Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 25.1

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 93%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -26.5

Edge: Northern Illinois +26.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
770923
KentuckyKentucky
7710731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-721-1424-1431-1431-1731-23
KentuckyNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIKENNIKENNIKENNIKENNIKENKENNIKENNIKENNIKENNIKENNIKENTD1175ydTD1675ydPUNT624ydPUNT66ydPUNT32ydTD498ydPUNT924ydTO223ydTD634ydUncategorized00ydTD370ydPUNT34ydPUNT620ydPUNT37ydFG736ydPUNT712ydTD1178ydFG755ydPUNT35ydTD568ydUncategorized410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Kentucky
StatisticNorthern IllinoisKentucky
Passing14-2618-26
Pass Yards199303
Rush Yards128103
Total Yards327406
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-1510-16
Penalties6-452-8
Possession26:1733:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Ethan Hampton
13/25, 196 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Harrison Waylee
18 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Kacper Rutkiewicz
1 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
18/26, 303 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kavosiey Smoke
12 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Tayvion Robinson
7 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 4 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 14 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Lynch run for 6 yds to the Kent 36

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 24

1st & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.39

Antario Brown run for 20 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the Kent 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the Kent 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 2 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 44 yds , Kavosiey Smoke return for 4 yds to the Kent 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion Brown

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 6 yds to the Kent 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Will Levis pass incomplete to Jordan Dingle

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the Kent 43 Kavosiey Smoke fumbled, recovered by Kent

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Will Levis pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 8 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the NoIll 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey Smoke

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the NoIll 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Harrison Waylee

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 16 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 4 yds to the NoIll 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ethan Hampton punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 8 yds to the Kent 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.68

Will Levis sacked by Javaughn Byrd and Demond Taylor Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 32

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Levis sacked by James Ester and Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 26

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 35

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 25

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Antario Brown run for 12 yds to the NoIll 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 2

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.20

Kavosiey Smoke run for 27 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Levis pass incomplete to Brenden Bates

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.89

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 69 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Ethan Hampton run for 6 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 8 yds to the NoIll 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mason Blakemore run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 45

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the Kent 46

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Levis pass incomplete to Keaton Upshaw

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA +0.13

Kavosiey Smoke run for 23 yds to the Kent 34 Kavosiey Smoke fumbled, forced by Javaughn Byrd, recovered by NoIll Nick Rattin

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.39

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 20 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Fabian McCray for 9 yds to the Kent 5

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Kent 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Shemar Thornton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 45 yds , Kavosiey Smoke return for 12 yds to the Kent 32

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 41 yds , Kavosiey Smoke return for 6 yds to the Kent 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Kent 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +7.02

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 70 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+42 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 59 yds , Billy Dozier return for 42 yds to the NoIll 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Kent 12

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Kent 12

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 15 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.22

Will Levis sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 21

2nd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for no gain to the Kent 21

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.13

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the Kent 30

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 60 yds, downed at the NoIll 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the NoIll 17

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Tom Foley punt for 54 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Kent 33

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the NoIll 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.96

Will Levis run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 6 yds to the NoIll 32

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the NoIll 32

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31

4th & 3Field Goal Good+49 yds

Matt Ruffolo 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the NoIll 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 39

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Tom Foley punt for 43 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 2 yds to the Kent 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 19 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Kent 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 5 yds to the Kent 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.97

Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 5 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the NoIll 40

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the NoIll 40

4th & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 2 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Will Levis sacked by Daveren Rayner for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 40

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +5.31

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Fabian McCray for 24 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.38

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 19 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Kent 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 6 yds to the Kent 15

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Kent 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

John Richardson 38 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 43 yds , Barion Brown return for 1 yd to the Kent 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

JuTahn McClain run for 4 yds to the Kent 29

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Will Levis sacked by Cade Haberman and Demond Taylor Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 28

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.64

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 63 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Kent 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 0Penalty+3 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (3 Yards) to the Kent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Justin Lynch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 44

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

TEAM run for no gain to the NoIll 44

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
41%
17 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays