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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 31

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 97%

Market (consensus)

Fresno State -30

Edge: Fresno State -30 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UNLVUNLV
1407930
Fresno StateFresno State
09131638

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-143-149-1416-2122-2129-2129-3038-30
Fresno StateUNLV

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSPUNT613ydTD760ydPUNT414ydTD1495ydFG1167ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydPUNT538ydPUNT529ydPUNT3-1ydTD546ydEND1-4ydTD180ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydTD868ydPUNT549ydTD480ydPUNT528ydTD785ydTD675ydTO10ydFG632ydTD461ydTO2-10ydFG48ydDOWNS4-4ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UNLV and Fresno State
StatisticUNLVFresno State
Passing15-2830-42
Pass Yards281378
Rush Yards15283
Total Yards433461
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-133-11
Penalties5-364-45
Possession31:3628:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UNLV
passing
Doug Brumfield
6/13, 143 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Charles Williams
19 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Charles Williams
3 REC, 96 YDS
defense
Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
30/42, 378 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
14 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Keric Wheatfall
5 REC, 115 YDS
defense
Levelle Bailey
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 63 yds , Jordan Mims return for 20 yds to the FrsSt 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Haener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 24

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Jake Haener run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 40

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.09

Doug Brumfield run for 37 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.19

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 10

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.94

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 62 yds , Jordan Mims return for 22 yds to the FrsSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 13 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Haener pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+56 yds

Carson King punt for 51 yds UNLV Penalty, illegal block (Doug Brumfield) to the UNLV 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.18

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 20 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 2 yds to the UNLV 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 13 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyleek Collins run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Charles Williams for 18 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Courtney Reese run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

Brumfield, Doug pass complete to Collins, Tyleek for 1 yard to the FS20 (HOUSTON, Justin), PENALTY FS roughing passer (JONES, Kwami) 10 yards to the FS11, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Chad Magyar run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 4

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 2

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.52

Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 60 yds , Jordan Mims return for 20 yds to the FrsSt 25

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Ronnie Rivers run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 12 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 48

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.15

Jake Haener sacked by Adam Plant Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 15 yds to the UNLV 40

4th & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 2 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.58

Josh Kelly run for 28 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the UNLV 4

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Cropper run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Cesar Silva 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Doug Brumfield run for no gain to the UNLV 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Haener pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 44 yds, downed at the UNLV 23

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Charles Williams run for 15 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.02

Charles Williams run for 28 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyleek Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, delay of game (Nohl Williams) to the FrsSt 39

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.15

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 19 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyleek Collins at the UNLV 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 1 yd to the UNLV 25

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.50

Cameron Friel sacked by Kevin Atkins and David Perales for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 18

4th & 11Punt+14 yds

Evan Silva punt for 42 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 14 yds to the UNLV 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (16 Yards) to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 6 yds to the UNLV 24

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Jake Haener run for 6 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 23

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the UNLV 18

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Cesar Silva kickoff for 57 yds , Tyleek Collins return for 11 yds to the UNLV 19

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, delay of game (Doug Brumfield) to the UNLV 14

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 15

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Cesar Silva kickoff for 61 yds , Tyleek Collins return for 16 yds to the UNLV 20

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 80 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 62 yds , Jordan Mims return for 26 yds to the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jake Haener run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper, broken up by Tyson Player

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete, broken up by Arron Mosby

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.42

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Ronnie Rivers run for 15 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for no gain to the UNLV 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 14 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.62

Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 23 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Cropper run for 3 yds to the UNLV 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan Silva KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Cesar Silva kickoff for 64 yds , Tyleek Collins return for 13 yds to the UNLV 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.07

Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for 50 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Cameron Friel sacked by Kevin Atkins for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 37 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Nohl Williams) declined

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Levelle Bailey

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.69

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 55 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Raymond Pauwels Jr.

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.47

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.61

Charles Williams run for 22 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Cameron Friel sacked by Ryan Boehm and Levelle Bailey for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 47

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, false start (Nohl Williams) to the UNLV 42

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.20

Cameron Friel pass complete to Jordan Jakes for 11 yds to the FrsSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Emari Pait

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.28

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 7 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 12 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 1 yd to the UNLV 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 15 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jalen Cropper 25 Yd pass from Jake Haener (Cesar Silva Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by LJ Early

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 6 yds to the UNLV 31

3rd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.85

Cameron Friel run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyson Maeva) to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.88

Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 44 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Courtney Reese run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) UNLV Penalty, illegal formation (Doug Brumfield) declined

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 61 yds , Jordan Mims return for 23 yds to the FrsSt 27

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Haener pass intercepted Phillip Hill return for 16 yds to the FrsSt 43 FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (Dontae Bull) to the FrsSt 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Cameron Friel run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.60

Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for 28 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr., broken up by Evan Williams

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Cameron Friel pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 2 yds to the FrsSt 12

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 yds

Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 55 yds , Jordan Mims return for 29 yds to the FrsSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 23 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 9 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 26 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Andre Meono kickoff for 56 yds , Tyleek Collins return for 22 yds to the UNLV 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 30

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Cameron Friel sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 21 Cameron Friel fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Kwami Jones , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the UNLV 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 2 yds to the UNLV 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+31 yds

Cesar Silva 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cameron Friel pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 4 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.08

Cameron Friel pass complete to Courtney Reese for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Cameron Friel pass incomplete, broken up by Arron Mosby

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.35

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Bralyn Lux

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 23

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 25

Situational Analysis

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
31%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play