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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 26.4

Home Win Probability

NC State 93%

Market (consensus)

NC State -18

Edge: NC State -18 (8.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
707721
NC StateNC State
1433020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-717-720-1420-21
NC StateBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSNSNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCNSBCPUNT422ydTD588ydPUNT3-6ydTD668ydTD875ydPUNT410ydPUNT31ydPUNT514ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS765ydPUNT36ydFG736ydTO546ydEND15ydPUNT3-2ydFG514ydTD875ydTO317ydTO518ydPUNT826ydPUNT66ydTO1-5ydDOWNS43ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT36ydTO514ydPUNT33ydPUNT516ydTD1269ydTO2-2ydEND1-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and NC State
StatisticBoston CollegeNC State
Passing29-4812-24
Pass Yards330135
Rush Yards-1200
Total Yards329335
Turnovers34
3rd Down5-172-12
Penalties12-978-67
Possession29:4330:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Emmett Morehead
29/48, 330 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Alex Broome
6 CAR, 13 YDS
receiving
Zay Flowers
7 REC, 130 YDS, 2 TD
defense
NC State
passing
MJ Morris
12/24, 135 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Michael Allen
14 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Thayer Thomas
4 REC, 53 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 19 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 43

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.27

Emmett Morehead sacked by Isaiah Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 38

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 9 yds to the BC 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.49

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 23 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

MJ Morris run for 1 yd to the NCSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.89

Julian Gray run for 24 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Jordan Houston run for 13 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

MJ Morris pass complete to Trent Pennix for 27 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Broome run for no gain to the BC 25

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Emmett Morehead sacked by Drake Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 17

3rd & 23Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Alex Broome run for 7 yds to the BC 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the NCSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the NCSt 38

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.68

Michael Allen run for 16 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.05

Michael Allen run for 36 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

MJ Morris run for 10 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 8 yds to the BC 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.16

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 15 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.09

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the NCSt 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.12

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 28 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Joseph Griffin Jr.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jordan Houston run for 10 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Terrell Timmons Jr.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Porter Rooks

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 5 yds to the BC 16

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the BC 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 48

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Michael Allen run for 8 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Michael Allen run for 5 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

MJ Morris pass complete to Darryl Jones for 5 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the BC 37

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Michael Allen run for 1 yd to the BC 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for no gain to the BC 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

4th & 13Punt+5 yds

Danny Longman punt for 55 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 5 yds to the NCSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 18 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the BC 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.13

MJ Morris pass complete to Trent Pennix for 26 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

MJ Morris run for 9 yds to the BC 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

MJ Morris pass complete to Jordan Houston for 4 yds to the BC 1

4th & 1Rush+1 yds

MJ Morris run for 1 yd to the BC 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Joseph Griffin Jr.

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.09

Emmett Morehead sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 8

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the BC 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Michael Allen run for 2 yds to the BC 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

MJ Morris pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 12 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Michael Allen run for 4 yds to the BC 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

MJ Morris run for no gain to the BC 21

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Allen run for 1 yd to the BC 22

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.52

MJ Morris pass complete to Michael Allen for 9 yds to the BC 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+30 yds

Christopher Dunn 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Emmett Morehead run for 1 yd to the BC 42

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.44

Emmett Morehead run for 19 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 10 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.21

Emmett Morehead pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 8

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 64 yds , Julian Gray return for 17 yds to the NCSt 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Trent Pennix

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 21

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Trent Pennix

4th & 12Punt+6 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 48 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 6 yds to the BC 42 Jaelen Gill fumbled, recovered by BC Demarcus Jones

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

MJ Morris run for 7 yds to the BC 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

MJ Morris run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the BC 28

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Porter Rooks

4th & 13Field Goal Good+45 yds

Christopher Dunn 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the BC 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 8 yds to the BC 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 6 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 9 yds to the BC 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.45

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Taji Johnson for 4 yds to the NCSt 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dante Reynolds for no gain to the NCSt 35

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.09

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 35 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 64 yds , Julian Gray return for 29 yds to the NCSt 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

MJ Morris run for 7 yds to the NCSt 37

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.08

MJ Morris run for 2 yds to the NCSt 47 MJ Morris fumbled, recovered by BC Neto Okpala

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 2 yds to the NCSt 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.16

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Alex Broome

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.26

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 16 yds to the NCSt 29

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -3.56

Emmett Morehead pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Jordan Houston run for 11 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Porter Rooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

MJ Morris pass complete to Jordan Houston for 2 yds to the NCSt 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 12 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Michael Allen run for 8 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Michael Allen run for 4 yds to the BC 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

MJ Morris pass complete to Porter Rooks for 1 yd to the BC 44

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 8

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to George Takacs

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 14 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Emmett Morehead sacked by Drake Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 15

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Emmett Morehead run for no gain to the BC 15

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 45

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.11

MJ Morris sacked by Marcus Valdez for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 40 MJ Morris fumbled, recovered by BC Vinny DePalma , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 8 yds to the NCSt 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Dino Tomlin

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Taji Johnson

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.56

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

MJ Morris sacked by Marcus Valdez for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 30

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

MJ Morris run for 5 yds to the NCSt 25

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Jordan Houston

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the BC 25

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Alex Broome run for 7 yds to the BC 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Allen run for 2 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Allen run for 2 yds to the NCSt 41

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.47

MJ Morris pass intercepted

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.47

MJ Morris pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 4 yds to the BC 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 4 yds to the BC 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 65 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 9

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the NCSt 18

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 19

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the NCSt 21

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Emmett Morehead run for 3 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.15

Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 8 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Alex Broome

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.92

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 29 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Emmett Morehead run for 4 yds to the NCSt 25

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.61

Emmett Morehead sacked by Davin Vann for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 17 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to Dino Tomlin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete to George Takacs

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Emmett Morehead run for 4 yds to the NCSt 10

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.23

MJ Morris pass complete to MJ Morris for 2 yds MJ Morris fumbled, recovered by BC Marcus Valdez

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.01

E. Morehead takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
27%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th