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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2021Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

San José State by 15.7

Home Win Probability

San José State 82%

Market (consensus)

San José State -25.5

Edge: New Mexico State +25.5 (9.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
01471031
San José StateSan José State
7176737

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-1417-1424-1430-2130-2837-2837-31
San José StateNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSNMSSJSPUNT414ydPUNT38ydPUNT729ydTD1176ydTD775ydTD465ydTD1170ydFG543ydTO10ydTD112ydEND525ydPUNT513ydPUNT733ydTO311ydTD325ydTD685ydTD1380ydTD1081ydFG1068ydEND59yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and San José State
StatisticNew Mexico StateSan José State
Passing30-4415-18
Pass Yards300193
Rush Yards86209
Total Yards386402
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-146-10
Penalties3-357-68
Possession29:3130:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Jonah Johnson
30/44, 300 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
O'Maury Samuels
10 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda
7 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD
defense
San José State
passing
Nick Nash
15/18, 193 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Nevens
22 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Derrick Deese Jr.
7 REC, 130 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 65 yds , Juwaun Price return for 11 yds to the NMxSt 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 11 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Timothy Gans for 4 yds to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

O'Maury Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 35

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Shamar Garrett run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 31

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Nick Nash run for 7 yds to the SJSt 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 49 yds, downed at the NMxSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 3 yds to the NMxSt 16

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

O'Maury Samuels run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.61

Jonah Johnson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Justice Powers for 11 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 6 yds to the NMxSt 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.97

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 27 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.42

Shamar Garrett run for 16 yds to the NMxSt 34 for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 5 yds to the NMxSt 3

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Shamar Garrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Nevens run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 20

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 16

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Juwaun Price run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.94

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 55 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

O'Maury Samuels run for 5 yds to the SJSt 13

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

O'Maury Samuels run for no gain to the SJSt 13

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Juwaun Price for 6 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonah Johnson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 5 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Ethan Albertson kickoff for 65 yds , Shamar Garrett return for 35 yds to the SJSt 35

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Nick Nash run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.14

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 25 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the NMxSt 25

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Nick Nash pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 63 yds , Juwaun Price return for 28 yds to the NMxSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Justice Powers for 12 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 9 yds to the SJSt 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.22

O'Maury Samuels run for 4 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Justice Powers for 16 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Robert Downs III for 6 yds to the SJSt 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 5 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jonah Johnson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 10

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

O'Maury Samuels run for 3 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

O'Maury Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Cole Harrity for 8 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Ethan Albertson kickoff for 63 yds , Shamar Garrett return for 34 yds to the SJSt 36

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.38

Tyler Nevens run for 36 yds to the NMxSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

NASH, Nick pass to the left complete for -2 yards to ROSS, Charles caught at the NMS23 and advanced to the NMS30 (BROHARD, Trevor). PENALTY SJS Personal Foul on NAVARRO, Jaime enforced 15 yards from the NMS23 to the NMS38, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, 5 yards credited to passer and receiver on the play [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.97

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 19 yds to the NMxSt 19

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the NMxSt 19

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 21

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 yds

Matt Mercurio 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jonah Johnson pass intercepted return for no gain to the NMxSt 12

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 10 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Juwaun Price run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.17

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 18 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.12

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Juwaun Price for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ethan Albertson kickoff for 65 yds , Shamar Garrett return for 20 yds to the SJSt 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 26

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

NASH, Nick scrambles to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the SJS24 (SEGURA, Justin), out of bounds. PENALTY NMS Offsides enforced 5 yards from the SJS26 to the SJS31 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Nick Nash pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Nash pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the SJSt 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 48 yds, downed at the NMxSt 19

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Jonah Johnson run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Jonah Johnson run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.67

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 7 yds to the NMxSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jonah Johnson sacked by Cade Hall for 0 yards to the NMxSt 30

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 24Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.48

O'Maury Samuels run for 22 yds to the SJSt 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jonah Johnson pass complete to O'Maury Samuels for 5 yds to the SJSt 20

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

JOHNSON, Jonah pass to the left incomplete intended for PRICE, Juwaun thrown to the SJS10. PENALTY SJS Personal Foul on HALL, Cade enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the SJS20 to the SJS10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

JOHNSON, Jonah pass to the right incomplete intended for HARRITY, Cole thrown to the SJS0. PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on BROWN, II, Bobby enforced 8 yards to the SJS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Juwaun Price run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on ROBBINS, Trevor enforced (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 10

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Ethan Albertson kickoff for 55 yds , Shamar Garrett return for 38 yds to the SJSU 27 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SJSt 15

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Nash run for 1 yd to the SJSt 11

2nd & 14Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.10

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 25 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 17 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 6 yds to the NMxSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.08

Kairee Robinson run for 39 yds to the NMxSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NMxSt 7

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Shamar Garrett run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio PAT BLOCKED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 64 yds , Juwaun Price return for 19 yds to the NMxSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Terrell Warner for 7 yds to the NMxSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 7 yds to the NMxSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 8 yds to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.78

Juwaun Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.99

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Robert Downs III for 7 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.12

O'Maury Samuels run for 15 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.58

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Robert Downs III for 28 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

O'Maury Samuels run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 12

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Jonah Johnson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 5 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK)

1st & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.15

Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 21 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Nash pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 1 yd to the SJSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 7 yds to the SJSt 48

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Nevens run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

QB Keeper NASH, Nick rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the NMS31 (MILLS, Caleb), out of bounds. PENALTY NMS Personal Foul on MILLS, Caleb enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the NMS31 to the NMS16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Nash pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 9

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.49

Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 1 fumbled, recovered by SJSt Malikhi Miller

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the NMxSt 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Nick Nash pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

O'Maury Samuels run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 1 yd to the NMxSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Cole Harrity for 11 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Cole Harrity for 18 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Justice Powers for 9 yds to the SJSt 30

2nd & 1Penalty+2 yds

PRICE, Juwaun rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the SJS28 (HARMON, Kyle). PENALTY SJS Personal Foul on HARMON, Kyle enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the SJS29 to the SJS15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jonah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Jonah Johnson pass complete to Jared Wyatt for 7 yds to the SJSt 7

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jonah Johnson run for no gain to the SJSt 7

4th & 3Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ethan Albertson 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

kickoff for 13 yds , Charles Ross return for no gain to the NMxSt 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 42

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.43

Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
31 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
20 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th