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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2022Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 40%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -3.5

Edge: Louisville +3.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
070613
KentuckyKentucky
7610326

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-013-013-716-726-726-13
KentuckyLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENPUNT39ydPUNT517ydTD586ydDOWNS1274ydFG962ydTO5-5ydFG4-5ydPUNT34ydPUNT727ydTD1264ydEND3-3ydPUNT36ydFG1040ydTO21ydTD316ydPUNT510ydFG1260ydTD1075ydPUNT631ydTO749ydEND3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Kentucky
StatisticLouisvilleKentucky
Passing17-2711-19
Pass Yards145188
Rush Yards164158
Total Yards309346
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-123-11
Penalties5-579-56
Possession27:1532:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Brock Domann
14/21, 129 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jawhar Jordan
22 CAR, 145 YDS
receiving
Tyler Hudson
6 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
11/19, 188 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
24 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Josh Kattus
2 REC, 76 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 53 yds , Kavosiey Smoke return for 13 yds to the Kent 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.49

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the Kent 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.43

Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 10 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Brock Domann pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 35

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+70 ydsPPA +4.30

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 70 yds to the Lvile 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper LEVIS, Will rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the LOU0, TOUCHDOWN UKY, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap, UKY Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the LOU2 to the LOU7. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Maurice Turner run for 7 yds to the Lvile 20

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brock Domann pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Brock Domann run for 3 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 1Penalty+10 yds

DOMANN, Brock pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Tyler thrown to the UKY31. PENALTY UKY Holding on VALENTINE, Carrington enforced 10 yards from the LOU32 to the LOU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.55

Jawhar Jordan run for 22 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brock Domann pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Kent 29

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brock Domann pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 10 yds to the Kent 13

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.94

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Kent 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.09

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 18 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 39

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

MCCLAIN, JuTahn rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the UKY41 (SANOGO, MoMo). PENALTY UKY Holding on DINGLE, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the UKY39 to the UKY29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

LEVIS, Will pass up the middle incomplete intended for KATTUS, Josh thrown to the UKY45. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on DUNCAN, Kenderick enforced 15 yards to the UKY44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.05

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 15 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 25

4th & 4Field Goal Good+43 yds

Matt Ruffolo 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brock Domann pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Jawhar Jordan run for 11 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brock Domann pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-20 ydsPPA -1.09

Brock Domann sacked for a loss of 20 yards to the Lvile 6

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Levis) to the Lvile 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Matt Ruffolo 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.69

Malik Cunningham sacked by Zion Childress for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 16

3rd & 19Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.20

Maurice Turner run for 13 yds to the Lvile 29

4th & 6Punt-4 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Barion Brown returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 20

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

JuTahn McClain run for 12 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 6 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.62

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 6 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.84

Will Levis sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 36

3rd & 20Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.12

JuTahn McClain run for 16 yds to the Lvile 48

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 47

4th & 9Punt+30 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 47 yds , Braden Smith returns for 30 yds to the Lvile 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 7 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jawhar Jordan run for 9 yds to the Kent 42

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.01

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 3 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyler Hudson) to the Kent 45

1st & 16Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.53

Jawhar Jordan run for 21 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Kent 16

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) to the Kent 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 31

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 33

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Malik Cunningham sacked by Deone Walker and Trevin Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 16

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 22

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.19

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Lvile 31

4th & 4Punt+13 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds , Barion Brown returns for 13 yds to the Kent 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 21 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

JuTahn McClain run for 6 yds to the Lvile 22

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Matt Ruffolo 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 7 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the Lvile 35 Maurice Turner fumbled, recovered by Lvile Renato Brown for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 1 yd to the Lvile 36

2nd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Brock Domann sacked by Jamarius Dinkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brock Domann pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Barion Brown returns for no gain to the Kent 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.07

Will Levis pass complete to Rahsaan Lewis for 13 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

JuTahn McClain run for 7 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

JuTahn McClain run for 10 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.94

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 19

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.03

JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Matt Ruffolo 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 16 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 4 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

DOMANN, Brock pass to the left complete for 9 yards to BELL, Chris caught at the UKY40 and advanced to the UKY35 (JONES, Jacquez). PENALTY LOU Holding on MARTIN, Isaac enforced 10 yards from the UKY44 to the LOU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.85

Jawhar Jordan run for 13 yds to the Kent 41

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Kent 41

4th & 3Penalty0 yds

PENALTY UKY Personal Foul on WRIGHT, Jordan LOU Personal Foul on BROWN, Renato , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.54

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 12 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.07

Tyler Hudson 27 Yd pass from Brock Domann (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 35 yds , Chauncey Magwood return for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 29

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 20 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 41

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Lvile 40

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Lvile 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 39 yds, downed at the Lvile 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.50

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 17 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.06

Jawhar Jordan run for 15 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DOMANN, Brock pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to HUDSON, Tyler caught at the LOU36 and advanced to the LOU40 (WALLACE, Trevin). PENALTY LOU Holding on REID, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the LOU33 to the LOU23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Brock Domann pass complete to Braden Smith for 9 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 3 yds to the Lvile 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 13 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Brock Domann pass intercepted

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Brock Domann pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kneel down by UKY at LOU47 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kneel down by UKY at LOU48 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kneel down by UKY at LOU48 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
52%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th