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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 26.2

Home Win Probability

Alabama 93%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -45

Edge: Austin Peay +45 (18.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Austin Peay
00000
AlabamaAlabama
71010734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-027-034-0
AlabamaAustin Peay

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAAPAPALAAPALAAPALAAPALAAPALAAPALAAPALAAPALAAPALAAPALATD1392ydTO30ydDOWNS933ydTO749ydMISS1144ydTD880ydTO421ydFG834ydPUNT516ydEND20ydPUNT617ydPUNT35ydPUNT35ydTD365ydTO4-4ydFG517ydPUNT515ydTD866ydTO643ydTO1058ydPUNT36ydEND1051yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Austin Peay and Alabama
StatisticAustin PeayAlabama
Passing20-3322-30
Pass Yards147264
Rush Yards59263
Total Yards206527
Turnovers33
3rd Down3-135-12
Penalties3-304-30
Possession24:1935:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Austin Peay
passing
Mike Diliello
20/32, 147 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
CJ Evans Jr.
14 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Drae McCray
12 REC, 92 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Bryce Young
18/24, 221 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jase McClellan
17 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jermaine Burton
7 REC, 128 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 65 yds , Emmanuel Henderson Jr. return for 8 yds to the Alab 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 14 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 22

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Roydell Williams run for 13 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.89

Jase McClellan run for 28 yds to the APeay 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 13 yds to the APeay 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the APeay 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 8 yds to the APeay 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the APeay 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Bryce Young run for 7 yds to the APeay 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 60 yds , Kam Thomas return for 23 yds to the APeay 28

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for no gain to the APeay 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Goodman pass incomplete to Drae McCray

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen Stewart

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 34 yds , TEAM returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by APeay Ethan Myers

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambre

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kellen Stewart for 7 yds to the Alab 15

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

CJ Evans Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CJ Evans Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Mike DiLiello run for 1 yd to the Alab 2

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 3

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Jordan Goco

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryce Young pass complete to Kendrick Law for 3 yds to the Alab 6

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Jase McClellan run for 12 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Jase McClellan run for 19 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the Alab 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the APeay 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 1 yd Isaiah Bond fumbled, recovered by APeay

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CJ Evans Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Mike DiLiello run for 8 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 6 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 3 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 12 yds to the Alab 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

CJ Evans Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen Stewart

4th & 0Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Maddux Trujillo 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Jase McClellan run for 35 yds to the APeay 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Bryce Young sacked by Kory Chapman for a loss of 4 yards to the APeay 49

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 2 yds to the APeay 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 7 yds to the APeay 40

4th & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.91

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 23 yds to the APeay 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the APeay 14

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Jase McClellan run for 10 yds to the APeay 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 64 yds , Kam Thomas return for 22 yds to the ALABAMA 43 ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the APeay 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Jevon Jackson

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

DiLiello, Mike pass incomplete to McCray, Drae, PENALTY AUSTINPEAY face mask 15 yards to the AUSTINPEAY23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.81

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 32 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -3.41

Mike DiLiello pass intercepted Kool-Aid McKinstry return for 26 yds to the APeay 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the APeay 22

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Jase McClellan run for 9 yds to the APeay 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds to the APeay 6

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.78

Bryce Young sacked by Hosea Knifeley Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 11

4th & 8Field Goal Good+29 yds

Will Reichard 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the APeay 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kellen Stewart for 11 yds to the APeay 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Drae McCray

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the APeay 40

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the APeay 41

4th & 8Punt+29 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALABAMA 25 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 30

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.49

Bryce Young sacked by Demetries Ford for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 22

2nd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Alab 30

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the APeay 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 4 yds to the APeay 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

CJ Evans Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 34

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

CJ Evans Jr. run for 8 yds to the APeay 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen Stewart

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Amari Niblack

4th & 5Punt+56 yds

James Burnip punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the ALABAMA 32 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the APeay 22

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 20

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 3 yds to the APeay 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.68

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 50 yds to the APeay 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the APeay 9

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Jase McClellan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 62 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 30 yds to the APeay 33

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Josh Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 32 Josh Samuel fumbled, recovered by APeay Josh Samuel

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 7 yds to the APeay 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen Stewart

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-10 ydsPPA -0.19

Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 10 yards to the APeay 29 Mike DiLiello fumbled, recovered by Alab Damon Payne Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Bryce Young pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 11 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the APeay 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Roydell Williams

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Young, Bryce pass complete to Prentice, Kobe for 18 yards to the AUSTINPEAY0, PENALTY ALABAMA ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the AUSTINPEAY23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 11 yds to the APeay 12

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Will Reichard 30 yd FG GOOD

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 57 yds , Kam Thomas return for 14 yds to the APeay 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 2 yds to the APeay 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jordan Goco for 9 yds to the APeay 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 32

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds to the APeay 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 2 yds to the APeay 37

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 39 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 10 yds to the Alab 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 18 yds to the APeay 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 7 yds to the APeay 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the APeay 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Bryce Young pass complete to Roydell Williams for 15 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Roydell Williams run for 6 yds to the APeay 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the APeay 10

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Jermaine Burton 10 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)

3rd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 60 yds , Kam Thomas return for 15 yds to the APeay 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 18 yds to the APeay 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambre

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kellen Stewart for 4 yds to the Alab 42

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.95

Mike DiLiello pass intercepted Brian Branch return for no gain to the Alab 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 11 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 12 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.01

Jalen Milroe run for 16 yds to the APeay 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Jamarion Miller run for 7 yds to the APeay 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the APeay 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd to the APeay 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -3.12

Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Cedarius Doss return for 3 yds to the APeay 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 3 yds to the APeay 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kam Thomas

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the APeay 11

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 57 yds, downed at the Alab 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jamarion Miller run for 8 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd to the Alab 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Jamarion Miller run for 9 yds to the APeay 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Simpson pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 6 yds to the APeay 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Jamarion Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 43

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the APeay 35

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd to the APeay 34

4th & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Ty Simpson pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 14 yds to the APeay 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the APeay 17

Situational Analysis

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
56%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play