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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Coastal Carolina by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 30%

Market (consensus)

Buffalo +14

Edge: Buffalo +14 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina
777728
BuffaloBuffalo
1403825

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-1417-2117-2825-28
BuffaloCoastal Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFCCBUFCCBUFCCBUFCCBUFCCCCBUFCCBUFCCBUFCCBUFCCPUNT31ydTD755ydTD1286ydPUNT520ydTD484ydTD556ydMISS842ydMISS1362ydPUNT637ydEND622ydTD575ydFG1247ydPUNT418ydPUNT30ydTD725ydPUNT614ydTO366ydTD1692ydEND731yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Coastal Carolina and Buffalo
StatisticCoastal CarolinaBuffalo
Passing13-1913-21
Pass Yards232146
Rush Yards223262
Total Yards455408
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-99-16
Penalties3-303-15
Possession28:2631:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Coastal Carolina
passing
Grayson McCall
13/19, 232 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shermari Jones
16 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaivon Heiligh
4 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Silas Kelly
1 TFL, 1 PD
Buffalo
passing
Kyle Vantrease
13/20, 146 YDS
rushing
Dylan McDuffie
15 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dominic Johnson
6 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Kieran Colahan kickoff for 64 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 22 yds to the Buff 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 5 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 29

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Buff 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Kevin Marks Jr.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 36 yds , D'Jordan Strong returns for no gain to the CCaro 24 BUFFALO Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 45

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Reese White run for 17 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the Buff 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the Buff 31

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.70

Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 8 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 7 yds to the Buff 16

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.34

Grayson McCall pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 16 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)

2nd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Kieran Colahan kickoff for 61 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 10 yds to the Buff 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 9 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Dominic Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.86

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 18 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 48

2nd & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.49

Dylan McDuffie run for 25 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 2 yds to the CCaro 21

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 1 yd to the CCaro 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 14 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 60 yds , Manny Stokes Jr. return for 10 yds to the CCaro 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 9 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the CCaro 30

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 37

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Grayson McCall run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 35 Grayson McCall fumbled, recovered by CCaro

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 49 yds, downed at the Buff 16

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+61 ydsPPA +3.92

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 18 Kevin Marks Jr. fumbled, recovered by Buff Ron Cook Jr. Ron Cook Jr. run for 61 yds to the CCaro 21

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 5 yds to the CCaro 16

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 3 yds to the CCaro 13

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.13

Matt Myers run for 13 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+41 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 62 yds , Manny Stokes Jr. return for 41 yds to the CCaro 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron Brown

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.49

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 36 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Reese White run for 1 yd to the Buff 17

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 17 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khamran Laborn for 14 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Dylan McDuffie run for 12 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCaro 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan McDuffie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Matt Myers pass incomplete to Quian Williams

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Alex McNulty 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCaro 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 5 yds to the CCaro 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shermari Jones run for no gain to the CCaro 42

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.25

Reese White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyler Roberts

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the Buff 49

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.03

Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.59

Shermari Jones run for 19 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 14 yds to the Buff 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Reese White run for no gain to the Buff 8

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the Buff 4

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 5

4th & 0Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Liam Gray 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 5 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.71

Kyle Vantrease run for 23 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+6 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the CCaro 43

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Kevin Marks Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffie

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 12

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.39

Grayson McCall sacked by Taylor Riggins for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 6

3rd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 19 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Shermari Jones run for 17 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.53

Grayson McCall sacked by Taylor Riggins for a loss of 11 yards to the CCaro 31 Grayson McCall fumbled, forced by Taylor Riggins, recovered by CCaro

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.38

Shermari Jones run for 50 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Reese White run for 10 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the Buff 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 6 yds for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Kieran Colahan kickoff for 44 yds , Cole Burniston return for 14 yds to the Buff 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Buff 47

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Dylan McDuffie run for 15 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Quian Williams

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 11 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 6 yds to the CCaro 20

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Matt Myers run for 2 yds to the CCaro 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+36 yds

Alex McNulty 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 19 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 47

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Grayson McCall sacked by C.J. Bazile for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quian Williams at the Buff 26

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Buff 22

1st & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Bernard Porter

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+50 yds

Kyle Vantrease punt for 49 yds , Alex Spillum returns for 50 yds to the Buff 25

1st & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.25

Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the Buff 20 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-16 Yards) to the Buff 36

1st & 21Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Shermari Jones run for 18 yds to the Buff 18

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the Buff 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the Buff 5

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Shermari Jones run for no gain to the Buff 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Liam Gray KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Dylan McDuffie run for 5 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-20 ydsPPA -2.50

TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the Buff 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Buff Kyle Vantrease

2nd & 30Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Trevor Borland for 10 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 10 yds to the Buff 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 27

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCaro 17

1st & 20Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +4.42

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 58 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 18 yds to the Buff 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -4.80

Grayson McCall pass intercepted Logic Hudgens return for 8 yds to the Buff 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 5 yds to the Buff 13

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 14

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 16 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the Buff 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dominic Johnson for 5 yds to the Buff 45

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.20

Dylan McDuffie run for 10 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCaro 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCaro 37

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kyle Vantrease run for 1 yd to the CCaro 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Jake Molinich run for 2 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 18 yds to the CCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the CCaro 14

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 9 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Kevin Marks Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Kevin Marks Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Vantrease pass to Quian Williams for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Braydon Bennett run for 22 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Reese White run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 49

2nd & 13Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.35

Reese White run for 13 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Reese White run for 4 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.13

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 40

3rd & 12Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 44

Situational Analysis

Coastal Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays