4 yds to the Virg 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vincent Davis for 10 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bub Means) to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

C'Bo Flemister run for 7 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the Virg 24

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the Virg 22

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the Virg 21

4th & 1Field Goal Good+39 yds

Ben Sauls 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dillon Tennyson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 63 yds , Vincent Davis returns for 13 yds to the Pitt 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

C'Bo Flemister run for 8 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

N. Patti takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
13%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play