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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 20.7

Home Win Probability

Arizona 10%

Market (consensus)

Arizona +3

Edge: North Dakota State -3 (17.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
7714028
ArizonaArizona
7107731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-714-1417-1424-2124-2831-28
ArizonaNorth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARINDSARINDSARINDSARINDSARINDSARINDSARINDSARINDSARINDSARIPUNT3-2ydDOWNS628ydTD859ydTD980ydDOWNS49ydTO717ydTD1083ydTD975ydFG456ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydTD676ydTD875ydTD775ydMISS1049ydDOWNS752ydTD1078ydPUNT32ydEND613yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota State and Arizona
StatisticNorth Dakota StateArizona
Passing10-1220-28
Pass Yards124229
Rush Yards283165
Total Yards407394
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-75-11
Penalties6-601-15
Possession31:1828:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
10/12, 124 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Hunter Luepke
18 CAR, 115 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Hunter Luepke
3 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arizona
passing
Jayden de Laura
20/28, 229 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Michael Wiley
9 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dorian Singer
6 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Ariz 25

2nd & 10Rush-16 ydsPPA -0.61

run for a loss of 16 yards to the Ariz 9

3rd & 26Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Wiley run for 14 yds to the Ariz 23

4th & 12Punt+11 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 57 yds , Jayden Price returns for 11 yds to the NDkSt 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hunter Luepke run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Cam Miller pass complete to Jake Lippe for 17 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kobe Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the Ariz 39

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 44

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the Ariz 41

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.54

Cam Miller pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Jayden de Laura run for 12 yds to the NDkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 3 yds to the NDkSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.38

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 6 yds to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jayden de Laura run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.98

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 24 yds to the NDkSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

DJ Williams run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Michael Wiley run for 6 yds for a TD NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NDkSt 0, (Tyler Loop KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Tyler Loop kickoff for 41 yds , Kobe Johnson return for 11 yds to the NDkSt 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

run for 6 yds to the NDkSt 26

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.44

Braylon Henderson run for 15 yds to the NDkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.02

Hunter Luepke run for 7 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Hunter Luepke run for 7 yds to the Ariz 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the Ariz 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 31

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.33

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Luepke for 31 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Michael Wiley run for 8 yds to the Ariz 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for no gain to the Ariz 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for no gain to the Ariz 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

run for 1 yd to the Ariz 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Hunter Luepke run for 4 yds to the Ariz 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Cam Miller pass complete to Noah Gindorff for 7 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Noah Gindorff) to the Ariz 28

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Cole Payton run for 10 yds to the Ariz 18

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dominic Gonnella run for 3 yds to the Ariz 15

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Hunter Luepke run for 5 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Payton run for 5 yds to the Ariz 5

2nd & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.37

Cam Miller sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Jayden de Laura run for 9 yds to the Ariz 26

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 22 yds to the NDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 22 yds to the NDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 7 yds to the NDkSt 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for no gain to the NDkSt 42

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.24

Jayden de Laura run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 14 yds to the NDkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the NDkSt 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.89

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 16 yds to the NDkSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jayden de Laura run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Manu) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Cam Miller sacked by Dion Wilson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NDkSt 49

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.05

Cole Payton run for 12 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the Ariz 38

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

LUEPKE, Hunter rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the ARI38 (HARRIS, Jalen;MANU, Jacob), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY ARI Personal Foul on ROLAND-WALLACE, Christian NDS Holding on ZABEL, Grey , Offsetting penalties. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Cam Miller pass complete to Noah Gindorff for 14 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Cam Miller) to the Ariz 29

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Hart run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27

2nd & 13Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Luepke for 25 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hunter Luepke run for no gain to the Ariz 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cam Miller run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Jayden de Laura run for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.21

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 30 yds to the NDkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for MCMILLAN, Tetairoa thrown to the NDS19. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on PRICE, Jayden enforced 15 yards to the NDS19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for MCMILLAN, Tetairoa thrown to the NDS19. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on PRICE, Jayden enforced 15 yards to the NDS19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Tyler Loop 36 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Hunter Luepke run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Miller pass complete to Kobe Johnson for 1 yd to the NDkSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the Ariz 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rayshon Luke run for 4 yds to the Ariz 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 52 yds, downed at the NDkSt 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 52 yds, downed at the NDkSt 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kobe Johnson run for 6 yds to the NDkSt 30

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Hunter Luepke run for 10 yds to the NDkSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Hunter Luepke run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.97

TaMerik Williams run for 34 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.65

Dominic Gonnella run for 19 yds to the Ariz 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

H. Luepke run for 6 yds for a TD, (G. Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden de Laura run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the right incomplete thrown to the ARI40. PENALTY NDS Personal Foul on MOSTAERT, Will enforced 15 yards from the ARI30 to the ARI45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.30

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Anthony Simpson for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 42

3rd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.76

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 23 yds to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden de Laura run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.68

Rayshon Luke run for 28 yds to the NDkSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

J. Coleman run for 2 yds for a TD, (T. Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kobe Johnson run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Hunter Luepke run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cam Miller pass complete to Noah Gindorff for 9 yds to the NDkSt 44

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

TaMerik Williams run for 7 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Braylon Henderson run for 11 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Hunter Luepke run for 38 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the Ariz 30

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.23

DJ Williams run for 10 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.79

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 22 yds to the NDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 9 yds to the NDkSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 9 yds to the NDkSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.39

Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.56

Jayden de Laura sacked by Javier Derritt for a loss of 8 yards to the NDkSt 32

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jayden de Laura run for 6 yds to the NDkSt 26

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Tyler Loop 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.00

Kobe Johnson run for 22 yds to the NDkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Hunter Luepke run for 7 yds to the Ariz 45

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.55

TaMerik Williams run for 14 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jalen Bussey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Luepke for 9 yds to the Ariz 23

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Hunter Luepke run for no gain to the Ariz 23

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Hunter Luepke run for no gain to the Ariz 23

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.37

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the Ariz 22

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.37

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the Ariz 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ariz 28

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.31

Jonah Coleman run for 13 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 1 yd to the Ariz 42

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.93

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 19 yds to the NDkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds to the NDkSt 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 27

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.14

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the NDkSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 22 yds for a TD NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Oscar Benson) declined, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 2 yds to the NDkSt 27

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 2 yds to the NDkSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 30 yds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Michael Wiley run for 9 yds to the NDkSt 41 for a 1ST down

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Michael Wiley run for 9 yds to the NDkSt 41 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
55%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
0%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays