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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Louisville 60%

Market (consensus)

Louisville -6.5

Edge: James Madison +6.5 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
James MadisonJames Madison
370010
LouisvilleLouisville
73101434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-37-1013-1020-1027-1034-10
LouisvilleJames Madison

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20JMLOUJMLOUJMLOUJMLOUJMLOULOUJMLOUJMJMLOUJMLOUJMLOUJMLOUFG1058ydTD675ydPUNT37ydDOWNS44ydDOWNS49ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT30ydPUNT948ydTD1180ydFG965ydFG1257ydPUNT37ydTD171ydPUNT36ydMISS4-5ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-1ydTD570ydPUNT32ydTD864ydPUNT620ydEND724yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing James Madison and Louisville
StatisticJames MadisonLouisville
Passing4-1514-20
Pass Yards52223
Rush Yards141244
Total Yards193467
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-136-13
Penalties7-706-73
Possession29:3830:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

James Madison
passing
Todd Centeio
4/15, 52 YDS
rushing
Percy Agyei-Obese
24 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kaelon Black
2 REC, 27 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
14/20, 223 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tiyon Evans
10 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Hudson
6 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 29

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.35

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the Lvile 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Targeting on PERRY, Ben enforced (15 Yards) to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 11 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 26

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the Lvile 19

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 20

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the Lvile 17

4th & 6Field Goal Good+34 yds

Camden Wise 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the left incomplete intended for HUDSON, Tyler thrown to the JMU50. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on LOGAN, Chauncey enforced 15 yards to the LOU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Lvile 44

2nd & 6Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.26

Malik Cunningham run for 18 yds to the LOUISVILLE 38 for a 1ST down JMU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Devyn Coles) to the JMads 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 14 yds to the JMads 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the JMads 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the JMads 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Isaac Martin for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 62 yds , Kaelon Black return for 3 yds to the JMads 6

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 10

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 13

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

JORDAN, Jawhar rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the JMU49 (JONES, Taurus;COLES, Devyn). PENALTY LOU Holding on REID, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the LOU45 to the LOU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 14 yds to the Lvile 49

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.93

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the Lvile 41

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.44

Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the Lvile 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.03

Malik Cunningham sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 11 yards to the Lvile 29

4th & 17Punt+6 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 6 yds to the JMads 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the JMads 30

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the JMads 30

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 65 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.53

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 15 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 10 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.19

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 11 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the JMads 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the JMads 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 21

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the JMads 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 7 yds to the JMads 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 10 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the JMads 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the JMads 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.87

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 20 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Kaelon Black run for 13 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kaelon Black run for 8 yds to the Lvile 12

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.28

Jawhar Jordan run for 17 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 40 yds to the JMads 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 10

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 11

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the JMads 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

James Turner 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 9 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Tiyon Evans run for 9 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Tiyon Evans run for 15 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the JMads 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.75

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 15 yds to the JMads 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the JMads 11

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 12

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.22

Malik Cunningham sacked by Isaac Ukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 18

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

James Turner 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the JMads 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, Delay Of Game (Isaac Ukwu) to the JMads 25

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the JMads 32

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Sam Clark punt for 46 yds , Braden Smith returns for 7 yds to the Lvile 29

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +5.78

Tiyon Evans run for 71 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the JMads 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the JMads 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the Lvile 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the Lvile 30

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (Tanner Morris) to the Lvile 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Camden Wise 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Lvile 20

2nd & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 26

3rd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Lvile 33

4th & 12Punt+10 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 41 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 10 yds to the JMads 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Tiyon Evans run for 7 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 19 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Malik Cunningham sacked by Jordan Swann for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 47

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the JMads 44

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.45

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 44 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 45

3rd & 1Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.41

Jawhar Jordan run for 26 yds to the JMads 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Jawhar Jordan run for 12 yds to the JMads 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the JMads 12

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

, clock 08:10. PENALTY JMU Personal Foul on JONES, Taurus LOU Personal Foul on CUNNINGHAM, Malik , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the JMads 8

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 11

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.19

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 11 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(06:27) BLACK, Kaelon rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the JMU31 (MINKINS, Josh), clock 06:20. PENALTY JMU Holding on HORTON, Zach enforced 10 yards from the JMU25 to the JMU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 7 yds to the JMads 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 18 yds to the JMads 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the JMads 41

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Lvile 16

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Lvile 20

3rd & 6Penalty-7 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-7 Yards) to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 16

2nd & 8Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Jawhar Jordan run for 16 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down JMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Devyn Coles) to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 42

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 40

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

(00:14) [NHSG] Kneel down by LOU at LOU40 (team loss of 0), clock 00:01.

Situational Analysis

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
18 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play