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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 10.1

Home Win Probability

San José State 24%

Market (consensus)

San José State +7

Edge: Fresno State -7 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
71610740
San José StateSan José State
36009

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-76-149-269-339-40
San José StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSFG1454ydTD1075ydTO622ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydSAF5-2ydTO17ydFG540ydTD978ydTO633ydTD258ydFG751ydEND1-12ydFG937ydPUNT440ydTD692ydPUNT418ydPUNT1043ydPUNT613ydTD466ydDOWNS653ydPUNT36ydDOWNS632ydEND1154yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and San José State
StatisticFresno StateSan José State
Passing28-3719-43
Pass Yards348260
Rush Yards13864
Total Yards486324
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-146-14
Penalties7-677-56
Possession34:4425:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
27/36, 343 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
14 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Ronnie Rivers
5 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San José State
passing
Nick Starkel
19/42, 260 YDS
rushing
Tyler Nevens
12 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Malikhi Miller
4 REC, 78 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.68

Nick Starkel pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 13 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.69

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 16 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 10 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Nick Starkel pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 9Penalty+7 yds

STARKEL, Nick pass up the middle incomplete intended for CANAAN, Jackson thrown to the FST0. PENALTY FST Pass Interference on GATES, Elijah enforced 7 yards to the FST2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.01

run for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 10

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Starkel sacked by Arron Mosby for 0 yards to the FrsSt 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Matt Mercurio 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 13 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 7 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 4 yds to the SJSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 13 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 2 yds to the SJSt 30

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Ronnie Rivers run for 19 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 9 yds to the SJSt 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Jalen Cropper run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.93

Kairee Robinson run for 16 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 5 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Nick Starkel run for 2 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.13

Nick Starkel sacked for 0 yards to the SJSt 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jake Haener run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 44

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ryan Boehm) to the SJSt 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the SJSt 4

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 5

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 3 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 53 yds, downed at the SJSt 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 8 yds to the SJSt 10

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Starkel sacked by David Perales and Kevin Atkins for 0 yards to the SJSt 2

2nd & 22Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 2 yds to the SJSt 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 7 yds to the FrsSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.37

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 40 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the FrsSt 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matt Mercurio 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 14 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 1Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.55

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 33 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the SJSt 13

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the SJSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.82

Juan Rodriguez 5 Yd pass from Jake Haener (Cesar Silva Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 24

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

STARKEL, Nick pass to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Kairee thrown to the SJS25. PENALTY FST Roughing the Passer on PERALES, David enforced 15 yards from the SJS24 to the SJS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Nick Nash pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.67

Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Nick Nash run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Nick Nash run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 13 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 45 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (DaRon Bland) to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Tyler Nevens run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.88

Nick Starkel pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 27 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Matt Mercurio 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HAENER, Jake pass to the right incomplete intended for RIVERS, Ronnie thrown to the SJS45. PENALTY FST Holding on AKINGBULU, Alex enforced 10 yards from the FST33 to the FST23 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.13

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Ronnie Rivers run for 10 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 6 yds to the SJSt 20

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 1 yd to the SJSt 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.87

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 21

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SJSt 26

4th & 10Field Goal Good+43 yds

Cesar Silva 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.13

Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 31 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nick Starkel pass complete to Nick Nash for 2 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Harmon) to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 6 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 22 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 29 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 10 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 3 yds to the SJSt 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 4 yds to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.01

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 16 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 8 yds to the SJSt 44

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 39 yds, downed at the SJSt 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 7 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 34

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 14Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.86

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 35 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.43

Jalen Cropper run for 22 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 13 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Nick Starkel pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 15 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.04

Nick Starkel pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 31 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 7 yds to the FrsSt 9

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.94

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Jake Haener pass incomplete pass complete to Erik Brooks for 5 yds to the FrsSt 15

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 30 yds, downed at the FrsSt 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

STARKEL, Nick pass to the left incomplete dropped by DEESE, JR., Derrick thrown to the FST30. PENALTY FST Roughing the Passer on BRIDGES, Devo enforced 15 yards from the FST45 to the FST30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 12 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nick Starkel pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 5 yds to the FrsSt 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.67

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Erik Brooks for 5 yds to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.16

Jaylen Henderson run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Wilmore run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Wilmore run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Harmon) to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Wilmore run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordan Wilmore run for 9 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaylen Henderson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 30

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Jaylen Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 33

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
31 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play