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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1
Southern
3
-Final
55
TroyTroy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Troy 52%

Market (consensus)

Troy -25

Edge: Southern +25 (23.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern
03003
TroyTroy
142014755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-328-334-341-348-355-3
TroySouthern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROSOUTROSOUTROSOUSOUTROSOUTROSOUTROSOUTROSOUTROSOUTROSOUTROSOUDOWNS1376ydPUNT3-5ydTD669ydPUNT422ydTO878ydTD32ydFG1264ydTD1175ydTO319ydTD311ydTO312ydEND1-1ydPUNT511ydTD458ydPUNT619ydPUNT3-7ydTO20ydTD636ydPUNT630ydTD1586ydEND316yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern and Troy
StatisticSouthernTroy
Passing12-2122-32
Pass Yards108300
Rush Yards81164
Total Yards189464
Turnovers41
3rd Down3-118-12
Penalties9-823-25
Possession27:2932:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern
passing
Ladarius Skelton
7/11, 85 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Devon Benn
11 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Tyler Kirkwood
4 REC, 39 YDS
defense
Troy
passing
Taylor Powell
17/27, 231 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kimani Vidal
15 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tez Johnson
5 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Taylor Powell pass complete to AJ Lewis for 8 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Taylor Powell pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 19 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Sthrn 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Taylor Powell pass complete to Demontrez Brown for 4 yds to the Sthrn 42

4th & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.17

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 22 yds to the Sthrn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the Sthrn 17

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the Sthrn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Sthrn 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Taylor Powell 1 Yd Run (Brooks Buce Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ladarius Skelton run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 27

3rd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -0.22

Ladarius Skelton sacked by Luis Medina for 0 yards to the Sthrn 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Martel Fontenot punt for 49 yds, downed at the Troy 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Taylor Powell pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 8 yds to the Troy 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHERN Penalty, Roughing the Passer on D.Cotton enforced (Davin Cotton) to the Sthrn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.19

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 26 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Travis O'Connor for 21 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 48

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Jamar Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 46

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Ladarius Skelton run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Martel Fontenot punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

B.J. Smith run for 9 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.60

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 25 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 10 yds to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.79

Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 28 yds to the Sthrn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

B.J. Smith run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -4.67

Taylor Powell pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Craig Nelson run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 8

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+19 ydsPPA -6.73

Zion Williams 19 Yd Interception Return (Brooks Buce Kick)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.81

Ladarius Skelton run for 21 yds to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Devon Benn for 6 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Craig Nelson run for 3 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ladarius Skelton sacked by Will Choloh for 0 yards to the Troy 49

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.41

Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Jamar Washington for 20 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Tyler Kirkwood for 11 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Devon Benn run for 4 yds to the Troy 14

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ladarius Skelton run for no gain to the Troy 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Martel Fontenot 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 6 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 7 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Kimani Vidal run for 15 yds to the Sthrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 44

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 16 yds to the Sthrn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 9 yds to the Sthrn 20

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Taylor Powell pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 17 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Jamar Washington for 6 yds to the Sthrn 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Tyler Kirkwood for 13 yds to the Sthrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.63

Ladarius Skelton pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN Penalty, Offsides (Tyran Nash) to the Sthrn 11

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jamontez Woods run for no gain to the Sthrn 11

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Devon Benn run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

John Lampley pass complete to Jamar Washington for 5 yds to the Sthrn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

John Lampley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 37

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Devon Benn run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Ladarius Skelton run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.94

Ladarius Skelton run for a loss of 10 yards to the Sthrn 25

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Craig Nelson run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 27

3rd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Tyler Kirkwood for 8 yds to the Sthrn 35

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Martel Fontenot punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

#0 K.Vidal rush up the middle for a loss of 8 yards to the TRY35 (#32 J.Lewis), score nullified by penalty. PENALTY SOU Offsides on #32 J.Lewis enforced 5 yards from the TRY43 to the TRY48 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHERN Penalty, Targeting on L.Barber enforced (Lyston Barber) to the Sthrn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Kimani Vidal run for 37 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.62

John Lampley pass complete to Brandon Hinton for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 13

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

John Lampley pass complete to Craig Nelson for 9 yds to the Sthrn 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.99

John Lampley pass complete to Craig Nelson for 5 yds to the Sthrn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Travien Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

John Lampley pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ladarius Skelton run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Martel Fontenot punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 32

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

#7 T.Powell scrambles to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the TRY42 (#56 T.Nash), score nullified by penalty. PENALTY TRY Holding on #65 D.Bradshaw enforced 10 yards from the TRY32 to the TRY22 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 26

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chandler Whitfield at the Sthrn 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

John Lampley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.35

John Lampley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 27

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

B.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

B.J. Smith run for 16 yds to the Sthrn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Whitfield run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Devon Benn run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Devon Benn run for 12 yds to the Sthrn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Devon Benn run for no gain to the Sthrn 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Tyler Kirkwood for 7 yds to the Troy 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Martel Fontenot punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd to the Troy 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 6 yds to the Troy 21

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.81

Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 20

1st & 15Penalty-10 yds

#1 J.Woods rush up the middle for a gain of 10 yards to the TRY30 (#35 K.Davis), score nullified by penalty. PENALTY TRY Holding on #53 B.Hudson enforced 10 yards from the TRY22 to the TRY12 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 23Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.70

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Demontrez Brown for 30 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd to the Troy 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.35

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 18 yds to the Sthrn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jamontez Woods run for no gain to the Sthrn 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jabre Barber for 4 yds to the Sthrn 35

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 36

4th & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Jamontez Woods run for 17 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Jamontez Woods for 11 yds to the Sthrn 10

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN Penalty, Offsides (Andre Jones) to the Sthrn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jamontez Woods run for no gain to the Sthrn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Travien Benjamin run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 14

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Devon Benn run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 18

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.19

Travien Benjamin run for 10 yds to the Sthrn 28

Situational Analysis

Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play