Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 27, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 10.7

Home Win Probability

Nevada 73%

Market (consensus)

Nevada -6.5

Edge: Nevada -6.5 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 27, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
141771452
NevadaNevada
377724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-03-143-1710-2410-3110-3817-3817-4524-52
NevadaWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVWMNEVWMNEVWMNEVWMNEVWMNEVWMWMNEVWMNEVWMNEVWMNEVWMNEVWMFG967ydTD00ydPUNT39ydTD695ydPUNT3-8ydFG1072ydTD757ydTD763ydPUNT32ydTD857ydPUNT34ydTO630ydTD575ydPUNT611ydPUNT39ydTD970ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydTD961ydTD866ydTD848ydTO10ydEND2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Nevada
StatisticWestern MichiganNevada
Passing8-1412-23
Pass Yards162121
Rush Yards352121
Total Yards514242
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-103-11
Penalties4-483-35
Possession32:3227:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
8/14, 162 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sean Tyler
14 CAR, 146 YDS
receiving
Corey Crooms
1 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ryan Selig
2 TFL, 1 PD
Nevada
passing
Nate Cox
12/23, 121 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devonte Lee
7 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jamaal Bell
7 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 65 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 18 yds to the Nevad 18

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Toa Taua run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 5 yds to the Nevad 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.76

Devonte Lee run for 34 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WMich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the WMich 17

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the WMich 14

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Nate Cox sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 15

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brandon Talton 32 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Julian Diaz kickoff for 65 yds , Sean Tyler return for 100 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 62 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 29 yds to the Nevad 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the Nevad 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 54 yds, downed at the WMich 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the WMich 7

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Skyy Moore run for 10 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for no gain to the WMich 26

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +7.11

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 27 yds , Zion Burns return for 2 yds to the Nevad 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Cox pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.95

Nate Cox sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 32

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Zonterio Weekley at the WMich 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 16 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.59

Sean Tyler run for 17 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 5 yds to the Nevad 20

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Eleby run for 7 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 7

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.81

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Kameron Toomer and Lawson Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 13

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 5

4th & 2Field Goal Good+22 yds

Parker Sampson 22 yd FG GOOD

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 33 yds , Crishaun Lappin return for 11 yds to the Nevad 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 1 yd to the Nevad 44

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.92

Nate Cox run for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Cox pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Nate Cox run for 12 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Devonte Lee run for 20 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Julian Diaz kickoff for 71 yds , Sean Tyler return for 28 yds to the WMich 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Jaxson Kincaide run for 11 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 9 yds to the Nevad 39

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 7 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for no gain to the Nevad 27

4th & 8Punt+30 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 45 yds, downed at the NEVADA 28 NEVADA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) to the WMich 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 21 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 31

4th & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.97

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 19

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 63 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 16 yds to the Nevad 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Nate Cox run for 9 yds to the Nevad 27

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Tyrese Mack

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 22

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 28

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Kaleb Eleby run for 12 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 7 yds to the WMich 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 49

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.52

Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -2.80

Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Berdale Robins return for 1 yd to the Nevad 6

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 7Rush+70 ydsPPA +5.16

Sean Tyler run for 70 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the Nevad 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

3rd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 59 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 18 yds to the Nevad 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.27

Nate Cox sacked by Ali Fayad and Ralph Holley for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.34

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 15 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.63

Devonte Lee run for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 6

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 15

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the WMich 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the WMich 15

4th & 1Punt-2 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 30

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.53

Nate Cox sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 21

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Nate Cox run for no gain to the Nevad 21

3rd & 19Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Nate Cox sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.74

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 18 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 5 yds to the WMich 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Nate Cox run for 7 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.76

Devonte Lee run for 33 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the WMich 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 49 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for no gain to the Nevad 12

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Nate Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 8

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Nate Cox pass complete to Tyrese Mack for 11 yds to the Nevad 19

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.51

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 25 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the Nevad 13

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the Nevad 9

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 60 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 29 yds to the Nevad 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 36

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Cox sacked by Ryan Selig for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 34

4th & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.08

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 28 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Cox pass complete to Reagan Roberson for 5 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nate Cox pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.73

Nate Cox pass complete to Carson Walters for 7 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 18 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Jaxson Kincaide run for 10 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.24

Trae Allen run for 13 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Trae Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 15

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 13 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Trae Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Trae Allen run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

2nd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 51 yds , Bentlee Sanders return for 11 yds to the Nevad 25

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Nate Cox pass intercepted Dorian Jackson return for no gain to the WMich 40

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 38

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.82

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 35

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
60%
30 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
35%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play