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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 2.8

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 56%

Market (consensus)

Western Michigan -2.5

Edge: Western Michigan -2.5 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
30003
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
1370323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-313-320-323-3
Western MichiganSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMSJSSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMSJSWMPUNT615ydFG652ydTD875ydTO10ydTD1141ydPUNT59ydPUNT30ydTO422ydTD655ydPUNT621ydPUNT638ydEND638ydPUNT512ydDOWNS634ydPUNT52ydDOWNS1054ydPUNT611ydPUNT421ydTO3-7ydFG43ydPUNT30ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-14ydPUNT39ydDOWNS44ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and Western Michigan
StatisticSan José StateWestern Michigan
Passing9-2617-28
Pass Yards59200
Rush Yards60147
Total Yards119347
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-133-14
Penalties8-7411-120
Possession22:0437:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Nick Starkel
6/14, 55 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Nevens
15 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Hamilton
3 REC, 27 YDS
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
17/28, 200 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sean Tyler
12 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Skyy Moore
10 REC, 104 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 29

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 2 yds to the WMich 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 10 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

STARKEL, Nick pass to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Malikhi thrown to the SJS43. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the WMU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

BRADDOCK, Jermaine pass to the right incomplete intended for BRADDOCK, Jermaine broken up by JACKSON, Dorian at the WMU37. PENALTY WMU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the WMU37 to the WMU22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the WMich 14

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the WMich 14

3rd & 2Sack0 ydsPPA -0.46

Nick Starkel sacked by Ryan Selig and Ralph Holley for 0 yards to the WMich 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+32 yds

Matt Mercurio 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 18 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 49

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.18

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the SJSt 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.23

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 17 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TYLER, Sean rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the SJS25 (DARDEN, Hadari;ANE, E.J.). PENALTY Before the snap, SJS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the SJS27 to the SJS22. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.05

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Sampson PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 10 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the SJSt 25

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.92

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 32

4th & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.41

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 17 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Christian Webb for 0 yards to the SJSt 22

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 27

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 22Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.73

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 24 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.02

Nick Starkel sacked by Ken Aguirre and Marshawn Kneeland for 0 yards to the SJSt 44

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+23 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 23 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 5 yds to the WMich 45

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nick Starkel sacked for 0 yards to the WMich 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.27

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds to the SJSt 37

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +5.07

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 37 yds for a TD (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the SJSt 47

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.61

Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the WMich 18

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Alii Matau) to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaleb Eleby run for no gain to the WMich 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 2 yds to the WMich 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 9

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.68

Tyler Nevens run for 25 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Starkel sacked by Ralph Holley for 0 yards to the SJSt 19

3rd & 16Penalty+15 yds

STARKEL, Nick pass to the left incomplete intended for BRADDOCK, Jermaine thrown to the SJS25. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on JACKSON, Dorian enforced 15 yards to the SJS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 27Penalty+10 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offsides (Ryan Selig) to the SJSt 27

3rd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 10 yds to the SJSt 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 27

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Starkel sacked by Ryan Selig for 0 yards to the SJSt 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jay Lenard) to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the SJSt 39

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.74

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the WMich 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nick Starkel sacked by Corvin Moment for 0 yards to the SJSt 41

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 30 yds, downed at the WMich 29

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 23

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the SJSt 15

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the SJSt 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 3 yds to the SJSt 12

4th & 2Sack0 ydsPPA -3.90

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Rico Tolefree for 0 yards to the SJSt 17

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

NEVENS, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the SJS18 (HOLLEY, Ralph). PENALTY SJS Holding on STEVENS, Tyler enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the SJS17 to the SJS8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Walker Eget pass incomplete

2nd & 19Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.80

Tyler Nevens run for 18 yds to the SJSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Walker Eget pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kenyon Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 28

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Walker Eget pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 20

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.54

Sean Tyler run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the SJSt 42

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

JEFFERSON, La'Darius rush to the right for no gain to the SJS42 (COBBS, Jordan). PENALTY WMU Holding on BROOKS, Mark enforced 10 yards from the SJS42 to the WMU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the SJSt 47

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

ELEBY, Kaleb pass to the right complete for 35 yards to MOORE, Skyy caught at the SJS12 and advanced to the SJS12 (SHELTON, Nehemiah). PENALTY WMU Holding on CALIENDO, Mike enforced 10 yards from the SJS47 to the WMU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Sack0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaleb Eleby sacked for 0 yards to the WMich 43 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for no gain to the SJSt 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Walker Eget pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Walker Eget pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the SJSt 31

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-15 ydsPPA -0.59

run for a loss of 15 yards to the SJSt 16 fumbled, recovered by WMich Ryan Selig

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaleb Eleby sacked for 0 yards to the SJSt 18

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the SJSt 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 1 yd to the SJSt 13

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 yds

Parker Sampson 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Walker Eget pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Walker Eget pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Walker Eget pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Will Hart punt for 58 yds , Bryce Nunnelly returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 15

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 11

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the WMich 15

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 5 yds to the WMich 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds, downed at the WMich 43

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.27

Natano Woods pass complete to Gavyn Tobin for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 49

2nd & 16Sack0 ydsPPA -0.83

Natano Woods sacked by Ralph Holley for 0 yards to the SJSt 46

3rd & 21Sack0 ydsPPA -0.24

Natano Woods sacked by Ali Fayad for 0 yards to the SJSt 43

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 53 yds, downed at the WMich 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the WMich 6

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the WMich 11

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 13

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds, downed at the SJSt 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WOODS, Natano pass to the right incomplete intended for HAMILTON, Isaiah thrown to the WMU12; QB hurried by HOLLEY, Ralph. PENALTY SJS Holding enforced 10 yards from the SJS41 to the SJS31. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Natano Woods pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 2 yds to the SJSt 33

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Natano Woods pass incomplete

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Natano Woods) to the SJSt 28

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Natano Woods pass incomplete

4th & 23Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.37

Kenyon Sims run for 17 yds to the SJSt 45

No play data available

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
48%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play