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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
ArmyArmy
9
-Final
10
TroyTroy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 16.1

Home Win Probability

Troy 82%

Market (consensus)

Troy -8.5

Edge: Troy -8.5 (7.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
09009
TroyTroy
003710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407140-60-93-910-9
TroyArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARMTROARMTROARMTROARMTROARMTROTROARMTROARMTROARMTROARMTROARMTRODOWNS1473ydPUNT39ydTD1148ydPUNT516ydPUNT544ydTO1-8ydTO16ydPUNT513ydFG1666ydEND10ydFG1376ydPUNT633ydPUNT54ydPUNT4-1ydTO747ydPUNT30ydTD857ydPUNT431ydPUNT526ydMISS947ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Troy
StatisticArmyTroy
Passing4-915-31
Pass Yards82192
Rush Yards27572
Total Yards357264
Turnovers22
3rd Down5-141-9
Penalties3-203-35
Possession37:0722:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Tyhier Tyler
2/5, 52 YDS
rushing
Tyhier Tyler
27 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joshua Lingenfelter
1 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
15/31, 192 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kimani Vidal
13 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Tez Johnson
6 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyhier Tyler run for 10 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 34

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 9 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.18

Tyson Riley run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Troy 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Troy 43

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

TROY Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jakobi Buchanan run for 8 yds to the Troy 14

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Troy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Troy 6

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Troy 4

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Troy 3

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.18

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Troy 2 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by Troy Buddha Jones

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the Troy 3

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

DK Billingsley run for 8 yds to the Troy 11

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 37 yds, downed at the Troy 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the Troy 29

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.76

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 13 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Troy 10

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Troy 7

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Troy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Hayden Reed run for 1 yd to the Troy 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Tyhier Tyler 3 Yd Run (Quinn Maretzki PAT failed)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass up the middle complete for 20 yards to STOUDEMIRE, Deshon caught at the TRO40 and advanced to the TRO45 (HAMMONDS, Quindrelin;O'GARA, Camden). PENALTY TRO Holding on BETTS, Grant enforced 10 yards from the TRO25 to the TRO15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the Troy 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.14

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cameron Jones at the Army 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Joshua Lingenfelter for 36 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyson Riley run for no gain to the Army 48

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Markel Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Maurice Bellan run for 4 yds to the Troy 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -1.31

Tez Johnson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 22 Tez Johnson fumbled, recovered by Army Jimmy Ciarlo

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -4.35

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Troy 16 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by Troy Dell Pettus

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 10 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 46 yds, downed at the Army 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Army 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.02

Tyhier Tyler run for 14 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyson Riley run for 7 yds to the Troy 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Troy 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Troy 17

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Troy 15

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the Troy 11 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Troy 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jemel Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jemel Jones pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Quinn Maretzki 26 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Cole Talley kickoff for 31 yds , Kimani Vidal return for 10 yds to the Troy 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Gunnar Watson sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 14

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Cole Talley kickoff for 64 yds , Jamontez Woods return for 19 yds to the Troy 20

2nd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.64

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 5 yds to the Troy 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.15

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 21 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 9 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Clayton Ollendieck for 9 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.94

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 23 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Brooks Buce 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyson Riley run for 7 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Markel Johnson run for 5 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Troy 42

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Troy 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 7 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jarris Williams run for 4 yds to the Troy 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.71

Gunnar Watson sacked by Kwabena Bonsu for a loss of 10 yards to the Troy 24

4th & 16Punt+7 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 41 yds , Cameron Jones returns for 7 yds to the Army 42

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Jakobi Buchanan run for 11 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BUCHANAN, Jakobi rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the TRO45 (STRINGER, Jordan;MARTIAL, Carlton). PENALTY AWP Block below the waist on MURPHY, Braheam enforced 15 yards from the TRO47 to the AWP38. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 22Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyhier Tyler sacked by TJ Harris and T.J. Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 37

3rd & 26Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 41

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 13 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.59

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 15 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.34

Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 19 yds to the Army 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Army 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -4.12

Gunnar Watson pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 23

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

ARMY Penalty, Holding Intentional Grounding on TYLER, Tyhier enforced at the spot of the foul for a result of a (Connor Finucane) declined

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyson Riley run for 7 yds to the Army 20

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Kimani Vidal run for 21 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Army 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 20 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Kimani Vidal run for 11 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Army 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 28 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Troy 41

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.66

Kimani Vidal run for 16 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Kimani Vidal run for 11 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 39

3rd & 5Penalty-20 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass to the left complete for 30 yards to JOHNSON, Tez caught at the AWP31 and advanced to the AWP31, out of bounds. PENALTY TRO Unnecessary Roughness on BUTLER, Deandre enforced 20 yards from the TRO39 to the TRO19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Gunnar Watson run for 9 yds to the Troy 33

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.70

Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 16 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Tyson Riley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.01

Jemel Jones pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 24 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the Troy 33

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Troy 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jemel Jones pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 6 yds to the Troy 25

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Quinn Maretzki 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[SG] Kneel down by WATSON, Gunnar at TRO24 (team loss of 1).

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play