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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arizona State by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Arizona State 78%

Market (consensus)

Arizona State -9.5

Edge: Arizona State -9.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
0106016
Arizona StateArizona State
7731431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-1017-1317-1624-1631-16
Arizona StateUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASUSCASTO720ydPUNT36ydPUNT741ydTD1294ydFG1054ydTO116ydTD643ydTD375ydPUNT416ydTO629ydMISS1027ydEND1-3ydFG764ydFG847ydPUNT32ydFG941ydTO420ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTD880ydPUNT37ydTD1067ydTO623ydEND2-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Arizona State
StatisticUSCArizona State
Passing24-4511-20
Pass Yards220145
Rush Yards92282
Total Yards312427
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-164-10
Penalties5-555-48
Possession30:3829:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Kedon Slovis
16/28, 131 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Keaontay Ingram
14 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Tahj Washington
9 REC, 78 YDS
defense
Arizona State
passing
Jayden Daniels
11/20, 145 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Rachaad White
28 CAR, 202 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Bryan Thompson
4 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 7 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the USC 45

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Kedon Slovis run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 7 yds to the ArzSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.49

Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Kyle Soelle return for no gain to the ArzSt 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 50 yds, downed at the USC 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the USC 7

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the USC 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.58

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 19 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 15 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the USC 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 46 yds, downed at the ArzSt 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.57

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 15 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Rachaad White run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Rachaad White run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Rachaad White run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 12 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

DeaMonte Trayanum run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 41

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds to the USC 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.83

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 11 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the USC 14

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.32

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tahj Washington for 14 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the USC 39

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.91

Keaontay Ingram run for 24 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.77

Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 42

2nd & 15Penalty+12 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Evan Fields) to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Darwin Barlow run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jordan Clark) to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Liam Jimmons) to the ArzSt 28

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 21

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+38 yds

Parker Lewis 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA -1.07

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 43 DeaMonte Trayanum fumbled, recovered by USC Ralen Goforth

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Keaontay Ingram run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Kyle Ford for 8 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaxson Dart run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tahj Washington for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22

3rd & 6Penalty+11 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (11 yards) (Jordan Clark) to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 9

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Jaxson Dart run for 9 yds for a TD, (Parker Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.92

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 26 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Rachaad White run for 47 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kedon Slovis run for 4 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for no gain to the USC 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 9 yds to the ArzSt 41

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.40

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Xavion Alford return for no gain to the USC 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 10 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for no gain to the ArzSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 4 yds to the ArzSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Parker Lewis 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Rachaad White run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.19

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 32 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the USC 33

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chris Steele) to the USC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 7 yds to the USC 11

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 yds

Cristian Zendejas 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Keaontay Ingram run for 15 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the USC 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.35

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 16 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the ArzSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 9 yds to the ArzSt 25

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.31

Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Parker Lewis 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 54 yds, downed at the USC 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the USC 25

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the USC 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tahj Washington for 12 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the ArzSt 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.88

Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jude Wolfe) to the ArzSt 47

1st & 20Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Vavae Malepeai run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 49

2nd & 24Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.17

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Kyle Ford for 16 yds to the ArzSt 35

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the ArzSt 35

4th & 8Field Goal Good+52 yds

Parker Lewis 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Jayden Daniels run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.17

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Xavion Alford return for no gain to the USC 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaxson Dart run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 40 yds, downed at the ArzSt 6

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Rachaad White run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 12

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 13

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 14

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds, downed at the USC 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the USC 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 3 yds to the USC 42

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kedon Slovis run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 39 yds, downed at the ArzSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Daniyel Ngata run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.95

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 13 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Rachaad White run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 35

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.07

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Chris Steele) to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +4.81

Rachaad White run for 50 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 7 yds to the USC 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 35 yds, downed at the ArzSt 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41

3rd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.91

Jayden Daniels run for 29 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Rachaad White run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 8 yds to the USC 23

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Rachaad White run for 6 yds to the USC 13

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Rachaad White run for 3 yds to the USC 10

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Rachaad White run for 3 yds to the USC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Rachaad White run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.19

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 22 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Dedich) to the USC 37

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 11 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -1.99

Jaxson Dart pass intercepted DeAndre Pierce return for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 32

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 29

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
27 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
47%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
70%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play