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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 8.1

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 21%

Market (consensus)

Bowling Green +6.5

Edge: Ohio -6.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OhioOhio
0100010
Bowling GreenBowling Green
373821

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-1010-1013-1018-1021-10
Bowling GreenOhio

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIFG1470ydPUNT31ydPUNT519ydTD986ydDOWNS720ydFG730ydTD970ydTO32ydMISS46ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydEND1-1ydPUNT38ydPUNT959ydDOWNS58ydFG43ydPUNT3-12ydDOWNS1147ydSAF1-3ydFG1251ydTO942ydFG77ydTO651yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio and Bowling Green
StatisticOhioBowling Green
Passing12-2424-37
Pass Yards103255
Rush Yards12094
Total Yards223349
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-118-19
Penalties4-314-30
Possession23:0037:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio
passing
Kurtis Rourke
12/24, 103 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Kurtis Rourke
9 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Ryan Luehrman
4 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Matt McDonald
24/37, 255 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nick Mosley
15 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Austin Osborne
8 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Darren Anders
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 12 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt McDonald run for 5 yds to the Ohio 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Mosley run for 4 yds to the Ohio 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Nick Mosley run for no gain to the Ohio 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.01

Matt McDonald run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.82

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 31 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 9

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the Ohio 4

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the Ohio 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Nate Needham 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the Ohio 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox

4th & 9Punt+16 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 54 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 16 yds to the BwGrn 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.52

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 18 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the Ohio 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 5 yds to the Ohio 19

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Kurtis Rourke run for 20 yds to the Ohio 39 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, forced by Devin Taylor, recovered by Ohio for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Ohio 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 1 yd to the Ohio 48

4th & 1Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.83

Kurtis Rourke run for 45 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Alec Burton for 6 yds to the BwGrn 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the BwGrn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Armani Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 9 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 9 yds to the BwGrn 37

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.73

Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.48

De'Montre Tuggle run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Alec Burton

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to De'Montre Tuggle

4th & 6Field Goal Good+22 yds

Stephen Johnson 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Nick Mosley run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Mosley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY OU Offside (Henderson,Bralen) 5 yards from BG 50 to OU 45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 11 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the Ohio 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.75

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 19 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 14

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.91

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 19

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.16

Kurtis Rourke pass intercepted

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.05

Matt McDonald sacked by Roman Parodie for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 39

2nd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 2 yds to the Ohio 37

3rd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.50

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 12 yds to the Ohio 25

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Nate Needham 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isiah Cox run for 1 yd to the Ohio 24

2nd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.45

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 18

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 38 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 6 yds to the Ohio 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 2 yds to the Ohio 43

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 44 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 16

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 10 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.54

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jhaylin Embry for 27 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McDonald,Matt pass incomplete to Broden,Tyrone PENALTY OU Pass Interference (Gregory,John) 15 yards from OU 44 to OU 29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 30

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Nick Mosley run for no gain to the Ohio 30

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nate Needham punt for 30 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Jake Neatherton run for 12 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ty Walton

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom

4th & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jonah Wieland run for 6 yds to the Ohio 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Taron Keith

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taron Keith run for no gain to the Ohio 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the Ohio 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Nate Needham 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.19

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 16 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kurtis Rourke , return for 0 yards

4th & 22Punt+9 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 43 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 4 yds to the Ohio 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Taron Keith run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 10 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Taron Keith run for 6 yds to the Ohio 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 9 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 6 yds to the Ohio 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

4th & 1Rush+2 yds

Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 3

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY OU False Start (Titsworth,Parker) 1 yard from OU 03 to OU 02. NO PLAY.

1st & 11Safety+2 ydsPPA -1.96

Armani Rogers run for 2 yds for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taron Keith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 32

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BG False Start (Zimmerly,Cade) 5 yards from BG 32 to BG 27. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.51

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 19 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon Croom

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 7 yds to the Ohio 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 11 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Taron Keith run for 4 yds to the Ohio 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Matt McDonald run for 9 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 2 yds to the Ohio 24

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 yds

Nate Needham 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the Ohio 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.33

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 25 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 45

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles Cross

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Rourke,Kurtis pass incomplete to Cross,Miles PENALTY OU Holding (Atkinson,Christophe) 10 yards from BG 31 to BG 41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33

4th & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -1.36

Kurtis Rourke pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Taron Keith run for 2 yds to the Ohio 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taron Keith run for no gain to the Ohio 26

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Taron Keith run for 10 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY BG False Start (Murphy,Jordan) 5 yards from OU 16 to OU 21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Taron Keith run for 2 yds to the Ohio 19

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Taron Keith run for 2 yds to the Ohio 17

3rd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 21

4th & 15Field Goal Good+39 yds

Nate Needham 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 6 yds to the Ohio 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 10 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 23 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 9 yds to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.32

Kurtis Rourke pass intercepted, touchback.

Situational Analysis

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
54%
13 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays