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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Virginia 51%

Market (consensus)

Virginia -1.5

Edge: Louisville +1.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
01314734
VirginiaVirginia
1007017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-010-310-1010-1317-2017-2717-34
VirginiaLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUPUNT39ydFG835ydTO10ydTD762ydPUNT30ydTO545ydPUNT525ydPUNT32ydFG1361ydPUNT3-2ydTD452ydPUNT39ydTO430ydTO36ydFG1163ydPUNT3-10ydTD560ydTD875ydPUNT37ydTO115ydTD860ydDOWNS822ydTD547ydDOWNS862ydEND1367yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Virginia
StatisticLouisvilleVirginia
Passing17-3024-34
Pass Yards275313
Rush Yards1986
Total Yards473319
Turnovers23
3rd Down8-153-12
Penalties5-558-66
Possession34:5425:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Brock Domann
17/30, 275 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Trevion Cooley
18 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Hudson
7 REC, 101 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Brennan Armstrong
24/34, 313 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Xavier Brown
4 CAR, 7 YDS
receiving
Keytaon Thompson
9 REC, 98 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brock Domann run for 4 yds to the Lvile 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 46 yds , Ethan Davies returns for no gain to the Virg 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 11 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 48

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the Virg 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.12

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 25 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the Lvile 29

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

4th & 13Field Goal Good+47 yds

Will Bettridge 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brock Domann pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.40

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jared Dawson for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 16 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the Lvile 40

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +5.18

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 40 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the Lvile 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the Lvile 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Tyler Hudson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the Virg 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Perris Jones run for no gain to the Virg 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 15 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 16 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -4.07

Brennan Armstrong run for 10 yds to the Lvile 18 Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by Lvile Dezmond Tell

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Tyler Hudson

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Domann,Brock pass incomplete short left to Hudson,Tyler PENALTY UVA Personal Foul (Butler,Kameron) 15 yards from LOU21 to LOU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the Lvile 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Tyler Hudson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Perris Jones run for no gain to the Virg 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 7 yds to the Virg 27

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start (Wilson,Sean) 5 yards from UVA27 to UVA22. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 46 yds , Braden Smith returns for 1 yd to the Lvile 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brock Domann run for 5 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Marshon Ford

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.87

Jawhar Jordan run for 9 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Virg 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 6 yds to the Virg 29

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Marshon Ford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 17 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Domann run for 1 yd to the Virg 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Marshon Ford

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Marshon Ford

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

James Turner 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Dezmond Tell for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 43

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Tyler Hudson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Virg 49

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brock Domann run for 5 yds to the Virg 44

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.48

Brock Domann run for 44 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 7 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the Virg 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the Virg 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 19 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Trevion Cooley run for 6 yds to the Virg 46

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Trevion Cooley run for 5 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.76

Brock Domann pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Xavier Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 6 yds to the Lvile 44

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -2.37

Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Braden Smith

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.97

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 16 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Domann,Brock pass incomplete short left PENALTY LOU Holding (Reid,Trevor) 10 yards from UVA43 to LOU47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 6 yds to the Virg 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.05

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 18 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.10

Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 25 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Maurice Turner run for 2 yds to the Virg 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Tyler Hudson

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brock Domann run for no gain to the Virg 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

James Turner 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 64 yds , Demick Starling return for 12 yds to the Virg 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 6 yds to the Virg 19

2nd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 15

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 11

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start 5 yards from UVA11 to UVA06. NO PLAY.

4th & 17Penalty-3 yds

PENALTY UVA Illegal Snap (Livingston,Aidan) 3 yards from UVA06 to UVA03. NO PLAY.

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 55 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brock Domann run for 5 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.16

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 13 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 8 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.55

Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 65 yds , Demick Starling return for 25 yds to the Virg 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 6 yds to the Virg 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 13 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 14 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the Lvile 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Perris Jones for 5 yds to the Lvile 37

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.48

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 11 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete short left to Davis Jr.,Lavel PENALTY LOU Pass Interference (Minkins,Josh) 15 yards from LOU26 to LOU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Lvile 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brock Domann pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 7 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brock Domann pass incomplete to Jaelin Carter

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 48 yds , Ethan Davies returns for no gain to the Virg 20

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY LOU Targeting (Dallas,Marvin) 15 yards from UVA20 to UVA35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.76

Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Trevion Cooley run for 13 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brock Domann run for 4 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.12

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 23 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Trevion Cooley run for 8 yds to the Virg 12

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the Virg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Jordan,Jawhar rush left for 3 yards gain to the UVA07 (Johnson,Anthony) PENALTY LOU Holding (Reid,Trevor) 10 yards from UVA10 to UVA20. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Brock Domann pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 9 yds to the Virg 11

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LOU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UVA11 to UVA16. NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Penalty+14 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Domann,Brock pass incomplete short middle to Hudson,Tyler PENALTY UVA Pass Interference (Jackson,James) 14 yards from UVA16 to UVA02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Trevion Cooley run for 1 yd to the Virg 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Trevion Cooley run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 11 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 15 yds to the VIRGINIA 36 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Xavier Brown) to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 8 yds to the Lvile 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the Lvile 42

4th & 1Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.85

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Mason Reiger for a loss of 11 yards to the Virg 47

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the Virg 38

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.78

Brock Domann pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 28 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY UVA Offside (Agunloye,Olasunkonmi) 4 yards from UVA07 to UVA03. NO PLAY.

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Virg 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 32 yds , Demick Starling return for no gain to the Virg 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.47

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 27 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.46

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Demick Starling for 22 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 5 yds to the Lvile 9

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.17

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Yasir Abdullah for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 18

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Demick Starling for 13 yds to the Lvile 5

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.15

Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Lvile 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Trevion Cooley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 9

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brock Domann run for 3 yds to the Lvile 12

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Trevion Cooley run for 9 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.39

Brock Domann pass complete to Duane Martin for 22 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Maurice Turner run for no gain to the Lvile 46

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.70

Brock Domann pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 9 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Maurice Turner run for 4 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the Virg 39

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Trevion Cooley run for 9 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Trevion Cooley run for 4 yds to the Virg 26

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Kneel down by Louisville at UVA28 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play