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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 12.8

Home Win Probability

BYU 75%

Market (consensus)

BYU +3

Edge: BYU +3 (15.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 19, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arizona StateArizona State
7010017
BYUBYU
7140627

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-721-721-1421-1727-17
BYUArizona State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUASBYUASBYUASBYUASBYUASBYUASBYUASBYUASBYUASBYUBYUASBYUASTD312ydTD675ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT521ydPUNT31ydPUNT414ydPUNT3-3ydTO861ydTD683ydPUNT35ydTD874ydTO514ydTO739ydEND10ydPUNT415ydTD980ydTO3-1ydFG1143ydTO649ydPUNT948ydTO69ydTD1277ydEND548yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arizona State and BYU
StatisticArizona StateBYU
Passing21-2916-28
Pass Yards265217
Rush Yards161144
Total Yards426361
Turnovers42
3rd Down7-134-11
Penalties16-1213-25
Possession32:2327:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arizona State
passing
Jayden Daniels
21/29, 265 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Daniyel Ngata
8 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rachaad White
9 REC, 65 YDS
defense
BYU
passing
Jaren Hall
15/27, 214 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tyler Allgeier
21 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Gunner Romney
6 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Max Tooley
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 9 yds to the ArzSt 3

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 4

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds for a TD, (Justen Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 21 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Rachaad White run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 41

3rd & 14Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +5.89

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 58 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rachaad White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka Nacua

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (Isaac Rex) to the BYU 20

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 22

4th & 13Punt+5 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 51 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for 5 yds to the ArzSt 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 13 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for no gain to the ArzSt 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Elijhah Badger

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 9 yds to the BYU 42

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Offside (Curtis Hodges) to the BYU 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 46 yds, downed at the BYU 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 1

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 1

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Masen Wake run for 1 yd to the BYU 2

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 50 yds, downed at the ArzSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 11 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the BYU 37

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the BYU 36

2nd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Jayden Daniels sacked by Keenan Pili for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 38

3rd & 16Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 26

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaren Hall sacked by D.J. Davidson and Michael Matus for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 17

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 83 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Rachaad White run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Rachaad White run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 6 yds to the ArzSt 39

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 1 yd to the ArzSt 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.35

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 29 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the BYU 19

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Max Tooley return for no gain to the BYU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 9 yds to the BYU 26

2nd & 1Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.78

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 30 BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Neil Pau'u) to the BYU 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.95

Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 31 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.41

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 20 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 34 yds for a TD, (Justen Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Rachaad White run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 23

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.71

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 22

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

4th & 5Punt+51 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.82

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 34 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka Nacua

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Tyler Allgeier

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.27

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 11 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Lopini Katoa

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Jaren Hall run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 15 yds for a TD, (Justen Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.28

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 16 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 1Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.56

Jayden Daniels sacked by TEAM for a loss of 11 yards to the BYU 42 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the ArzSt 42

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Malik Moore return for no gain to the BYU 32

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Neil Pau'u run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Merlin Robertson) to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chase Lucas) to the ArzSt 29

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Puka Nacua run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 24

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.37

Jaren Hall run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 29

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.73

Jaren Hall pass intercepted, touchback. Jack Jones return for no gain

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the ArzSt 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 14 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Dallin Holker

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Rachaad White run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 6 yds to the ArzSt 39

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Daniyel Ngata run for 12 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.60

Daniyel Ngata run for 26 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the BYU 10

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Daniyel Ngata run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cristian Zendejas KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu Hill

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 41 yds , LV Bunkley-Shelton returns for no gain to the ArzSt 35 LV Bunkley-Shelton fumbled, recovered by ArzSt LV Bunkley-Shelton

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Daniyel Ngata run for 21 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the BYU 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the BYU 36

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Rachaad White run for 10 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the BYU 22

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (Jayden Daniels) to the BYU 27

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the BYU 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (John Stivers) to the BYU 24

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Ben Scott) to the BYU 29

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Curtis Hodges

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

3rd & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 7 yds to the BYU 22

4th & 18Field Goal Good+40 yds

Cristian Zendejas 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 23

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.61

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 46

2nd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.18

Jaren Hall run for 28 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+60 ydsPPA -4.28

Jaren Hall pass intercepted Merlin Robertson return for 60 yds to the BYU 15 Merlin Robertson fumbled, recovered by BYU Tyler Allgeier

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 7 yds to the BYU 22

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Omarr Norman-Lott) to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 3 yds to the BYU 43

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.89

Tyler Allgeier run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 38

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Lopini Katoa run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 1 yd to the ArzSt 30

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.29

Jaren Hall sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 37

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 32 yds, fair catch by LV Bunkley-Shelton at the ArzSt 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 9

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Rachaad White run for no gain to the ArzSt 9

3rd & 6Penalty-4 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (Henry Hattis) to the ArzSt 5

3rd & 10Penalty-2 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Johnson) to the ArzSt 3

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 17 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 24

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Dohnovan West) to the ArzSt 19

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Henry Hattis) to the ArzSt 14

2nd & 16Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Daniels sacked by Pepe Tanuvasa for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 6

3rd & 24Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.01

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 8 yds to the ArzSt 14

4th & 16Punt-4 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 59 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 23 Hobbs Nyberg fumbled, recovered by BYU

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Tyler Allgeier run for 17 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaren Hall run for 7 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Omarr Norman-Lott) to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Lopini Katoa run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 20

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.45

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 17

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Jaren Hall run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the ArzSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Baylor Romney pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-Shelton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.84

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 19 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ben Scott) to the ArzSt 37

1st & 20Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Jayden Daniels run for 18 yds to the BYU 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 18 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
4th

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th