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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 7.7

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 67%

Market (consensus)

Northern Illinois -2.5

Edge: Northern Illinois -2.5 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
7721338
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
7147028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1414-1428-1428-2128-3528-38
Northern IllinoisVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANTD1280ydTD665ydTD1375ydTD1475ydPUNT31ydTD781ydEND323ydTD375ydTO549ydPUNT3-5ydTD737ydDOWNS46ydTD131ydPUNT32ydTD670ydDOWNS49ydFG620ydPUNT517ydPUNT37ydTO839ydEND920yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Northern Illinois
StatisticVanderbiltNorthern Illinois
Passing18-2819-26
Pass Yards255203
Rush Yards173151
Total Yards428354
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-145-12
Penalties5-505-40
Possession30:3929:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
AJ Swann
18/28, 255 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Ray Davis
23 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Will Sheppard
10 REC, 171 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Northern Illinois
passing
Ethan Hampton
12/19, 124 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Antario Brown
8 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cole Tucker
4 REC, 88 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 65 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 20 yds to the Vandy 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

AJ Swann run for 7 yds to the Vandy 27

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Ray Davis run for 9 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 15 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the NoIll 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.71

AJ Swann pass complete to Ray Davis for 17 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the NoIll 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Gillespie run for 3 yds to the NoIll 18

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY VAN False Start 5 yards from NIU14 to NIU19. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the NoIll 11

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the NoIll 6

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.12

Chase Gillespie run for 3 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

AJ Swann pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 12 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the Vandy 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 13 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the Vandy 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.46

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Fabian McCray for 33 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 1 yd for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Chase Gillespie run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Chase Gillespie

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.16

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 9 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Gillespie run for 4 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.12

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 19 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the NoIll 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 7 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the NoIll 6

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ray Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start (Potter,Nolan) 5 yards from NIU25 to NIU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Fabian McCray for 9 yds to the NoIll 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 8 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY VAN Offside 5 yards from NIU42 to NIU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Billy Dozier for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.84

Harrison Waylee run for 12 yds to the NORTHERNIL 38 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (Anfernee Orji) to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Rocky Lombardi run for 8 yds to the Vandy 15

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Vandy 15

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.21

Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start (Tewes,Tristen) 5 yards from VAN11 to VAN16. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the Vandy 13

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Kacper Rutkiewicz run for 9 yds to the Vandy 4

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 4 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 55 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 21 yds to the Vandy 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

AJ Swann pass complete to Ray Davis for no gain to the Vandy 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Fabian McCray for 4 yds to the NoIll 23

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 8 yds to the NoIll 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the NoIll 49

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.87

Antario Brown run for 51 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 46 yds , Langston Patterson return for 12 yds to the Vandy 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 9 yds to the Vandy 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.70

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 5 yds to the NoIll 30

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.74

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 70 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

AJ Swann run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.20

Ray Davis run for 23 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the NoIll 44

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +2.48

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 18 yds Jayden McGowan fumbled, recovered by NoIll CJ Brown

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 9 yds to the NoIll 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Fabian McCray

4th & 5Penalty-10 yds

(10:05) Foley,Tom rush right for 23 yards gain to the VAN49 (Barton,Jack) PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from NIU28 to NIU18. NO PLAY.

4th & 15Punt+23 yds

Tom Foley punt for 42 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 23 yds to the NoIll 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ray Davis run for no gain to the NoIll 37

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the NoIll 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.00

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 5 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the NoIll 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray Davis

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.69

AJ Swann pass complete to Ray Davis for 21 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 31 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 58 yds , Mason Blakemore return for 14 yds to the NoIll 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Cole Tucker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Ethan Hampton run for 7 yds to the NoIll 28

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NIU28 to NIU23. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 46 yds , Will Sheppard returns for no gain to the Vandy 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.55

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 31 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

AJ Swann run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37

4th & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.02

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 24 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 55 yds , Mason Blakemore return for 18 yds to the NoIll 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 5 yds to the NoIll 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 5 yds to the NoIll 35

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Harrison Waylee

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 2 yds to the NoIll 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 11 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowan

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ray Davis run for no gain to the NoIll 20

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(12:52) Shotgun Swann,AJ pass incomplete short right to Bresnahan,Ben broken up by Brown,C.J. PENALTY VAN Holding (Uzebu,Junior) 10 yards from NIU20 to NIU30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Ray Davis run for 13 yds to the NoIll 17

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 yds

Joseph Bulovas 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the NoIll 33

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Kacper Rutkiewicz run for 12 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 45

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 3 yds to the NoIll 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Chase Gillespie run for 2 yds to the Vandy 7

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chase Gillespie run for 5 yds to the Vandy 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 8 yds to the NoIll 42

3rd & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Ethan Hampton sacked by BJ Diakite for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.47

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 5 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the Vandy 42

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Rutkiewicz,Kacper PENALTY VAN Pass Interference (Russell,Tyson) 15 yards from VAN42 to VAN27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Billy Dozier

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.77

Ethan Hampton pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ray Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 43

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.52

Ray Davis run for 9 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Gillespie run for 4 yds to the NoIll 42

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.47

Chase Gillespie run for 7 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 37

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 39

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
73%
11 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays