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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arizona State by 17.6

Home Win Probability

Arizona State 86%

Market (consensus)

Arizona State -13.5

Edge: Arizona State -13.5 (4.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
703010
Arizona StateArizona State
1477028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-721-721-1028-10
Arizona StateStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAASSTAASSTAASSTAASSTAASSTAASASSTAASSTASTAASSTAASSTAASPUNT736ydTD987ydTD775ydTD775ydPUNT735ydTD680ydPUNT730ydTO427ydPUNT30ydPUNT821ydTO330ydEND1-3ydPUNT513ydFG946ydDOWNS864ydTD38ydDOWNS738ydMISS1046ydDOWNS630ydPUNT36ydTO759ydEND714yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Arizona State
StatisticStanfordArizona State
Passing27-4514-23
Pass Yards356175
Rush Yards13255
Total Yards369430
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-147-13
Penalties4-405-53
Possession28:0631:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Tanner McKee
27/45, 356 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Nathaniel Peat
7 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Ben Yurosek
6 REC, 118 YDS
defense
Gabe Reid
2.5 TFL
Arizona State
passing
Jayden Daniels
14/23, 175 YDS
rushing
Rachaad White
13 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Curtis Hodges
4 REC, 76 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Stanf 29

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner McKee sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.29

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 16 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Nathaniel Peat run for 18 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin Yurosek

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 26 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the ArzSt 13

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Rachaad White run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Jayden Daniels 51 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Lukas Ungar

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.12

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 23 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.42

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 21 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.69

Tanner McKee pass complete to Jay Symonds for 21 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Elijah Higgins 6 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Emmet Kenney Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 9 yds to the Stanf 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.05

Rachaad White run for 29 yds to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Rachaad White 5 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 22 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 5 yds to the ArzSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 11 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin Yurosek

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John Humphreys

4th & 6Penalty-10 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lukas Ungar) to the ArzSt 40

4th & 16Punt+20 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 15 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-Shelton

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 19 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.71

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 32 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Elijhah Badger 22 Yd Run (Cristian Zendejas Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John Humphreys

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for no gain to the Stanf 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.85

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 20 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 13 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Tanner McKee sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 47

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Austin Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 49 Austin Jones fumbled, forced by Tyler Johnson, recovered by Stanf Tanner McKee

3rd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 32 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the ArzSt 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 21

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

DeaMonte Trayanum run for no gain to the ArzSt 21

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.85

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.05

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40 DeaMonte Trayanum fumbled, forced by Dalyn Wade-Perry, recovered by Stanf Ricky Miezan

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

McKee, Tanner pass complete to Peat, Nathaniel for loss of 2 yards to the ARIZONAST42, PENALTY STANFORD illegal block (Hinton, Myles) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Austin Jones

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 10 yds to the ArzSt 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 8 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis Hodges

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 1 yd to the ArzSt 43

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Jayden Daniels sacked by Tucker Fisk for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 41

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Rachaad White

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 19 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 11 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -4.03

Tanner McKee pass intercepted Keon Markham return for 2 yds to the ArzSt 17

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 14

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

DeaMonte Trayanum run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 41

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.99

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 38

4th & 7Punt+15 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 15 yds to the Stanf 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin Yurosek

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 13 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 6 yds to the ArzSt 40

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Tanner McKee run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.93

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 25 yds to the ArzSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 12

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Ryan Sanborn 32 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 31 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Rachaad White run for 6 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Rachaad White run for 18 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the Stanf 13

2nd & 3Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.43

Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the Stanf 12 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Henry Hattis) to the Stanf 22

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the Stanf 11

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.00

Rachaad White run for no gain to the Stanf 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the Stanf 19

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown+27 ydsPPA -7.14

Jack Jones Interception, DeAndre Pierce 27 Yd Return (Cristian Zendejas Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 19 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin Yurosek

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 44

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 41

4th & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.30

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the ArzSt 37

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Daniyel Ngata run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Daniyel Ngata run for 10 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 8 yds to the Stanf 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 5 yds to the Stanf 37

4th & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.10

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kendall Williamson) to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 16

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the Stanf 14

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Jayden Daniels sacked by Jacob Mangum-Farrar for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 17

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Cristian Zendejas 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds to the Stanf 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.11

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 27 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.09

Tanner McKee sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 49

3rd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Tanner McKee pass complete to Silas Starr for 8 yds to the ArzSt 43

4th & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.92

Tanner McKee sacked by Anthonie Cooper for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Geordon Porter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 6 yds to the Stanf 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Bryan Thompson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Stanf 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 4 yds to the Stanf 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

4th & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.21

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 21 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McKee, Tanner pass incomplete to Starr, Silas, PENALTY ARIZONAST roughing passer (Green II, B.J.) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 10Sack+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Tanner McKee sacked by DeAndre Pierce for a loss of 6 yards to the ARIZONAST 46 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Omarr Norman-Lott) to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Casey Filkins

2nd & 10Penalty+8 yds

McKee, Tanner pass incomplete to Yurosek, Benjamin, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference (Soelle, Kyle) 8 yards to the ARIZONAST31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Tanner McKee pass intercepted Jordan Clark return for no gain to the ArzSt 26

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Rachaad White run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 23

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Rachaad White run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 30

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.95

Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 48

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 47

1st & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.68

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 43

2nd & 19Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 40

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
59%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
38%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays