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← Back to GamesDec 18, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 15.9

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 84%

Market (consensus)

Fresno State -13

Edge: Fresno State -13 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTEPUTEP
7100724
Fresno StateFresno State
9107531

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-79-79-109-1716-1719-1726-1729-2431-24
Fresno StateUTEP

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSUTEFSUTEFSUTEFSUTEFSUTEFSUTEFSUTEUTEFSUTEFSUTEFSUTEFSUTEFSTD575ydTD780ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT36ydFG1152ydFG654ydPUNT30ydTO328ydPUNT33ydTD1070ydTD1075ydPUNT414ydFG743ydUncategorized00ydMISS840ydMISS830ydPUNT31ydTD885ydTD575ydFG1371ydSAF3-6ydPUNT34ydTO532ydEND629yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTEP and Fresno State
StatisticUTEPFresno State
Passing13-2726-41
Pass Yards303286
Rush Yards98181
Total Yards401467
Turnovers20
3rd Down1-105-12
Penalties7-505-58
Possession25:1734:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTEP
passing
Gavin Hardison
12/25, 252 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ronald Awatt
14 CAR, 40 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyrin Smith
3 REC, 61 YDS
defense
Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
26/41, 286 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Mims
29 CAR, 165 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jalen Cropper
9 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the FrsSt 13

1st & 22Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.47

Jordan Mims run for 38 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 17 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 20 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+6 yds

UTEP Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva PAT MISSED)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8

1st & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Cesar Silva kickoff for 63 yds , Tyrin Smith return for 18 yds to the UTEP 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 22 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.01

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 53 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

G. Hardison pass,to T. Thompson for 1 yd for a TD, (G. Baechle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Haener pass complete to Jake Haener for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 54 yds, downed at the UTEP 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.11

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 18 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Haener run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jake Haener run for 1 yd to the UTEP 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Cesar Silva 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Justin Garrett run for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.40

Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 41 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing

4th & 9Field Goal Good+38 yds

Gavin Baechle 38 yd FG GOOD

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Gavin Baechle kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 23 yds to the FrsSt 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 40 yds, downed at the UTEP 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.73

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 26 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.03

Gavin Hardison pass intercepted Elijah Gates return for no gain to the FrsSt 3

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

4th & 7Punt-5 yds

Carson King punt for 59 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.08

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 25 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Reynaldo Flores pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.05

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 15 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 3Penalty+11 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35

Josh Kelly run for no gain to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.08

Jalen Cropper run for 16 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 21 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Cesar Silva kickoff for 65 yds , Tyrin Smith return for 36 yds to the UTEP 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 21 yds, downed at the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 11 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 19 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Haener sacked by Torey Richardson for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 11Field Goal Good+45 yds

Cesar Silva 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Cesar Silva kickoff for 61 yds , Justin Garrett return for 19 yds to the UTEP 23

1st & 10Penalty-11 yds

UTEP Penalty, Illegal Block (-11 Yards) to the UTEP 14

1st & 21Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Gavin Hardison run for 7 yds to the UTEP 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 9 yds to the UTEP 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Gavin Baechle 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.13

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 15 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Malik Sherrod

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Cesar Silva 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.78

Gavin Hardison sacked by Levelle Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 41

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 36

2nd & 24Penalty-10 yds

UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 26

2nd & 34Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith

3rd & 34Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.04

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the UTEP 36

4th & 24Punt+3 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 52 yds , Zane Pope returns for 3 yds to the FrsSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +4.02

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 37 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for no gain to the UTEP 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 11 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 22 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.81

Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.18

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 15 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.45

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 24 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 4

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Cesar Silva 21 yd FG GOOD

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Cesar Silva kickoff for 63 yds , Tyrin Smith return for 10 yds to the UTEP 45 UTEP Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the UTEP 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9

2nd & 7Penalty-4 yds

UTEP Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-4 Yards) to the UTEP 5

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 10

3rd & 6Safety0 ydsPPA -1.79

Gavin Hardison sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Elijah Klein , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY

4th & 16Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Gavin Baechle kickoff for 72 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 27 yds to the FrsSt 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for no gain to the FrsSt 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 45 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.23

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 27 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -2.99

Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 42 Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Levelle Bailey

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Jordan Mims run for 13 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 29

Situational Analysis

UTEP

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th