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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 12.4

Home Win Probability

NC State 77%

Market (consensus)

NC State -3.5

Edge: NC State -3.5 (8.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
0170017
NC StateNC State
3010619

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-1410-1713-1719-17
NC StateFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSFSNSPUNT934ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-10ydFG738ydDOWNS859ydPUNT726ydTD285ydPUNT38ydPUNT537ydTO853ydTD772ydPUNT35ydFG27ydTD1084ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydPUNT417ydFG1052ydPUNT3-12ydFG4-23ydPUNT3-5ydFG847ydTO10ydPUNT35ydTO970ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and NC State
StatisticFlorida StateNC State
Passing15-3011-23
Pass Yards181125
Rush Yards206182
Total Yards387307
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-132-13
Penalties10-1008-70
Possession26:3633:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
15/30, 181 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jordan Travis
7 CAR, 108 YDS
receiving
Johnny Wilson
2 REC, 60 YDS
defense
NC State
passing
Devin Leary
10/21, 130 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Houston
24 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Jordan Houston
2 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Drake Thomas
2 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the FlaSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 4 yds to the FlaSt 39

3rd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.23

Jordan Travis run for 22 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the NCSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the NCSt 41

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 25

2nd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.97

Devin Leary sacked by Malcolm Ray for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 36

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.54

Jordan Travis sacked by Davin Vann for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 26

4th & 20Punt+8 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 40 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 8 yds to the NCSt 42

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.93

Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 23 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin Carter

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Christopher Dunn 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Collin Smith kickoff for 60 yds , Mycah Pittman return for 13 yds to the FlaSt 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 14 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.57

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 37 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Lawrance Toafili run for no gain to the NCSt 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClain

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.27

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Jordan Houston run for 11 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Houston run for 9 yds to the NCSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin Carter

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Devin Leary run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan Houston

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 15

1st & 10Rush+71 ydsPPA +4.07

Jordan Travis run for 71 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the NCSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 9 yds to the NCSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Porter Rooks

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 8 yds to the FlaSt 35

2nd & 2Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.26

Treshaun Ward run for 39 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lawrance Toafili run for 5 yds to the NCSt 21

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 28 yds

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 9 yds to the NCSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.31

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 34 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 39

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ced Seabrough

4th & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -2.15

Devin Leary pass intercepted

4th & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -2.15

Devin Leary pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 4 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.27

Trey Benson run for 26 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 2 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the NCSt 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.75

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 29 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Lawrance Toafili run for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for no gain to the NCSt 25

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the NCSt 30

4th & 5Punt+51 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 57 yds , Ontaria Wilson returns for 51 yds to the NCSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 7 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 3Field Goal Good+47 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 65 yds , Julian Gray return for 16 yds to the NCSt 16

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the NCSt 24

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.14

Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 25 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 7 yds to the FlaSt 39

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.35

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 9 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 36 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 7 yds to the NCSt 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin Carter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Devin Leary pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 4 yds to the NCSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan Houston

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 15

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Jordan Travis run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Jack Chambers run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Jack Chambers run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Demarcus Jones II run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Ced Seabrough

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Chambers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 23

4th & 7Field Goal Good+40 yds

Christopher Dunn 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 66 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Thayer Thomas pass complete to Jack Chambers for 5 yds to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jack Chambers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 23

3rd & 40Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Chambers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 36

4th & 33Field Goal Good+53 yds

Christopher Dunn 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trey Benson run for no gain to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Markeston Douglas

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Jack Chambers run for 19 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.18

Delbert Mimms III run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 14

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 8

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.80

Jack Chambers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Christopher Dunn 27 yd FG GOOD

No play data available
1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the FlaSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 35

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the FlaSt 35

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 8

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane McDonough punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 10 yds to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.10

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 31 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the NCSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 7 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Lawrance Toafili run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the NCSt 22

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -4.08

Jordan Travis pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.31

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

J. Chambers takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
36%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
29 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
69%
13 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays