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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 10.9

Home Win Probability

Michigan 78%

Market (consensus)

Michigan -17

Edge: Maryland +17 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MarylandMaryland
10301427
MichiganMichigan
10701734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-310-1010-1317-1324-1324-1927-1934-27
MichiganMaryland

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICMARMICTD110ydFG840ydFG1041ydTD1375ydTO446ydFG639ydPUNT420ydTO551ydMISS1047ydPUNT3-1ydTD870ydEND16ydPUNT526ydPUNT1040ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydTD1085ydTD1075ydFG755ydTO26ydTD565ydTD1475ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maryland and Michigan
StatisticMarylandMichigan
Passing25-3918-26
Pass Yards269220
Rush Yards128243
Total Yards397463
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-145-12
Penalties1-51-15
Possession28:0731:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maryland
passing
Taulia Tagovailoa
20/30, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Roman Hemby
16 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Corey Dyches
3 REC, 60 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
18/26, 220 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
30 CAR, 243 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ronnie Bell
3 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 63 yds , Tai Felton return for 8 yds to the Mary 10 Tai Felton fumbled, recovered by Mich

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the Mary 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 8 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 5 yds to the Mary 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to CJ Dippre

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+53 yds

Chad Ryland 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Max Bredeson for 9 yds to the Mary 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.22

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 5 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 5 yds to the Mary 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+52 yds

Jake Moody 52 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Antwain Littleton II run for 16 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 7 yds to the Mary 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 12 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Colby McDonald for 7 yds to the Mich 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.38

Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 4 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.32

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 12 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mich 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the Mich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Antwain Littleton II run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Chad Ryland kickoff for 63 yds , Roman Wilson return for 25 yds to the Mich 27

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Blake Corum run for 24 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mary 48

2nd & 9Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Blake Corum run for 23 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.30

C.J. Stokes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 27 C.J. Stokes fumbled, recovered by Mary Ahmad McCullough

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Antwain Littleton II run for 11 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.94

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 26 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ramon Brown run for 5 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Roman Hemby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 34

4th & 8Field Goal Good+52 yds

Chad Ryland 52 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 18 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Ronnie Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 11 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 12 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 2 yds to the Mary 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.93

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to CJ Dippre for 26 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.76

Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted DJ Turner return for no gain to the Mich 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 27

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.07

J.J. McCarthy run for 4 yds to the Mich 31 J.J. McCarthy fumbled, recovered by Mich Cornelius Johnson

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.08

J.J. McCarthy run for 9 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 9 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.32

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 13 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Blake Corum run for 21 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mary 17

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-15 ydsPPA -3.06

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Anthony Booker Jr. for a loss of 15 yards to the Mary 32 J.J. McCarthy fumbled, recovered by Mich Olusegun Oluwatimi , return for 0 yards

3rd & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mary 25

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Jake Moody 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Mary 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 4 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

J.J. McCarthy run for 9 yds to the Mich 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.33

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 15 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the Mary 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mary 33

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.28

Blake Corum run for 33 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

4th & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 65 yds , Tai Felton return for 24 yds to the Mary 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Antwain Littleton II run for 6 yds to the Mary 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 44

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 49

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Isaiah Gash run for 2 yds to the Mary 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jeshaun Jones at the Mary 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Mary 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the Mary 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 8 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 15 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Rakim Jarrett for 6 yds to the Mary 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Mary 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the Mary 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 1 yd to the Mary 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 13

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 12

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.12

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Gavin Gibson for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 10

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 54 yds , Jeshaun Jones returns for 8 yds to the Mary 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Taulia Tagovailoa run for 1 yd to the Mary 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 8 yds to the Mich 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.37

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 19 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Andrel Anthony

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.90

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 14 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Max Bredeson for 6 yds to the Mary 27

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the Mary 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the Mary 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 4 yds to the Mary 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the Mary 46

4th & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.34

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.79

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 44 yds to the Mich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mich 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 4 yds for a TD, (Taulia Tagovailoa intercepted )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 4 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.20

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 49 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mary 20

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mary 20

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+38 yds

Jake Moody 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the Mary 31

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.26

Taulia Tagovailoa pass intercepted R.J. Moten return for no gain to the Mich 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mary 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mary 47

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.93

Blake Corum run for 47 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Billy Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the Mary 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Corey Dyches for 4 yds to the Mary 40

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.74

Billy Edwards Jr. sacked by Mike Sainristil for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.41

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 45

2nd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.12

Billy Edwards Jr. sacked by Mike Morris for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 39

3rd & 21Rush+23 ydsPPA +4.05

Billy Edwards Jr. run for 23 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.53

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 22 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Billy Edwards Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Roman Hemby for 1 yd to the Mich 15

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Billy Edwards Jr. sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 18

4th & 12Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +4.23

Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to CJ Dippre for 18 yds for a TD, (Billy Edwards Jr. pass to Jeshaun Jones for Two-Point Conversion)

4th & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Chad Ryland kickoff for 14 yds , Colston Loveland return for no gain to the Mary 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 49

Situational Analysis

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
58%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
30 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play