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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
App StateApp State
45
-Final
7
TroyTroy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 13

Home Win Probability

Troy 20%

Market (consensus)

Troy +9.5

Edge: App State -9.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
37211445
TroyTroy
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-37-177-317-387-45
TroyApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTROASTO663ydFG1281ydTD475ydMISS925ydPUNT36ydTO412ydPUNT3-6ydDOWNS518ydPUNT39ydPUNT615ydPUNT3-6ydTD661ydEND1-2ydTD664ydTO10ydTD110ydDOWNS620ydTD845ydPUNT3-5ydTD958ydDOWNS47ydTD1132ydPUNT3-9ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Troy
StatisticApp StateTroy
Passing17-2411-21
Pass Yards212109
Rush Yards23333
Total Yards445142
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-141-9
Penalties8-655-41
Possession43:1716:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Chase Brice
17/24, 212 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Nate Noel
15 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
7 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
11/21, 109 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kimani Vidal
10 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Tez Johnson
4 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 12 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 37

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass to the right incomplete intended for BARBER, Jabre thrown to the TRO47. PENALTY APP Holding on JONES, Steven enforced 10 yards from the TRO37 to the TRO47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

VIDAL, Kimani rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the TRO50 (JACKSON, D'Marco;EARLE, Jordon). PENALTY APP Offsides on DINGLE-PRINCE, DeAndre enforced 5 yards from the TRO47 to the APP48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.46

Kimani Vidal run for 36 yds to the AppSt 12

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.39

Nate Noel run for 22 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.49

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 35 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Nate Noel run for 12 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 2 yds to the Troy 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the Troy 11

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the Troy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 3 yds to the Troy 12

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the Troy 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Chandler Staton 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 26 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 10 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.58

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 37 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+41 yds

Kyle Coale kickoff for 44 yds , Malik Williams return for 41 yds to the Troy 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the Troy 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the Troy 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the Troy 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 2 yds to the Troy 20

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

TROY Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Troy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the Troy 11

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Corey Sutton) to the Troy 16

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the Troy 10

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Noel run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 13

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Chandler Staton 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 19

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the Troy 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 44 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 42

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.29

Chase Brice pass intercepted return for no gain to the Troy 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 35

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.26

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 33

4th & 16Punt+27 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 49 yds , Malik Williams returns for 27 yds to the AppSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 10 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the Troy 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.74

Chase Brice pass intercepted return for no gain to the Troy 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 10 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.49

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 34

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jamontez Woods run for 3 yds to the Troy 24

2nd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.46

Gunnar Watson sacked by T.D. Roof for 0 yards to the Troy 15

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 15

4th & 16Punt+45 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds , Malik Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 39

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.80

Nate Noel run for 24 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the Troy 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 3 yds to the Troy 21

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.22

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 21 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 30 yds , Brooks Weeks return for no gain to the Troy 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Kyle Coale kickoff for 39 yds , Milan Tucker return for 10 yds to the AppSt 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 42 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the Troy 13

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the Troy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the Troy 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Gunnar Watson pass intercepted return for no gain to the Troy 10

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 10 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

VIDAL, Kimani rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards to the TRO20 (HAMPTON, Nick;ROOF, T.D.). PENALTY APP Offsides on HUFF, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the TRO25 to the TRO30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.81

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 2 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 6 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 45

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Troy 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.31

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 10 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the Troy 11

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the Troy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Nate Noel run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 59 yds , Markeis Colvin return for 15 yds to the Troy 21

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 16

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.76

Camerun Peoples run for 13 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PEOPLES, Camerun rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the TRO43 (JIBUNOR, Richard). PENALTY APP Holding on DALEY, Damion enforced 10 yards from the TRO42 to the APP48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty+15 yds

BRICE, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for HORN, Christan thrown to the TRO9. PENALTY TRO Pass Interference on SLOCUM, Craig enforced 15 yards to the TRO37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Block below the waist enforced (-15 Yards) to the Troy 49

1st & 22Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.66

Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 27 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

TROY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Craig Slocum) to the Troy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the Troy 6

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Troy 4

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Troy 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds to the Troy 30

4th & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.11

Gunnar Watson pass complete to B.J. Smith for 2 yds to the Troy 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the Troy 26

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the Troy 24

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.04

Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the Troy 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 20

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Jahmir Smith run for 7 yds to the Troy 13

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Jahmir Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jahmir Smith run for 8 yds to the Troy 3

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.14

Jacob Huesman run for 2 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 19

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 23

3rd & 12Sack0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyle Toole sacked by Logan Doublin for 0 yards to the Troy 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.29

Anderson Castle run for 9 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
15%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
23%
13 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play