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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wyoming by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 59%

Market (consensus)

Wyoming +3

Edge: Wyoming +3 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
707317
WyomingWyoming
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-140-17
WyomingFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOFSWYOPUNT30ydTO27ydTD1041ydPUNT1034ydPUNT516ydTO971ydPUNT711ydPUNT30ydMISS838ydMISS941ydEND1-2ydPUNT421ydPUNT38ydPUNT56ydPUNT848ydTO422ydTD36ydPUNT613ydPUNT617ydTO10ydFG43ydDOWNS48ydDOWNS49ydTO667ydDOWNS1152ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Wyoming
StatisticFresno StateWyoming
Passing15-289-30
Pass Yards96143
Rush Yards163128
Total Yards259271
Turnovers05
3rd Down7-187-14
Penalties6-523-23
Possession32:4027:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
15/28, 96 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jordan Mims
13 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Zane Pope
2 REC, 33 YDS
defense
Wyoming
passing
Sean Chambers
8/23, 111 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Sean Chambers
12 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Ayden Eberhardt
2 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jalen Cropper run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 39

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

run for 7 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

run for 2 yds to the Wyom 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 11 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the Wyom 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds to the Wyom 6

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

WYOMING Penalty, Targeting on WEBER, Rome enforced half the distance from the goal (Rome Weber) to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 2 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 4 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 14 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 11 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Chambers sacked by Kevin Atkins and Levelle Bailey for 0 yards to the FrsSt 41

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Ronnie Rivers run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 71 yds, downed at the Wyom 4

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 11

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 16 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.18

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 32 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 13 yds to the FrsSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.30

Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 9 yds to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 2 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 1 yd to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 20

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.88

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 26 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the Wyom 29

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Haener run for 8 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Cesar Silva 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.75

Sean Chambers run for 20 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+7 yds

CHAMBERS, Sean pass up the middle incomplete intended for VALLADAY, Xazavian thrown to the FSU39. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the FSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 3 yds to the FrsSt 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+53 yds

John Hoyland 53 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Xazavian Valladay run for 19 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 47 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 6 yds to the FrsSt 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Jake Haener run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Titus Swen run for 9 yds to the Wyom 46

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 45

2nd & 16Sack0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sean Chambers sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. and David Perales for 0 yards to the Wyom 44

3rd & 17Sack0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Chambers sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. for 0 yards to the Wyom 43

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.81

Jordan Mims run for 23 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Wyom 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 7 yds to the Wyom 37

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

HAENER, Jake pass to the left incomplete thrown to the WYO15. PENALTY FSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO37 to the WYO47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 12 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jake Haener sacked by Solomon Byrd for 0 yards to the Wyom 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ayden Eberhardt run for 6 yds to the Wyom 19

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Titus Swen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.88

Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 18 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.76

Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wyom 6

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 3 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.26

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 37

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Jalen Cropper run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 35

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.39

Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wyom 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Cesar Silva 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Levi Williams run for 7 yds to the Wyom 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ayden Eberhardt run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Levi Williams pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Levi Williams pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 24

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 23

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 22

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.54

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Wyom 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Levi Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Levi Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.63

Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 32 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Levi Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Titus Swen run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, Levi pass to the left incomplete intended for NEYOR, Isaiah thrown to the FSU0. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the FSU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.48

Levi Williams pass intercepted return for no gain to the FrsSt 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jake Haener) to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 8 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

WYOMING Penalty, Personal Foul (Esaias Gandy) to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31

4th & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.38

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play