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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ball State by 15

Home Win Probability

Ball State 81%

Market (consensus)

Ball State -6

Edge: Ball State -6 (9.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
03003
Ball StateBall State
1433020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-317-320-3
Ball StateBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFPUNT36ydTO828ydTD1142ydPUNT31ydTD36ydFG1567ydPUNT1026ydPUNT1034ydFG1057ydEND11ydPUNT33ydPUNT623ydPUNT418ydFG938ydPUNT624ydPUNT38ydTO310ydPUNT622ydTO850ydPUNT36ydTO1483ydPUNT31ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Ball State
StatisticBuffaloBall State
Passing18-3919-31
Pass Yards188176
Rush Yards14854
Total Yards336230
Turnovers40
3rd Down9-186-17
Penalties4-306-45
Possession29:4030:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Matt Myers
18/39, 188 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Matt Myers
16 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Ron Cook Jr.
4 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
19/31, 176 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Carson Steele
25 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Jayshon Jackson
9 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Hassan Littles

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Dylan McDuffie run for 7 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Matt Myers pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 8 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the Buff 47

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.64

Dylan McDuffie run for 7 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the BalSt 46

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Matt Myers run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.80

Matt Myers pass intercepted

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.80

Matt Myers pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.38

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 10 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Buff 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 10 yds to the Buff 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Buff 20

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Hall,Justin rush for 5 yards gain to the BUF15 (Patterson,James) PENALTY BUF Offside (Williams,Daymond) 5 yards from BUF20 to BUF15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BSU False Start (Williams,Jordan) 5 yards from BUF09 to BUF14. NO PLAY.

1st & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Will Jones run for 4 yds to the Buff 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 8 yds to the Buff 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Buff 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the Buff 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt Myers run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie

4th & 9Blocked Punt+2 yds

Jackson Baltar punt blocked by Hassan Littles blocked by Hassan Littles , Brandon Berger returns for 2 yds to the Buff 6

4th & 9Blocked Punt+2 yds

Jackson Baltar punt blocked by Hassan Littles blocked by Hassan Littles , Brandon Berger returns for 2 yds to the Buff 6

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Buff 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Buff 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Matt Myers pass complete to Quian Williams for 7 yds to the Buff 21

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.66

Matt Myers run for 15 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Matt Myers pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Jake Molinich

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Matt Myers run for 7 yds to the BalSt 43

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the BalSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt Myers pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 5 yds to the BalSt 31

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Matt Myers run for 11 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 3 yds to the BalSt 17

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominic Johnson) to the BalSt 21

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 1 yd to the BalSt 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Alex McNulty 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 12 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 2 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the Buff 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.16

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the Buff 41

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

Plitt,Drew pass incomplete to Jackson,Jayshon, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BUF Offside declined BUF Pass Interference (Ingram,Ja'Marcus) 10 yards from BUF41 to BUF31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

3rd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.76

Drew Plitt sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Buff 43

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Matt Myers pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Matt Myers run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the BalSt 48

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.09

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the BalSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Jamari Gassett

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Jamari Gassett

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Carson Steele run for 8 yds to the BalSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Drew Plitt run for 9 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.39

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 32 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the Buff 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Hassan Littles

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 3 yds to the Buff 13

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BSU False Start (Blackwell,Curtis) 5 yards from BUF13 to BUF18. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jacob Lewis 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Matt Myers run for 1 yd to the Buff 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Tyler Stephens

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 31

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the BalSt 38

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the Buff 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Drew Plitt punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 5

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.43

Dylan McDuffie run for 13 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the Buff 18

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Marks Jr. run for no gain to the Buff 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Kevin Marks Jr.

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Baltar,Jackson punt 22 yards to the BUF40, out of bounds PENALTY BSU Running Into The Kicker (Coll,Casey) 5 yards from BUF18 to BUF23. NO PLAY.

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 48 yds , Hassan Littles returns for 1 yd to the BalSt 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the BalSt 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.19

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 25 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 10 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the Buff 23

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.41

Drew Plitt sacked by Daymond Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Buff 31

4th & 16Field Goal Good+48 yds

Jacob Lewis 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Myers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Matt Myers pass complete to Jake Molinich for 5 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.50

Matt Myers pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 29 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43

2nd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.26

Matt Myers sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Buff 49

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Quian Williams

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jackson Baltar punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 33

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 4 yds to the BalSt 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Matt Myers pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 8 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

Matt Myers pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BALL ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the BalSt 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.92

Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 18 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Matt Myers pass complete to Quian Williams for 12 yds to the Buff 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Matt Myers run for 7 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Matt Myers sacked by Jordan Ward for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 14

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Matt Myers pass complete to Bernard Porter for 16 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Quian Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Matt Myers pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 9 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Matt Myers run for 12 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.24

Matt Myers pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BalSt 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Quian Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Bernard Porter

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.80

Matt Myers pass complete to Bernard Porter for 16 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Matt Myers run for 8 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.90

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Matt Myers pass complete to Bernard Porter for 12 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Matt Myers pass complete to Bernard Porter for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Matt Myers pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 4 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Matt Myers run for 8 yds to the BalSt 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.00

Matt Myers pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 9 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Matt Myers run for 13 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Quian Williams

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.10

Matt Myers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 3

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 3

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Myers pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 5 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Quian Williams

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Myers,Matt pass intercepted by Riley-Scott,Jordan at BSU01, End Of Play PENALTY BSU Offside (Reichert,Nathan) 5 yards from BSU45 to BSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Matt Myers pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 9 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 1Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Matt Myers sacked by Keionte Newson for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 33

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BUF Illegal Snap (Polgar,Bence) 5 yards from BSU33 to BSU38. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Tyler Stephens

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
34 plays
2nd
14%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
100%
1 play
20%
10 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
14%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
4th
100%
2 plays