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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 13.2

Home Win Probability

Louisville 78%

Market (consensus)

Louisville -15.5

Edge: South Florida +15.5 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
00033
LouisvilleLouisville
141431041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-031-038-341-3
LouisvilleSouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUSFLOUPUNT57ydPUNT514ydTD682ydPUNT32ydTD566ydTO1143ydTD968ydPUNT38ydTD881ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT32ydTO625ydTO29ydTO21ydEND310ydPUNT3-7ydFG1139ydPUNT819ydPUNT519ydFG847ydTD675ydDOWNS50ydDOWNS46ydPUNT38ydFG1059ydDOWNS47ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Louisville
StatisticSouth FloridaLouisville
Passing13-2819-30
Pass Yards110259
Rush Yards48283
Total Yards158542
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-164-13
Penalties6-255-59
Possession29:1330:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Gerry Bohannon
9/17, 62 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
K'Wan Powell
8 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Yusuf Terry
4 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
14/22, 186 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Malik Cunningham
9 CAR, 113 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Tiyon Evans run for 10 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 38

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:29) CUNNINGHAM, Malik pass to the right complete for 10 yards to HUDSON, Tyler caught at the LOU47 and advanced to the LOU48 (WILLIAMS, Christian), clock 13:27. PENALTY LOU Holding on BROWN, Renato enforced 10 yards from the LOU38 to the LOU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 4 yds to the Lvile 32

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 44 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 5 yds to the SFla 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 30

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.10

Brian Battie run for 14 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 42

2nd & 12Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.13

Omarion Dollison run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 37

3rd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Gerry Bohanon run for 11 yds to the SFla 48

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TJ Robinson) to the SFla 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 18

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Trevion Cooley run for 10 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 12 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 13 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the SFla 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the SFla 45

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offsides (Tramel Logan) to the SFla 40

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.11

Malik Cunningham 40 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Michel Dukes for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 34

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.33

Jawhar Jordan run for 30 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 37 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) declined

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Malik Cunningham sacked by Tramel Logan and Jatorian Hansford for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 42

3rd & 16Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.21

Malik Cunningham run for 16 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jaelin Carter 26 Yd pass from Malik Cunningham (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Battie run for no gain to the SFla 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the SFla 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.73

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 18 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.98

Brian Battie run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 49

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the Lvile 44

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Lvile 43

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

(14:14) BOHANON, Gerry pass to the right incomplete thrown to the LOU39, clock 14:13. PENALTY LOU Offsides on CLARK, Kei'Trel enforced 5 yards from the LOU43 to the LOU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.35

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 8 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.19

Gerry Bohanon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 32 Gerry Bohanon fumbled, recovered by Lvile Dorian Jones

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tiyon Evans for 8 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.31

Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the Lvile 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Lvile 41

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.57

Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Tiyon Evans run for 11 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the SFla 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +5.00

Malik Cunningham 35 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 8 yds to the SFla 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 48 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the Lvile 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 15 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Matthew Hill) to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.58

Trevion Cooley run for 18 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Trevion Cooley run for 22 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

(07:32) COOLEY, Trevion rush up the middle for no gain to the USF1 (SHULER, Jhalyn), clock 07:30. PENALTY Before the snap, USF Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the USF1 to the USF0 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Pass Reception-14 ydsPPA -2.16

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for no gain to the SFla 1 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tyler Hudson) to the SFla 15

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the SFla 12

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the SFla 8

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Malik Cunningham 8 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the SFla 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Chris Carter for 1 yd to the SFla 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 10 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 14 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the SFla 45

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.56

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -3.16

Tiyon Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 35 Tiyon Evans fumbled, recovered by SFla Matthew Hill

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the Lvile 34

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.50

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Lvile 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Brian Battie run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 28

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.44

Gerry Bohanon sacked by YaYa Diaby for a loss of 10 yards to the SFla 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 12 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the SFla 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 4 yds to the SFla 34

4th & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.27

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the SFla 27

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +0.63

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 16 yds Tyler Hudson fumbled, recovered by Lvile Tyler Hudson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the SFla 9

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 11

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

James Turner 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the SFla 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 14 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.00

Katravis Marsh sacked by Yasir Abdullah for a loss of 13 yards to the SFla 44

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the Lvile 10

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.07

Trevion Cooley run for 15 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trevion Cooley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for no gain to the Lvile 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 44 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 6 yds to the SFla 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mychael Hamilton run for 3 yds to the SFla 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 6 yds to the SFla 42

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.01

Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.85

K'Wan Powell run for 37 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

K'Wan Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 21

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 20

4th & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

Spencer Shrader 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 24 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.96

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 30 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the SFla 12

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Tiyon Evans run for 9 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+51 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 51 yds , return for no gain to the SFla 14 , return for no gain to the SFla 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.42

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 21 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

K'Wan Powell run for no gain to the SFla 35

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the SFla 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brock Domann pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Brock Domann pass complete to Elijah Downing for 7 yds to the SFla 8

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.91

Brock Domann pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SFla 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Garret Reynolds for 7 yds to the SFla 16

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Trevion Cooley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Brock Domann pass complete to Chris Bell for 26 yds to the LOUISVILLE 40 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Bell) to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Maurice Turner run for 2 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.90

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 16 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brock Domann pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.26

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 24 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Maurice Turner run for 2 yds to the SFla 11

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Brock Domann run for 3 yds to the SFla 8

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brock Domann pass complete to Bradley West for no gain to the SFla 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

James Turner 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+42 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Battie return for 42 yds to the LOUISVILLE 23 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Chandler Jones) to the Lvile 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Grant Goodman run for no gain to the Lvile 36

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
17%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
27%
15 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
56%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays