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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Arizona State 19%

Market (consensus)

Arizona State +7.5

Edge: Oregon State -7.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
7714331
Arizona StateArizona State
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-217-287-31
Arizona StateOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSOSASOSASOSOSASOSASPUNT39ydTD978ydMISS1565ydMISS1054ydPUNT825ydPUNT415ydTD767ydTD475ydDOWNS530ydEND1-5ydTD1083ydDOWNS934ydTD1159ydPUNT716ydPUNT38ydFG43ydPUNT32ydMISS1358ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and Arizona State
StatisticOregon StateArizona State
Passing18-2420-32
Pass Yards221122
Rush Yards222154
Total Yards443276
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-115-14
Penalties3-304-55
Possession34:1725:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
Ben Gulbranson
15/21, 188 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Damien Martinez
22 CAR, 138 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jack Velling
3 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arizona State
passing
Trenton Bourguet
20/32, 122 YDS
rushing
Xazavian Valladay
13 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalin Conyers
6 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 2 yds to the ArzSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34

4th & 1Punt+6 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 50 yds , Jesiah Irish returns for 6 yds to the OrgSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 6 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 7 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 18 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.98

Damien Martinez run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Harrison,Tre'Shaun rush left for 7 yards gain to the ASU21 (Robertson,Merlin) PENALTY OSU Holding (Overman,Jake) 10 yards from ASU28 to ASU38. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the ArzSt 33

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.43

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 15 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyjon Lindsey run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Valladay,Xazavian rush right for 3 yards gain to the ASU49 (Fisher-Morris,Kyrei) PENALTY ASU Holding (Martinez,Chris) 10 yards from ASU46 to ASU36. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Andre Johnson

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 9 yds to the ArzSt 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.24

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Cam Johnson for 15 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin Conyers

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 2 yds to the OrgSt 36

4th & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Trenton Bourguet run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.22

Xazavian Valladay run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 15

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Andre Johnson

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 5 yds to the OrgSt 10

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Carter Brown 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Ben Gulbranson run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Jam Griffin run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Ben Gulbranson run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Damien Martinez

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Everett Hayes 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Trenton Bourguet run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Trenton Bourguet run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 12 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Messiah Swinson

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Trenton Bourguet sacked by Easton Mascarenas-Arnold for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Damien Martinez run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jam Griffin run for no gain to the OrgSt 41

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.15

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Merlin Robertson for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 35

4th & 10Punt+5 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 37 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 5 yds to the ArzSt 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Elijhah Badger run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

2nd & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.87

Xazavian Valladay run for 39 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trenton Bourguet run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 11

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jace Feely KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 35 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Ben Gulbranson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.11

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 12 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 21 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY ASU Personal Foul (Silvera,Nesta Jade) 15 yards from OSU35 to OSU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 21 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Bryan Thompson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.61

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 5 yds to the OrgSt 45

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Eddie Czaplicki kickoff for 57 yds , Silas Bolden return for 9 yds to the OrgSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 10 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 11 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 7 yds to the ArzSt 45

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ben Gulbranson run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU False Start (Levengood,Jake) 5 yards from ASU28 to ASU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Gulbranson,Ben pass incomplete short left to Bolden,Silas PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Woods,Ed) 15 yards from ASU33 to ASU18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 12

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.41

Damien Martinez run for 12 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trenton Bourguet run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Trenton Bourguet run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 35

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass complete deep left to Sanders,Giovanni for 20 yards to the OSU15 (Cooper Jr.,Ryan), out of bounds PENALTY ASU Chop Block 15 yards from OSU35 to OSU50. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 5 yds to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Andre Johnson

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 15 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for no gain to the ArzSt 44

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Ben Gulbranson run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ben Gulbranson run for no gain to the ArzSt 21

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Martinez,Damien rush left for 21 yards gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:03 PENALTY OSU Personal Foul (Dunmore,John) 15 yards from ASU21 to ASU36. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.44

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 12 yds to the ArzSt 24

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 14 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Ben Gulbranson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin Conyers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for no gain to the ArzSt 39

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 40

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Trenton Bourguet run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 41

4th & 8Punt+13 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 25 , Jesiah Irish returns for 13 yds to the OrgSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Everett Hayes 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Daniyel Ngata return for 19 yds to the ArzSt 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Andre Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 2 yds to the ArzSt 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 56 yds , Jesiah Irish returns for 16 yds to the OrgSt 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaiah Newell run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Makiya Tongue for 8 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Silas Bolden run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40

4th & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 21 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kanoa Shannon run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 11

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Isaiah Newell run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+2 yds

Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 7

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kanoa Shannon run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 5

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Everett Hayes 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
61%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play