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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 13.3

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 18%

Market (consensus)

Bowling Green +14.5

Edge: Bowling Green +14.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
0661022
Bowling GreenBowling Green
8011019

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014288-38-617-12
Bowling GreenSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SABGSABGSABGSASABGSABGSABGSABGBGSABGSABGSABGSABGSABGSAPUNT4-8ydUncategorized40ydPUNT40ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS632ydPUNT6-9ydTD397ydFG1340ydUncategorized837ydPUNT47ydPUNT935ydPUNT928ydPUNT54ydFG625ydEND10ydFG853ydTD675ydTD483ydPUNT714ydPUNT5-6ydPUNT931ydTO244ydPUNT615ydPUNT932ydTD1687ydTO3-1ydUncategorized33yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Bowling Green
StatisticSouth AlabamaBowling Green
Passing29-4623-33
Pass Yards257308
Rush Yards1149
Total Yards371317
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-192-12
Penalties2-2510-99
Possession35:2924:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Jake Bentley
29/46, 257 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Terrion Avery
20 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
7 REC, 95 YDS
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Matt McDonald
23/32, 308 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Terion Stewart
5 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Christian Sims
8 REC, 76 YDS
defense
Davon Ferguson
1.5 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for no gain for a SAFETY

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jake Bentley sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.35

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 19

3rd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.07

Kareem Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 17

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 15 , Caullin Lacy returns for 6 yds to the SAlab 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Christian Sims

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) to the SAlab 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to Kareem Walker

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.06
1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the SAlab 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kareem Walker run for 4 yds to the SAlab 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.30

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 20 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Davon Ferguson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 8 yds to the BwGrn 39

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 14 , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the SAlab 14

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.25

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (Jeremiah Banks-Wall) to the BwGrn 29

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

pass incomplete to Jaedyn McKinstry

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.01

Jake Bentley pass intercepted for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 6 yds to the SAlab 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the SAlab 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 24 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.15

Jake Bentley pass incomplete for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Diego Neri) to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Terrion Avery run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27
4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Diego Guajardo 22 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kareem Walker run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 4

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.00

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 26 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 38

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.35

Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 45 run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 45

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne, broken up by Darrell Luter Jr. BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (CJ Rias) to the SAlab 45

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+12 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 49 yds , Davon Ferguson returns for 12 yds to the BwGrn 25 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (Patrick Day) to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 7

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 6 yds to the SAlab 13

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Matt McDonald run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (CJ Thompson) to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16
2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.15

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 26 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the SAlab 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

3rd & 8Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.33

Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the SAlab 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kareem Walker run for 5 yds to the SAlab 25

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Terrion Avery run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 27

2nd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Bentley sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 28

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.57

Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 14 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Terrion Avery

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35
2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jhaylin Embry run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 2 yds to the BwGrn 19

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Diego Neri) to the BwGrn 14

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+41 yds

Diego Guajardo 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 9 yds to the BwGrn 39

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

3rd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 16 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 35

4th & 16Field Goal Good+40 yds

Nate Needham 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.73

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 51 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the SAlab 12

3rd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.10

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 22

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne, broken up by Tre Young

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kareem Walker run for 1 yd for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 15 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +2.33

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 42 yds to the BOWLGREEN 18 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Billie Roberts) to the BwGrn 9

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kareem Walker run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy, broken up by Sy Dabney

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.24

Matt McDonald pass complete to Andrew Bench for 33 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.52

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 47 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kareem Walker run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kareem Walker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 59 yds , Cade Sutherland returns for no gain to the SAlab 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -2.07

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Terion Stewart) to the BwGrn 20

1st & 25Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.23

Matt McDonald run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 29

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden, broken up by CJ Thompson

3rd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Lincoln Sefcik, broken up by Davon Ferguson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 6 yds to the SAlab 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Jake Bentley pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 6 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 14 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Jake Bentley sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the SAlab 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 2 yds to the SAlab 40

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.16

Jaedyn McKinstry pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.24

Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 44 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Kareem Walker run for 9 yds to the SAlab 29

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 45 yds , Davon Ferguson returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kareem Walker run for 4 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the SAlab 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.34

Jake Bentley pass complete to Kareem Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Lincoln Sefcik

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Banks-Wall) to the BwGrn 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.67

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 24 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 11 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Jamal Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 4 yds to the SAlab 39

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.22

Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 46

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.01

Terrion Avery run for 13 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 8 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalen Wayne) to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jake Bentley pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 4 yds to the SAlab 19

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the SAlab 23

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Terrion Avery run for 12 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Terrion Avery run for 11 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Jake Bentley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 11 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.42

Jake Bentley pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

4th & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.90

Jake Bentley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 20 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Bentley pass complete to Terrion Avery

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 13

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 9 yds Matt McDonald fumbled, recovered by SAlab Quentin Wilfawn

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jhaylin Embry run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72
3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
33 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play