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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 6

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 62%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina -2.5

Edge: North Carolina -2.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
7107024
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
7772142

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-147-1714-1721-2428-2442-24
North CarolinaPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCTD877ydPUNT38ydPUNT38ydTD1059ydPUNT615ydPUNT511ydTD345ydPUNT515ydFG1063ydTD575ydPUNT38ydDOWNS530ydPUNT33ydEND1-1ydPUNT520ydTD583ydTD1275ydPUNT517ydTD1084ydTO624ydTD349ydPUNT30ydTD335ydDOWNS719ydEND829yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and North Carolina
StatisticPittsburghNorth Carolina
Passing14-3134-45
Pass Yards236388
Rush Yards13186
Total Yards367474
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-154-11
Penalties5-486-52
Possession28:3231:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Kedon Slovis
14/31, 236 YDS
rushing
Israel Abanikanda
26 CAR, 127 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jared Wayne
7 REC, 161 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Drake Maye
34/44, 388 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Drake Maye
14 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Antoine Green
10 REC, 180 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Noah Burnette kickoff for 58 yds , Rodney Hammond Jr. return for 16 yds to the Pitt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 6 yds to the Pitt 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Vincent Davis

3rd & 4Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.86

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 40 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 8 yds to the NCaro 23

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.22

Israel Abanikanda run for 10 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Israel Abanikanda run for 7 yds to the NCaro 6

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 8 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Caleb Hood run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 30

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the NCaro 33

4th & 2Punt-11 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for a loss of 11 yards to the Pitt 6

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 8 yds to the Pitt 14

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cam Guess punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Drake Maye pass complete to Caleb Hood for 3 yds to the NCaro 44

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 8 yds to the Pitt 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 6 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 8 yds to the Pitt 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 1 yd to the Pitt 11

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Green run for no gain to the Pitt 11

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.86

Drake Maye sacked by Deslin Alexandre for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 16

2nd & 0Passing Touchdown+16 yds

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 16 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

2nd & 18Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Noah Burnette kickoff for 60 yds , Rodney Hammond Jr. return for 19 yds to the Pitt 24

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Israel Abanikanda run for 9 yds to the Pitt 33

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.83

Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Israel Abanikanda run for no gain to the Pitt 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Myles Alston

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Pitt 39

4th & 5Punt+53 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the UNC 15 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the NCaro 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the NCaro 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 12 yds to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Drake Maye pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for no gain to the NCaro 22

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.17

Drake Maye sacked by Tyler Bentley for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 19

4th & 13Punt+26 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 52 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for 26 yds to the NCaro 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Israel Abanikanda run for no gain to the NCaro 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.79

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 41 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & -5Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 41 yds , Elijah Green return for 14 yds to the NCaro 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Antoine Green

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Drake Maye pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 15 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the NCaro 43 Omarion Hampton fumbled, recovered by NCaro

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCaro 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 2 yds to the NCaro 38

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 44 yds , M.J. Devonshire returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 36 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the Pitt 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 1 yd to the Pitt 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.42

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 21 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 9 yds to the Pitt 39

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Rodney Hammond Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.22

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 29 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 33

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Ben Sauls 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 18 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.27

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 50 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the Pitt 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the Pitt 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cam Guess punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 31

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.13

Drake Maye run for 9 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Targeting (Calijah Kancey) to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the Pitt 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 5 yds to the Pitt 39

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.74

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Israel Abanikanda

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Israel Abanikanda

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cam Guess punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 18

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 5 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 13 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the NCaro 44

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the NCaro 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari Morales

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 38 yds, downed at the Pitt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bub Means for 7 yds to the Pitt 24

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.68

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.21

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 50 yds to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Israel Abanikanda run for 22 yds for a TD, (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.85

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 20 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Antoine Green

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.87

Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 18 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Drake Maye run for no gain to the Pitt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 6 yds to the Pitt 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 29

4th & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.78

Drake Maye run for 7 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Drake Maye run for 9 yds to the Pitt 13

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.02

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.22

Israel Abanikanda run for 21 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gavin Bartholomew

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the NCaro 48

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.53

Kedon Slovis sacked by Kaimon Rucker and RaRa DillWorth for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 42

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Cam Guess punt for 42 yds, downed at the NCaro 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.82

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 24 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 35

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 14 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.23

Drake Maye run for 11 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 7 yds to the Pitt 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 3 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 16 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Drake Maye pass incomplete to George Pettaway

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.65

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 12 yds to the Pitt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Elijah Green run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Israel Abanikanda run for 9 yds to the Pitt 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Israel Abanikanda run for 7 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Israel Abanikanda run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -2.28

Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 49 Israel Abanikanda fumbled, recovered by NCaro Cedric Gray

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 15 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Drake Maye run for 9 yds to the Pitt 25

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.20

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 25 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gavin Bartholomew

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+23 yds

Cam Guess punt for 33 yds , Josh Downs returns for 23 yds to the Pitt 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Elijah Green run for no gain to the Pitt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.13

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 22 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 8 yds to the Pitt 48

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Jared Wayne for 4 yds to the Pitt 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 44

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drake Maye run for 4 yds to the Pitt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds to the Pitt 36

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the Pitt 26

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Omarion Hampton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 28

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Drake Maye run for 15 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 14

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 15

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays