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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Michigan by 8.5

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 69%

Market (consensus)

Central Michigan -6

Edge: Central Michigan -6 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
711111039
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
14147338

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-714-1021-1028-1635-1835-2938-3638-39
Central MichiganNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMNICMNICMNICMNICMNICMNICMNICMNICMNICMNICMNITD389ydTD1275ydTD1070ydFG1076ydTD372ydPUNT413ydPUNT639ydPUNT34ydTD849ydTD1151ydEND532ydDOWNS520ydTD745ydTD175ydPUNT3-2ydFG1450ydPUNT523ydTD679ydFG1156ydFG1262ydTO1132ydEND1-28yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Central Michigan
StatisticNorthern IllinoisCentral Michigan
Passing18-2826-42
Pass Yards351311
Rush Yards197189
Total Yards548500
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-175-12
Penalties6-634-25
Possession36:0923:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Rocky Lombardi
17/27, 348 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jevyon Ducker
31 CAR, 183 YDS
receiving
Trayvon Rudolph
6 REC, 160 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Daniel Richardson
23/36, 289 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Lew Nichols
22 CAR, 192 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kalil Pimpleton
6 REC, 130 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds to the CMich 20

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 14 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Lew Nichols III run for 66 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rocky Lombardi run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Jay Ducker run for 16 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the CMich 44

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Jay Ducker run for no gain to the CMich 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the CMich 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Miles Joiner for no gain to the CMich 38

4th & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.74

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 14 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the CMich 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.29

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 21 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 6 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (Raishein Thomas) to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the NoIll 41

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Lew Nichols III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 5 yds to the NoIll 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 11 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kalil Pimpleton pass complete to Myles Bailey for 4 yds to the NoIll 14

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Myles Bailey run for 8 yds to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the NoIll 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.16

Jay Ducker run for 27 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 7 yds to the NoIll 49

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Rocky Lombardi run for 5 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from CMU46 to NIU49. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.21

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Troy Hairston II for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 41

2nd & 23Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.31

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 46 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the CMich 7

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jay Ducker run for no gain to the CMich 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Clint Ratkovich

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

Kanon Woodill 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Hunter Buczkowski

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +7.07

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 72 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Mason Blakemore run for 11 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Messiah Travis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the CMich 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Lew Nichols III pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 5 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Smith,Keegan) 5 yards from CMU23 to CMU18. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.42

Lew Nichols III run for 25 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyrice Richie at the NoIll 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jay Ducker run for no gain to the NoIll 8

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Fabian McCray

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the NoIll 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Marion Lukes for 7 yds to the NoIll 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Daniel Richardson run for 5 yds to the NoIll 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Remi Simmons

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the NoIll 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel Wilson

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.50

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 22 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Jay Ducker run for 13 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.02

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Miles Joiner for 28 yds to the CENTMICH 34 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Fabian McCray) to the CMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.09

Rocky Lombardi sacked by Gage Kreski for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 49

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the CMich 44

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the CMich 43

4th & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.41

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 15 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the CMich 31

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 11 yds to the CMich 20

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY CMU Offside (Bristol,Jacques) 5 yards from CMU20 to CMU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 15 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the CMich 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 9 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 2 yds to the CMich 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Lew Nichols III pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 13 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

run for no gain to the NoIll 45

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jay Ducker run for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NoIll 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the NoIll 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the NoIll 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the NoIll 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.96

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 20 yds to the NoIll 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 11 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the NoIll 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Lew Nichols III

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the NoIll 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 4 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 75 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 3 yds to the CMich 25

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 44

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Jay Ducker run for 15 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.52

run for 15 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 25Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.06

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 28 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the CMich 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 10 yds to the CMich 20

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Clint Ratkovich pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the CMich 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 7 yds to the CMich 9

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.43

Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start (Soraghan,Liam) 5 yards from CMU07 to CMU12. NO PLAY.

1st & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the CMich 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 5 yds to the CMich 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Fabian McCray

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Kanon Woodill 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 7 yds to the CMich 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 9 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the CMich 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 21

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Jay Ducker run for 16 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jay Ducker run for 12 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.07

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 50 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the CMich 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Marion Lukes for 16 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the CMich 47

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.37

Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas Dixon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds to the NoIll 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Goedeke,Luke) 5 yards from NIU36 to NIU41. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.18

Lew Nichols III run for 22 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the NoIll 20

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Myles Bailey run for no gain to the NoIll 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil Pimpleton

4th & 11Field Goal Good+38 yds

Marshall Meeder 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 36

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Rocky Lombardi run for 5 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Mohamed Toure

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 7 yds to the NoIll 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.52

Trayvon Rudolph run for 7 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.77

Jay Ducker run for 26 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the CMich 14

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the CMich 11

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the CMich 8

4th & 1Field Goal Good+26 yds

Kanon Woodill 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 15 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 12 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Lew Nichols III

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel Wilson

4th & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.82

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 22 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 3 yds to the NoIll 22

4th & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.84

Luke Elzinga run for 20 yds to the NoIll 42

1st & 10Penalty-28 yds

PENALTY NIU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Taylor,Demond) NIU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 28 yards from NIU42 to NIU14. NO PLAY.

2nd & 38Rush0 ydsPPA -0.01

run for no gain to the NoIll 14

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
9 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
80%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays