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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Syracuse 44%

Market (consensus)

Syracuse -3

Edge: NC State +3 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
30339
SyracuseSyracuse
737724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-310-310-617-617-924-9
SyracuseNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SYRNSSYRNSSYRNSSYRNSSYRNSSYRNSNSSYRNSSYRNSTD565ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-6ydFG1248ydFG971ydPUNT33ydPUNT521ydPUNT3-9ydTO939ydPUNT39ydTO336ydEND419ydFG1450ydTD1378ydFG1856ydTD965ydDOWNS1257yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and Syracuse
StatisticNC StateSyracuse
Passing18-3116-25
Pass Yards160210
Rush Yards95179
Total Yards255389
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-164-8
Penalties7-507-60
Possession35:0624:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
passing
Jack Chambers
18/30, 160 YDS
rushing
Jack Chambers
19 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Keyon Lesane
4 REC, 39 YDS
defense
Syracuse
passing
Garrett Shrader
16/25, 210 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Sean Tucker
14 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Oronde Gadsden II
8 REC, 141 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 5 yds to the Syrac 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.31

Sean Tucker run for 38 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 12

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Demarcus Jones II run for 4 yds to the NCSt 32

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Timothy McKay) to the NCSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Jordan Houston

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 21

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.91

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 15

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Trebor Pena

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien Alford

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 2 yds to the Syrac 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jack Chambers pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 4 yds to the Syrac 42

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.13

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Jack Chambers run for 8 yds to the Syrac 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Chambers run for no gain to the Syrac 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.96

Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 18 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Demarcus Jones II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Demarcus Jones II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jack Chambers run for 5 yds to the Syrac 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Payton Wilson) to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden II

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.77

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 24 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the NCSt 6

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the NCSt 6

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 2 yds to the NCSt 4

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 yds

Andre Szmyt 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Chambers run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Jack Chambers pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 8 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Porter Rooks

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 42 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 10 yds to the Syrac 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the Syrac 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 8 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the NCSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the NCSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the NCSt 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Dylan McMahon) to the NCSt 15

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

MJ Morris run for 8 yds to the NCSt 23

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Morris, MJ pass complete to Jones, Darryl for 6 yards to the NCSTATE29, PENALTY NCSTATE illegal motion 5 yards to the NCSTATE18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.29

MJ Morris sacked by Leon Lowery for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 11

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

MJ Morris pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

4th & 19Punt+9 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 41 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 9 yds to the Syrac 20 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 47

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 8 yds to the NCSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn Cooper

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Garrett Shrader run for 13 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden II

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.14

Garrett Shrader pass intercepted, touchback. Tanner Ingle return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the NCSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Chambers pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 20

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Jack Chambers run for 9 yds to the NCSt 29

4th & 1Punt+8 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 56 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.61

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 36 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.76

Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Aydan White return for no gain to the NCSt 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 21

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 21

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Jack Chambers run for 13 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Chambers run for no gain to the NCSt 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Chambers pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 3 yds to the NCSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Jack Chambers run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Jack Chambers pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 21 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jack Chambers run for 7 yds to the Syrac 37

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the Syrac 25

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the Syrac 12

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -1.90

TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCSt Jordan Houston

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29

3rd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jack Chambers run for 4 yds to the Syrac 25

4th & 15Field Goal Good+42 yds

Christopher Dunn 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 9 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 19 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 9 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.12

Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Trebor Pena

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the NCSt 9 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Oronde Gadsden II) to the NCSt 19

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 19

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.73

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 17 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jack Chambers run for 7 yds to the NCSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 8 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 6 yds to the NCSt 47

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Jack Chambers run for 5 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Jack Chambers pass complete to Darryl Jones for 12 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Terrell Timmons Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the Syrac 28

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jack Chambers run for 9 yds to the Syrac 19 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keyon Lesane) to the Syrac 29

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jack Chambers run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28

4th & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.35

Jack Chambers run for 7 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 4 yds to the Syrac 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 5 yds to the Syrac 12

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Chambers run for 2 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Thayer Thomas) to the Syrac 13

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.76

Jack Chambers sacked by Jatius Geer and Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 19

4th & 0Field Goal Good+36 yds

Christopher Dunn 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Wes Hoeh) to the Syrac 41

1st & 15Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.63

Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Courtney Jackson) to the Syrac 34

1st & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36

2nd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.79

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 11 yds to the Syrac 47

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Carlos Vettorello) to the Syrac 42

3rd & 14Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +4.11

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 34 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 25

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.22

Sean Tucker run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Chambers sacked by Jatius Geer for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jack Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 11 yds to the NCSt 33

4th & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 16 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.15

Jack Chambers pass complete to Porter Rooks for 18 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Jack Chambers pass complete to Porter Rooks for 9 yds to the Syrac 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Darryl Jones

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Chambers, Jack pass incomplete to Timmons Jr., Terrell, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Johnson, Isaiah) 15 yards to the SYRACUSE9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.

1st & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.93

Jack Chambers sacked by Mikel Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 18

2nd & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

3rd & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

4th & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon Lesane

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Syracuse

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
70%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play