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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 4.8

Home Win Probability

Troy 61%

Market (consensus)

Troy -3.5

Edge: Troy -3.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
777324
TroyTroy
10210031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-1310-717-731-731-1431-2131-24
TroySouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSASATROSATROTROSATROSATROSATROTD1088ydPUNT36ydTO1-2ydFG617ydPUNT34ydTD1185ydPUNT832ydTD576ydDOWNS619ydTD653ydTD23ydPUNT35ydPUNT39ydTD947ydEND1-2ydTO834ydTD1976ydPUNT69ydFG1349ydPUNT438ydDOWNS819ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Troy
StatisticSouth AlabamaTroy
Passing23-3517-25
Pass Yards187201
Rush Yards148107
Total Yards335308
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-166-12
Penalties3-303-25
Possession36:2523:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Desmond Trotter
20/32, 138 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Terrion Avery
23 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
11/14, 121 YDS
rushing
B.J. Smith
12 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Luke Whittemore
3 REC, 59 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Kyle Coale kickoff for 60 yds , Devin Rockette return for 7 yds to the SAlab 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the SAlab 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Jake Bentley run for 12 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 14 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the Troy 36

2nd & 8Penalty+27 yds

TROY Penalty, Roughing the Passer on SOLOMON, Javon enforced half the distance from the goal (Javon Solomon) to the Troy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Desmond Trotter 4 Yd Run (Diego Guajardo Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Diego Guajardo kickoff for 58 yds , Markeis Colvin return for 17 yds to the Troy 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 24

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.85

run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 22 fumbled, recovered by Troy Antonio Showers

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing the Passer on COLEMAN III, Charles enforced half the distance from the goal ( Yards) to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the SAlab 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Gunnar Watson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jamontez Woods run for 2 yds to the SAlab 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Brooks Buce 22 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Kyle Coale kickoff for 58 yds , Devin Rockette return for 22 yds to the SAlab 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the SAlab 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 52 yds, downed at the Troy 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 5 yds to the Troy 20

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 12 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.33

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 28 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the SAlab 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 4 yds to the SAlab 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.36

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Orlando Lacey for 6 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Gunnar Watson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 12

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Kimani Vidal run for 9 yds to the SAlab 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jamontez Woods 3 Yd Run (Brooks Buce Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kyle Coale kickoff for 53 yds , return for no gain to the SAlab 4

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.45

Terrion Avery run for 14 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 17

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Desmond Trotter run for 10 yds to the SAlab 27

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.49

Caullin Lacy run for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 29

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 7 yds to the SAlab 36

4th & 4Punt+14 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 54 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 14 yds to the Troy 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offsides (Wy'Kevious Thomas) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

B.J. Smith run for 12 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Tez Johnson 31 Yd Run (Brooks Buce Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 8 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Bryan Hill run for 5 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Bryan Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 7 yds to the Troy 47

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for no gain to the Troy 47

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre Young) to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Demontrez Brown for 6 yds to the SAlab 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jamontez Woods run for no gain to the SAlab 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.03

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Demontrez Brown for 27 yds to the SAlab 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jamontez Woods 3 Yd Run (Brooks Buce Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 3 yds to the SAlab 28

2nd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+32 ydsPPA -7.63

KJ Robertson 32 Yd Interception Return (Brooks Buce Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Kyle Coale kickoff for 49 yds , AJ Phillips return for 16 yds to the SAlab 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryan Hill run for 5 yds to the SAlab 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 1 yd to the SAlab 38

3rd & 4Sack0 ydsPPA -0.63

Desmond Trotter sacked by Javon Solomon for 0 yards to the SAlab 37

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 53 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 3 yds to the Troy 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the Troy 22

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 43 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 3 yds to the Troy 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Terrion Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 49

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the Troy 45

4th & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.26

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Terrion Avery for 10 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.97

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 16 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 8 yds to the Troy 11

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Terrion Avery 11 Yd pass from Desmond Trotter (Diego Guajardo Kick)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 2 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 13 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 6 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.54

Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 21 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.18

Jabre Barber run for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 41

2nd & 18Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.91

Taylor Powell pass intercepted return for no gain to the SAlab 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Desmond Trotter run for 9 yds to the SAlab 33

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jacob Hopper for no gain to the SAlab 33

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.27

Terrion Avery run for 9 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 3 yds to the SAlab 47

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Desmond Trotter run for 8 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 14 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the Troy 26

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.92

Terrion Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 28

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Desmond Trotter run for 7 yds to the Troy 21

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Bryan Hill run for 2 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 8 yds to the Troy 11

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Bryan Hill run for 7 yds to the Troy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Bryan Hill run for 1 yd to the Troy 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryan Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 4

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the Troy 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Terrion Avery 3 Yd pass from Desmond Trotter (Diego Guajardo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Taylor Powell pass complete to Demontrez Brown for 4 yds to the Troy 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (Kannon Biggs) to the Troy 26

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

POWELL, Taylor sacked for a loss of 11 yards at the TRO15 (COLEMAN III, Charles). PENALTY USA Offsides on BELL, Christian enforced 5 yards from the TRO26 to the TRO31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.93

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 16 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the Troy 41

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Bryan Hill run for 8 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bryan Hill run for no gain to the Troy 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 11 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the Troy 19

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the Troy 14

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the Troy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the Troy 10

3rd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.41

Desmond Trotter sacked by Javon Solomon for 0 yards to the Troy 16

4th & 15Field Goal Good+34 yds

Diego Guajardo 34 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Diego Guajardo kickoff for 61 yds , Markeis Colvin return for 5 yds to the Troy 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.36

Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 34 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 47

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 46 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 3 yds to the SAlab 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 3 yds to the SAlab 13

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 12

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Terrion Avery for 7 yds to the SAlab 19

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 3 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 24

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Desmond Trotter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 29

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.05

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.27

B.J. Smith run for 18 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
31%
29 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
6 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
57%
23 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th