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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia by 35.7

Home Win Probability

Georgia 97%

Market (consensus)

Georgia -53

Edge: Samford +53 (17.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Samford
00000
GeorgiaGeorgia
13170333

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-013-020-023-030-033-0
GeorgiaSamford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAMGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOSAMGEOSAMPUNT33ydFG1247ydTO411ydFG534ydPUNT37ydTD771ydPUNT37ydTD971ydPUNT31ydFG636ydDOWNS49ydTD644ydPUNT36ydEND522ydMISS839ydPUNT35ydPUNT737ydPUNT510ydFG957ydPUNT636ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydUncategorized36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Samford and Georgia
StatisticSamfordGeorgia
Passing16-2629-43
Pass Yards109352
Rush Yards19127
Total Yards128479
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-135-13
Penalties5-364-25
Possession19:5740:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Samford
passing
Michael Hiers
13/21, 62 YDS
rushing
Jay Stanton
5 CAR, 12 YDS
receiving
Ty King
4 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Georgia
passing
Stetson Bennett
24/35, 300 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kendall Milton
10 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Kenny McIntosh
5 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jay Stanton for a loss of 3 yards to the Samf 22

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the Samf 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jay Stanton for 2 yds to the Samf 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 4 yds to the Geo 48

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.87

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 7 yds to the Samf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jackson Meeks

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the Samf 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 11 yds to the Samf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Samf 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 12 yds to the Samf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kendall Milton for 7 yds to the Samf 5

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Samf 4

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Samf 9

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jack Podlesny 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 10 yds to the Samf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Michael Hiers run for 1 yd to the Samf 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Judd Cockett

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Hiers run for 5 yds to the Samf 41 Michael Hiers fumbled, forced by Dan Jackson, recovered by Geo Xavian Sorey Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.72

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 30 yds to the Samf 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the Samf 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock Bowers

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell Washington

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Jack Podlesny 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 4 yds to the Samf 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jay Stanton for 4 yds to the Samf 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jay Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 32

4th & 3Punt+11 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 50 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 11 yds to the Geo 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kenny McIntosh run for 6 yds to the Geo 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.65

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 37 yds to the Samf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SAMFORD Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Samf 23

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Samf 20

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Stetson Bennett run for 1 yd to the Samf 19

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the Samf 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the Samf 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Stetson Bennett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Michael Hiers run for 7 yds to the Samf 32 Michael Hiers fumbled, recovered by Samf Jaylan Thomas

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

SAMFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Samf 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Hiers pass complete to Judd Cockett for 3 yds to the Samf 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 7 yds to the Samf 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 5 yds to the Geo 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.83

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the Samf 42

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the Samf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 4 yds to the Samf 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 11 yds to the Samf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 10 yds to the Samf 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Daijun Edwards run for 8 yds to the Samf 3

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to DJ Rias

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the Samf 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+21 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 39 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 21 yds to the Samf 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.69

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 18 yds to the Samf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 5 yds to the Samf 21

2nd & 5Penalty+11 yds

SAMFORD Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (11 Yards) to the Samf 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

Bennett, Stetson pass complete to Bowers, Brock for 2 yards to the SAMFORD8, PENALTY GEORGIA holding 10 yards to the SAMFORD20, NO PLAY.

1st & 0Rush+5 yds

Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the Samf 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 7 yds to the Samf 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Dillon Bell

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jack Podlesny 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Peyton Ringer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jaylan Thomas for 5 yds to the Samf 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 4 yds to the Samf 44

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Judd Cockett

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the Samf 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis Jackson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.88

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 17 yds to the Samf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Samf 28

1st & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.91

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 26 yds to the Samf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Samf 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the Samf 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the Samf 33

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Michael Hiers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Samf 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 9 yds to the Geo 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock Bowers

3rd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.02

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 13 yds to the Samf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Kendall Milton run for 16 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the Geo 48

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Samf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.07

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 28 yds to the Samf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkey

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Samf 19

3rd & 9Sack-17 ydsPPA -3.55

Stetson Bennett sacked by Nathan East for a loss of 17 yards to the Samf 36

4th & 26Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Jack Podlesny 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Chandler Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the Samf 30

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Ty King

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 11 yds to the Samf 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 7 yds to the Geo 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 7 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Oscar Delp

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Kendall Milton run for 19 yds to the Samf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Samf 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Stetson Bennett pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 6 yds to the Samf 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the Samf 38

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Samf 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Chandler Smith at the Samf 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Michael Hiers pass complete to DJ Rias for 7 yds to the Samf 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Hiers pass complete to Judd Cockett for 3 yds to the Samf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAMFORD Penalty, False Start (Austin Guyse) to the Samf 18

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michael Hiers pass complete to Peyton Ringer for 5 yds to the Samf 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Peyton Ringer

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Judd Cockett

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Carson Beck pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 16 yds to the Samf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Branson Robinson run for 6 yds to the Samf 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.59

Carson Beck pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 14 yds to the Samf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the Samf 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 14 yds to the Samf 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Carson Beck pass complete to Branson Robinson for 2 yds to the Samf 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon Bell

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Jack Podlesny 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jocquet Jiles run for 3 yds to the Samf 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Ty King for 5 yds to the Samf 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.46

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Ty King for 36 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAMFORD Penalty, False Start (Jocquet Jiles) to the Geo 36

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete to Ty King

2nd & 15Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.48

Quincy Crittendon sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 45

3rd & 24Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Kendall Watson for 6 yds to the Geo 39

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 6 yds to the Geo 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Beck run for 3 yds to the Geo 29

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Carson Beck run for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 24 Carson Beck fumbled, recovered by Geo De'Nylon Morrissette

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Chandler Smith at the Samf 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jocquet Jiles run for 2 yds to the Samf 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Quincy Crittendon run for no gain to the Samf 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete to Thomas D'Armond

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the Geo 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete to Dillon Bell

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Brock Vandagriff run for 7 yds to the Geo 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chandler Smith at the Samf 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

John Collins run for 1 yd to the Samf 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

DeAndre Williams run for 5 yds to the Samf 34

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

John Collins run for no gain to the Samf 34

Situational Analysis

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Georgia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
58%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
63%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th