Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 5.7

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 62%

Market (consensus)

Western Michigan -7

Edge: Kent State +7 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
7106831
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
176271464

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-010-720-723-1430-1743-1757-2364-31
Western MichiganKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMKSWMKSWMKSWMKSWMKSWMKSKSWMKSWMKSWMKSWMKSWMKSWMKSWMKSWMTD873ydTD675ydFG1061ydPUNT38ydTD168ydPUNT3-8ydFG1049ydTD867ydFG666ydDOWNS711ydPUNT318ydEND1177ydTO226ydTD649ydPUNT3-2ydTD457ydPUNT3-17ydTD440ydPUNT31ydTD264ydTD575ydTD765ydPUNT417ydPUNT34ydTD742ydTD873ydPUNT37ydEND416yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Western Michigan
StatisticKent StateWestern Michigan
Passing19-3415-22
Pass Yards238307
Rush Yards124341
Total Yards362648
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-145-12
Penalties7-856-40
Possession22:1937:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Dustin Crum
15/26, 210 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Xavier Williams
4 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Dante Cephas
5 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
15/22, 307 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Sean Tyler
17 CAR, 169 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Hall
5 REC, 144 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Corvin Moment
3 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 27

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.69

Sean Tyler run for 21 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 43

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the KntSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the KntSt 43

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.05

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 13 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Nykeim Johnson run for 20 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.32

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 20 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the WMich 12

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Dustin Crum run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 26

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the WMich 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.43

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 14 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 18 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the KntSt 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Anthony Torres

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Nick Mihalic 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 36

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Crum, Dustin pass incomplete, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference 15 yards to the WESTMICH49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.00

Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 44

3rd & 17Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.50

Dustin Crum sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 34

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 32

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 68 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENT ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 18

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

3rd & 15Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.08

Dustin Crum sacked by Jake Moertl and Zaire Barnes for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 15

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.33

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 34 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 12 yds to the KntSt 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the KntSt 9

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the KntSt 6

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

Nick Mihalic 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 14 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 10 yds to the WMich 45

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 5 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.36

Xavier Williams run for 15 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 16 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTST pass interference 15 yards to the WESTMICH45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Sean Tyler run for 15 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete, PENALTY KENTST pass interference 15 yards to the KENTST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

KENT ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the KntSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 4

3rd & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Nick Mihalic 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 5 yds to the WMich 40

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.43

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 2 yds to the WMich 34

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KENT ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 46

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the KntSt 43

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Dustin Crum pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 6 yds to the KntSt 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante Cephas

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Marquez Cooper run for 12 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 3 yds to the KntSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante Cephas

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.50

Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.64

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 43 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the WMich 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 4

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the WMich 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Andrew Glass 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.37

Xavier Williams run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 49 Xavier Williams fumbled, recovered by WMich

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the KntSt 43

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.86

Sean Tyler run for 19 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dustin Crum pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 4 yds to the KntSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.90

Dustin Crum sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 24

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 47

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Moore, Skyy, PENALTY KENTST pass interference 15 yards to the KENTST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Dustin Crum sacked by A.J. Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 22

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

KENT ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 17

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

3rd & 20Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.05

Dustin Crum sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 10

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.19

Jaxson Kincaide run for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 31

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.19

Sean Tyler run for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Bryan Bradford run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.17

Dustin Crum pass complete to Luke Floriea for 48 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Bryan Bradford run for 13 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryan Bradford run for no gain to the WMich 16

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 16 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.74

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 12 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.00

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 33 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Collin Schlee run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 4 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Collin Schlee pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Collin Schlee pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 12

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 13

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 15

4th & 6Punt+16 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 43 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 16 yds to the WMich 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds to the WMich 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 11 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryan Bradford run for 1 yd to the WMich 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Collin Schlee pass complete to Raymond James for 6 yds to the WMich 17

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Bryan Bradford run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 20

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 15

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.19

Bryan Bradford run for 14 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Bryan Bradford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Schlee pass to Hayden Junker for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the WMich 32

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Sean Tyler run for 20 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 26

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.76

Kaleb Eleby run for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Collin Schlee run for 7 yds to the KntSt 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Collin Schlee pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Collin Schlee pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the WMich 32

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 34

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 42

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
53%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
73%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays