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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 9.5

Home Win Probability

Hawai'i 22%

Market (consensus)

Hawai'i +7

Edge: San Diego State -7 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
770317
Hawai'iHawai'i
700310

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-77-147-1710-17
Hawai'iSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWSDSHAWPUNT33ydPUNT37ydTD847ydPUNT56ydTO2-16ydTD119ydTD1582ydTO30ydMISS47ydPUNT612ydPUNT31ydPUNT616ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT36ydTO649ydPUNT36ydPUNT934ydFG1457ydFG1570ydPUNT510ydEND950yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Hawai'i
StatisticSan Diego StateHawai'i
Passing12-1619-35
Pass Yards99175
Rush Yards12885
Total Yards227260
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-145-16
Penalties9-906-65
Possession34:0725:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Lucas Johnson
12/16, 99 YDS
rushing
Greg Bell
24 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Bellinger
5 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Hawai'i
passing
Chevan Cordeiro
19/34, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dedrick Parson
11 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Dedrick Parson
5 REC, 38 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+50 yds

Kyler Halvorsen kickoff for 64 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 50 yds to the Hawa 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 6 yds to the Hawa 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.92

Greg Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 44 yds, downed at the Hawa 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 5

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 9

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the Hawa 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 8 yds to the Hawa 39

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.08

Greg Bell run for 11 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Jordan Byrd) to the Hawa 33

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Lucas Johnson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 31

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 11 yds to the Hawa 20

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Lucas Johnson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the Hawa 5

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Greg Bell run for no gain to the Hawa 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Greg Bell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 38

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.36

Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 31

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 34 yds, downed at the SDSt 35

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 25

1st & 20Penalty+5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Defensive offside (Blessman Ta'ala) to the SDSt 30

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 31

2nd & 14Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.58

Lucas Johnson sacked by Darius Muasau for a loss of 12 yards to the SDSt 19 Lucas Johnson fumbled, recovered by Hawa Isaiah Tufaga , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 19 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Kyler Halvorsen kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 18 yds to the SDSt 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the SDSt 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 7 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.53

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 9 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Greg Bell run for no gain to the Hawa 45

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the Hawa 38

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.01

Lucas Johnson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 38

3rd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.72

Lucas Johnson run for 17 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Greg Bell run for no gain to the Hawa 21

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Lucas Johnson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 16

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the Hawa 13

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.13

Jack Browning run for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.13

Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted Trenton Thompson return for no gain to the Hawa 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the Hawa 37

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Matt Araiza 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Calvin Turner Jr. run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Calvin Turner Jr. run for 5 yds to the Hawa 45

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Calvin Turner Jr. run for 6 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

HAWAII Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 36

1st & 25Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (Chevan Cordeiro) to the Hawa 31

1st & 30Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 14 yds to the Hawa 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 3 yds to the Hawa 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan Byrd run for 7 yds to the SDSt 27

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 26

3rd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 79 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dedrick Parson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Calvin Turner Jr. run for 4 yds to the Hawa 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 7 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dedrick Parson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 32 yds, downed at the SDSt 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Calvin Turner Jr. run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Calvin Turner Jr. run for no gain to the Hawa 26

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Cameron Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, delay of game (Lucas Johnson) to the Hawa 48

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Lucas Johnson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 6 yds to the Hawa 26

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Dedrick Parson run for 10 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dedrick Parson

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 35

3rd & 11Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.77

Chevan Cordeiro run for 11 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (Nick Mardner) to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA -2.82

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 23 yds Jared Smart fumbled, forced by Tayler Hawkins, recovered by SDSt C.J. Baskerville , return for 13 yds to the SDSt 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Daniel Bellinger

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dedrick Parson at the Hawa 13

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Chevan Cordeiro run for 9 yds to the Hawa 22

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.88

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 14 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Calvin Turner Jr. run for no gain to the Hawa 44

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.55

Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Keshawn Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 37

3rd & 17Penalty+15 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cedarious Barfield) to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 4 yds to the SDSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the SDSt 40

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Kohl Levao) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jonah Tavai and Keshawn Banks for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 11 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Zachary Thomas) to the SDSt 22

1st & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 8 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Greg Bell run for 8 yds to the SDSt 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.85

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 6 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Lucas Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDSt 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Greg Bell for 3 yds to the SDSt 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.33

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 9 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 10 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Hugh Nelson II) to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Greg Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 17

2nd & 14Penalty-10 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Alama Uluave) to the Hawa 27

2nd & 24Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Lucas Johnson sacked by Isaiah Tufaga for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 29

3rd & 26Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Chance Bell run for 7 yds to the Hawa 22

4th & 19Field Goal Good+39 yds

Matt Araiza 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Zion Bowens for 14 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 46

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Calvin Turner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDSt 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.56

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 20 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Calvin Turner Jr. run for no gain to the SDSt 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 5 yds to the SDSt 18

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.35

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 14 yds to the SDSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Calvin Turner Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Zion Bowens

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Caleb Phillips, broken up by Michael Shawcroft

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Matthew Shipley 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Kyler Halvorsen kickoff for 61 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 8 yds to the SDSt 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 16

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 25 Greg Bell fumbled, forced by Solo Turner, recovered by SDSt Greg Bell

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 26

3rd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 22

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 7 yds to the Hawa 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.64

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Zion Bowens for 6 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (Segun Olubi) to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 5 yds to the SDSt 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Caleb Phillips

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.34

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Zion Bowens for 12 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Caleb Phillips

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 5 yds to the SDSt 18

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play