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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 80%

Market (consensus)

Western Michigan -12.5

Edge: Western Michigan -12.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
71072145
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
1433020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-717-1417-1720-1720-2420-3820-45
Western MichiganBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMWMBSWMTD175ydTD1375ydPUNT416ydTD1078ydPUNT516ydTO923ydTD237ydFG1241ydMISS850ydPUNT31ydFG634ydPUNT418ydPUNT33ydFG1167ydTD875ydTO523ydTD532ydTO317ydTD831ydDOWNS726ydPUNT3-1ydTD6-10ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydEND11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Western Michigan
StatisticBall StateWestern Michigan
Passing15-2619-35
Pass Yards310257
Rush Yards51119
Total Yards361376
Turnovers04
3rd Down4-108-16
Penalties3-354-23
Possession23:3736:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
15/25, 310 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Carson Steele
10 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Yo'Heinz Tyler
5 REC, 93 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Bryce Cosby
1 TFL, 1 PD
Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
19/33, 257 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
La'Darius Jefferson
21 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Skyy Moore
7 REC, 81 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 75 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 1 yd to the WMich 42

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.74

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the BalSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.56

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 21 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the BalSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the BalSt 4

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the BalSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 30 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the WMich 42

3rd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew Plitt sacked for 0 yards to the BalSt 41

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.62

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 30 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.00

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 22 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Mihalic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 16 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the WMich 45

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the WMich 44

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

PLITT, Drew scrambles to the right for a gain of 19 yards to the WMU25 (MOMENT, Corvin), out of bounds. PENALTY BSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the WMU44 to the BSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 16

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaylin Thomas) to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48

3rd & 3Sack0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kaleb Eleby sacked for 0 yards to the WMich 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 16 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 21 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the BalSt 35

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.37

La'Darius Jefferson run for 11 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the BalSt 13

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the BalSt 9

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 3

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the BalSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Nick Mihalic 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the BalSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.61

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 21 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 11 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 11 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the WMich 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jayshon Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

PLITT, Drew pass incomplete intended for LEZON, Ryan broken up by BARNES, Zaire at the WMU29. PENALTY WMU Offsides on BARNES, Zaire enforced 5 yards from the WMU29 to the WMU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+30 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 56 yds , Justin Hall returns for 30 yds to the BalSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 20 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.87

Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 16 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Drew Plitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 17

3rd & 12Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jake Chanove 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 17 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 41

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 9Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Will Jones run for 1 yd to the BalSt 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+25 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 35 yds BALL ST Penalty, Kick Catch Interference enforced at the deadball spot for (TEAM) to the WMich 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the WMich 36

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.67

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 12 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.88

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 27 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 14 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the BalSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Nick Mihalic 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 11 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the BalSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the BalSt 41

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.71

Drew Plitt run for 15 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Steele run for no gain to the WMich 33

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.54

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 33 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Jack Sape for 0 yards to the WMich 20

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.87

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 15 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the WMich 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.90

Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted return for no gain to the WMich 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Justin Hall run for 9 yds to the WMich 23

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.20

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the WMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Drew Plitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 24

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.25

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 24 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 11 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted return for no gain to the WMich 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the WMich 29

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Drew Plitt run for 9 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offsides (Andre Carter) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the WMich 17

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Carson Steele run for no gain to the WMich 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 7 yds to the WMich 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.11

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 25 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.74

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Anthony Ekpe for 0 yards to the BalSt 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the WMich 48

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Will Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the WMich 18

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Emeka Jillani for 0 yards to the WMich 17

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jack Salopek pass incomplete

4th & 14Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +7.36

Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Salopek pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SALOPEK, Jack pass to the right complete for 17 yards to WILSON, Henry caught at the WMU42 and advanced to the WMU42 (WAHEE, J.T.), out of bounds. PENALTY WMU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GIDEON, Jacob enforced 5 yards from the WMU25 to the WMU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMich 21

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 8 yds to the WMich 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Donny Marcus run for no gain to the BalSt 36

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the BalSt 37

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 48 yds , Bryce Nunnelly returns for 5 yds to the WMich 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMich 21

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
47%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
47%
34 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play