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← Back to GamesOct 27, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 25.5

Home Win Probability

NC State 93%

Market (consensus)

NC State -13.5

Edge: NC State -13.5 (12.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
0021021
NC StateNC State
0371222

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-1410-2122-21
NC StateVirginia Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSVTNSVTNSVTNSVTNSVTNSVTVTNSVTNSVTNSVTNSVTNSVTNSVTNSPUNT38ydPUNT76ydPUNT822ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydPUNT1046ydTO34ydPUNT926ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS825ydUncategorized00ydTD678ydPUNT619ydTD180ydPUNT38ydTO523ydPUNT3-2ydTD565ydTD675ydPUNT617ydTD352ydPUNT36ydTD760ydPUNT3-7ydEND99yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia Tech and NC State
StatisticVirginia TechNC State
Passing11-2226-43
Pass Yards243296
Rush Yards5060
Total Yards293356
Turnovers00
3rd Down1-118-19
Penalties13-698-65
Possession23:5136:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia Tech
passing
Grant Wells
11/22, 243 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Malachi Thomas
9 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Kaleb Smith
3 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD
defense
NC State
passing
MJ Morris
20/29, 265 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jordan Houston
9 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Thayer Thomas
10 REC, 118 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Kyle Lowe kickoff for 61 yds , Julian Gray return for 24 yds to the NCSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 10 yds to the NCSt 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VTech 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 6 yds to the VTech 30

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Wells, Grant pass incomplete to Thomas, Malachi (TEAM), PENALTY NCSTATE offside (Vann, Davin) 5 yards to the VATECH35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Grant Wells sacked by Payton Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 38

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Jesse Hanson) to the VTech 33

2nd & 22Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Parker Clements) to the VTech 28

2nd & 27Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 4 yds to the VTech 32

3rd & 23Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 34

4th & 21Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Chamarri Conner) to the VTech 29

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 49 yds, downed at the NCSt 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Chambers run for 3 yds to the NCSt 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 8 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Jack Chambers run for 8 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Chambers run for no gain to the NCSt 44

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Malachi Thomas run for 1 yd to the VTech 22

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Grant Wells run for 8 yds to the VTech 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the VTech 30

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Keshon Artis) to the VTech 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCSt 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

MJ Morris run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

MJ Morris run for 3 yds to the NCSt 38

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Chandler Zavala) to the NCSt 33

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.54

MJ Morris sacked by Jaylen Griffin for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 24

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 31 yds, downed at the VTech 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 44

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kaleb Smith) to the VTech 39

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick Gallo

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds to the NCSt 25

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Demarcus Jones II run for 10 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

MJ Morris pass complete to Devin Carter for 16 yds Devin Carter fumbled, forced by Mansoor Delane, recovered by NCSt

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

MJ Morris pass complete to Darryl Jones for 9 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Demarcus Jones II run for no gain to the VTech 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Demarcus Jones II run for no gain to the VTech 40

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.90

MJ Morris run for 3 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

MJ Morris run for no gain to the VTech 37

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

MJ Morris sacked by Alan Tisdale for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 44

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

MJ Morris run for 6 yds to the VTech 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Malachi Thomas run for 2 yds to the VTech 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 3 yds to the VTech 25

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Grant Wells sacked by Davin Vann and Travali Price for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 24

4th & 6Punt-10 yds

Peter Moore punt for 36 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSt 20 Thayer Thomas fumbled, recovered by NCSt Julian Gray NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NCSt 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Julian Gray run for 8 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Jack Chambers run for 1 yd to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 1 yd to the NCSt 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.38

Jack Chambers pass complete to Devin Carter for 11 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Chambers pass complete to Darryl Jones for 3 yds to the VTech 49

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Dylan McMahon) to the NCSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Jordan Houston

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 17

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Johnny Jordan) to the VTech 12

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 9 yds to the VTech 21

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Silas Dzansi) to the VTech 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith

3rd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.10

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 14

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 29 yds, downed at the VTech 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 18 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

MJ Morris run for 8 yds to the VTech 17

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

MJ Morris run for 6 yds to the VTech 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.07

MJ Morris run for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 18 MJ Morris fumbled, recovered by NCSt MJ Morris

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

TEAM pass incomplete

4th & 17Field Goal Good+35 yds

Christopher Dunn 35 Yd Field Goal

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 17Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Collin Smith kickoff for 62 yds , Chance Black return for 19 yds to the VTech 22

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Collin Smith kickoff for 65 yds , Chance Black return for 22 yds to the VTech 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Grant Wells run for 7 yds to the VTech 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 10 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.15

Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 36 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the NCSt 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Malachi Thomas

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Wells, Grant pass incomplete to Wright, Dae'Quan, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Baker-Williams, Tyler) 15 yards to the NCSTATE4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Grant Wells 4 Yd Run (William Ross Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+44 yds

Kyle Lowe kickoff for 65 yds , Julian Gray return for 44 yds to the NCSt 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

MJ Morris run for 3 yds to the NCSt 47

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.80

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 15 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 1 yd to the VTech 37

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Timothy McKay) to the VTech 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

MJ Morris pass complete to Devin Carter for 5 yds to the VTech 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Devin Carter

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Silas Dzansi) to the VTech 15

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.98

Kaleb Smith 85 Yd pass from Grant Wells (William Ross Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

MJ Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Porter Rooks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

MJ Morris pass complete to Jordan Houston for 8 yds to the NCSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick Gallo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.11

Grant Wells pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 23 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Da'Wain Lofton

4th & 10Punt-8 yds

Peter Moore punt for 33 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 21 Thayer Thomas fumbled, recovered by NCSt Thayer Thomas

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Devin Carter

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 19

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Devin Carter

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Grant Wells run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 34

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kaden Moore) to the VTech 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.33

Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 50 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick Gallo

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.39

Grant Wells 20 Yd Run (William Ross Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

MJ Morris pass complete to Devin Carter for 13 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the NCSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

MJ Morris pass complete to Terrell Timmons Jr. for 8 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 16 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Thayer Thomas 35 Yd pass from MJ Morris (Christopher Dunn Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Collin Smith kickoff for 64 yds , Chance Black return for no gain to the VTech 9 Chance Black fumbled, recovered by VTech Chance Black , return for 8 yds to the VTech 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Grant Wells run for no gain to the VTech 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.53

Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (Payton Wilson) to the VTech 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the VTech 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 36

3rd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.08

Grant Wells sacked by Drake Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 26

4th & 13Punt+26 yds

Peter Moore punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSTATE 38 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

MJ Morris pass complete to Jordan Houston for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.47

MJ Morris pass complete to Terrell Timmons Jr. for 43 yds to the VTech 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Trent Pennix 7 Yd pass from MJ Morris (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Collin Smith kickoff for 62 yds , Chance Black return for 5 yds to the VTech 4 Chance Black fumbled, recovered by VTech Jalen Holston VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Holston) to the VTech 4

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Holston run for no gain to the VTech 4

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the VTech 10

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 50 yds, downed at the NCSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

MJ Morris pass complete to Trent Pennix for 13 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Terrell Timmons Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

MJ Morris pass complete to Trent Pennix for 5 yds to the VTech 42

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Dylan McMahon) to the VTech 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.91

MJ Morris pass complete to Devin Carter for 17 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

MJ Morris pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 7 yds to the VTech 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Trent Pennix

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaylen Griffin) to the VTech 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Thayer Thomas 18 Yd pass from MJ Morris (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Collin Smith kickoff for 55 yds , Bryce Duke return for 14 yds to the VTech 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.53

Grant Wells sacked by Payton Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 16

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Dae'Quan Wright) to the VTech 11

3rd & 23Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Grant Wells pass complete to Jalen Holston for 6 yds to the VTech 17

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

MJ Morris run for 1 yd to the NCSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 41

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

MJ Morris run for 1 yd to the NCSt 49

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the VTech 45

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.15

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 46

2nd & 16Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 49

3rd & 21Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 44

Situational Analysis

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
17 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
32 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
47%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play