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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Boston College 39%

Market (consensus)

Boston College +13.5

Edge: Boston College +13.5 (10.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
71610033
Boston CollegeBoston College
7147634

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1021-2321-2628-3331-3334-33
Boston CollegeLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCTD1270ydTO352ydPUNT3-4ydTD449ydPUNT511ydTO3-5ydFG514ydTD375ydDOWNS48ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydTO3-9ydTD217ydTD575ydTD978ydEND421ydPUNT37ydFG841ydTD275ydTD775ydPUNT39ydPUNT720ydFG1260ydDOWNS636ydFG752ydDOWNS40ydEND4-15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Boston College
StatisticLouisvilleBoston College
Passing20-3618-21
Pass Yards205304
Rush Yards147144
Total Yards352448
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-162-9
Penalties6-7013-83
Possession33:0526:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
19/28, 186 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Malik Cunningham
15 CAR, 62 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tyler Hudson
4 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Boston College
passing
Phil Jurkovec
18/21, 304 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Alex Broome
9 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zay Flowers
5 REC, 151 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Tiyon Evans run for 10 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Malik Cunningham run for 13 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for no gain to the BC 47

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the BC 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 8 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 40

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.68

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 14 yds to the BC 26

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Tiyon Evans run for 19 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the BC 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

EVANS, Tiyon rush up the middle for no gain to the BC1 (WILLIAMS, Kwan). PENALTY BC Offsides on STEELE, Bryce enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the BC1 to the BC1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the BC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 58 yds , Jaelen Gill return for 21 yds to the BC 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.75

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 50 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.38

Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Trevion Cooley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 5

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 44 yds, downed at the Lvile 49

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.10

Pat Garwo III run for 26 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Zay Flowers run for 22 yds to the Lvile 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Lvile 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 62 yds , Jawhar Jordan return for 19 yds to the Lvile 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Lvile 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 7 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Malik Cunningham sacked by Elijah Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 33

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 41 yds, downed at the BC 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Phil Jurkovec run for 4 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 31

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.66

Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 20

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Tiyon Evans run for 13 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Tiyon Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 11

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 14

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the BC 11

4th & 11Penalty+5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the BC 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

James Turner 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Alex Broome run for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +5.19

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 57 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 59 yds , Jawhar Jordan return for 38 yds to the Lvile 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Trevion Cooley run for 7 yds to the BC 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the BC 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.82

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Momo Sanogo for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 41

3rd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to George Takacs for 10 yds to the Lvile 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 3 yds to the Lvile 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 6 yds to the Lvile 23

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Lvile 23

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 51 yds , Zay Flowers returns for no gain to the BC 26

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Pat Garwo III run for 20 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 2 yds to the BC 48

2nd & 8Sack-31 ydsPPA -2.54

Phil Jurkovec sacked for a loss of 31 yards to the BC 17

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face mask (4 yards) (Josh DeBerry) to the BC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Turner PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cam Barfield run for no gain to the BC 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 18 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 17 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Alex Broome run for no gain to the Lvile 40

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Alex Broome run for 40 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 43 yds , Maurice Turner return for no gain to the Lvile 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 16 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Tyler thrown to the BC41. PENALTY BC Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah enforced 15 yards to the BC47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.93

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 23 yds to the BC 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.18

Malik Cunningham run for 23 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the BC 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

EVANS, Tiyon rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the BC2 (DEPALMA, Vinny;EZEIRUAKU, Donovan). PENALTY BC Offsides on JONES, Elijah enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the BC1 to the BC1 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the BC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 62 yds , Jaelen Gill return for 28 yds to the BC 31

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Phil Jurkovec) to the BC 31

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Xavier Coleman run for 1 yd to the BC 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.54

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 12 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Pat Garwo III for 13 yds to the Lvile 48

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Broome run for 5 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Alex Broome run for no gain to the BC 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Alex Broome for 7 yds to the BC 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+6 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Tyler thrown to the UOL38. PENALTY BC Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the UOL39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 4 yds to the Lvile 44

3rd & 5Penalty+2 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Malik scrambles up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UOL46, End of Play. PENALTY BC Unsportsmanlike Conduct enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the BC26 to the BC13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the BC 24

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

JORDAN, Jawhar rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the BC25 (OKPALA, Neto). PENALTY UOL Holding on REID, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the BC24 to the BC34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 3 yds to the BC 31

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Good+48 yds

James Turner 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joseph Griffin Jr. for 6 yds to the BC 31

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.74

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 69 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 10 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.40

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Chris Bell for 18 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trevion Cooley run for 5 yds to the BC 40

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.11

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 29 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 12 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 6 yds to the BC 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zay Flowers run for no gain to the BC 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.07

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 33

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.75

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Francis Sherman for 13 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

JORDAN, Jawhar rush to the right for a gain of 48 yards to the BC0, TOUCHDOWN UOL, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UOL Chop Block on REID, Trevor enforced 15 yards from the BC48 to the UOL37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Delay Of Game (M.J. Griffin) to the Lvile 32

1st & 30Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Maurice Turner for 3 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 27Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 8 yds to the Lvile 43

3rd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 5 yds to the Lvile 48

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 27

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Lvile 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.97

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Jarvis Brownlee) to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Lewis Bond for 7 yds to the Lvile 20

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Lvile 18

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.13

Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Alex Broome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Alex Broome for no gain to the Lvile 20

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+37 yds

Connor Lytton 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 19 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Jawhar Jordan run for 11 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the BC 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brock Domann pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the BC 39

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.74

Brock Domann pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.09

Phil Jurkovec run for 33 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaden Williams) to the Lvile 20

1st & 2Penalty0 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Dezmond Tell) to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Lvile 10

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 15

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Lvile 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Spencer Witter for 6 yds to the Lvile 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Connor Lytton 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brock Domann pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

DOMANN, Brock pass to the left incomplete intended for HUGGINS-BRUCE, Ahmari broken up by JONES, Elijah at the UOL33. PENALTY BC Pass Interference on JONES, Elijah UOL Face mask on HUGGINS-BRUCE, Ahmari , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brock Domann pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brock Domann pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Brock Domann pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY BC Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WOODBEY, Jaiden UOL Unsportsmanlike Conduct , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.88

Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 40

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
52%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th