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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 57%

Market (consensus)

Western Michigan -12.5

Edge: Illinois State +12.5 (10.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Illinois State
00000
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
7714028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-028-0
Western MichiganIllinois State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMISWMISWMISWMISWMISWMISISWMISWMISWMISWMISWMISWMTD1175ydPUNT37ydPUNT38ydTO31ydDOWNS517ydPUNT932ydTO1288ydPUNT3-5ydTD556ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-7ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-6ydTD849ydPUNT3-10ydTD1260ydPUNT30ydPUNT321ydPUNT39ydTO427ydDOWNS812ydPUNT37ydPUNT36ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois State and Western Michigan
StatisticIllinois StateWestern Michigan
Passing8-1915-22
Pass Yards29174
Rush Yards28233
Total Yards57407
Turnovers12
3rd Down1-138-15
Penalties6-523-20
Possession22:5237:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois State
passing
Bryce Jefferson
8/19, 29 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Carr
1 CAR, 13 YDS
receiving
Mitchell Lewis
1 REC, 8 YDS
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
15/21, 174 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
La'Darius Jefferson
18 CAR, 106 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaylen Hall
6 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 49

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the IllSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.79

La'Darius Jefferson run for 16 yds to the IllSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Anthony Torres for 8 yds to the IllSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the IllSt 20

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.16

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the IllSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the IllSt 11

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the IllSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Pha'leak Brown run for no gain to the IllSt 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Jabari Khepera

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 64 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 18

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 21

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

White,Nigel rush for 1 yard gain to the ISU40 (Fiske,Braden) PENALTY WMU Offside (Fiske,Braden) 5 yards from ISU39 to ISU44. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Nigel White run for 1 yd to the IllSt 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Austin Nagel

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU False Start 5 yards from ISU45 to ISU40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Jefferson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 4 yds to the IllSt 46

2nd & 6Penalty+7 yds

Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Tyler,Sean PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Wilhoit,Kenton) 7 yards from ISU46 to ISU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the IllSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the IllSt 33

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the IllSt 33

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.32

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jalen Carr run for 13 yds to the IllSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Pha'leak Brown run for no gain to the IllSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Austin Nagel for 7 yds to the WMich 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Zeke Vandenburgh run for 4 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 4 yds to the WMich 39

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU False Start (Deming,Bryson) 5 yards from WMU39 to WMU44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Bryce Jefferson run for 16 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevin Brown run for no gain to the WMich 28

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Bryce Jefferson sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 33

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jackson Waring run for 2 yds to the WMich 35

4th & 17Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 7

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.78

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 24 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 16 yds to the IllSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 4 yds to the IllSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the IllSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.14

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 19 yds to the IllSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 5 yds to the IllSt 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the IllSt 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Joey Lombardi

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryce Jefferson sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 6 yards to the IllSt 4

4th & 15Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.65

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 30 yds to the IllSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the IllSt 17

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Kaleb Eleby run for 3 yds to the IllSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 11 yds to the IllSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nigel White run for 1 yd to the IllSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nigel White run for 4 yds to the IllSt 30

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Vandenburgh,Zeke rush for 7 yards gain to the ISU37, out of bounds PENALTY ISU Holding (Bussone,Peter) 10 yards from ISU30 to ISU20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryce Jefferson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Zeke Vandenburgh for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 42

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Bryce Nunnelly

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

run for a loss of 1 yard to the IllSt 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the IllSt 10

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Tanner Taula

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.08

Bryce Jefferson sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 5 yards to the IllSt 5

4th & 16Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the IllSt 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 7 yds to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IllSt 44

1st & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the IllSt 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 10 yds to the IllSt 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the IllSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 24 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 6 yds to the IllSt 20

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for 5 yds to the IllSt 25

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryce Jefferson sacked by Matthew Stuckey for a loss of 9 yards to the IllSt 16

4th & 20Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.74

La'Darius Jefferson run for 21 yds to the IllSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the IllSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the IllSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the IllSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the IllSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the IllSt 17

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the IllSt 17

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.66

Kaleb Eleby run for 2 yds to the IllSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the IllSt 10

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.80

La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the IllSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nigel White run for 2 yds to the IllSt 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Jefferson run for 2 yds to the IllSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Hall,Jaylen PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Price,Braden) 15 yards from WMU23 to WMU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for no gain to the WMich 38

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WMU False Start (Gideon,Jacob) 5 yards from WMU38 to WMU33. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the WMich 40

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the WMich 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Spencer DeForest at the IllSt 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Bryson Deming

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Cole Mueller run for 5 yds to the IllSt 16

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Tanner Taula for 4 yds to the IllSt 20

4th & 1Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the WMich 39

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.79

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 14 yds to the IllSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Cole Mueller for no gain to the WMich 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Bryce Jefferson pass complete to Mitchell Lewis for 8 yds to the WMich 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Pha'leak Brown run for 1 yd to the WMich 40

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Tim McCloyn II run for 2 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Mueller run for 1 yd to the WMich 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Bryson Deming

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to TreShawn Watson

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

4th & 9Penalty0 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jarrell Jackson) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mareyohn Hrabowski pass incomplete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMich 42

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 2 yds to the WMich 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Spencer DeForest at the IllSt 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevin Brown run for 2 yds to the IllSt 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kevin Brown run for 4 yds to the IllSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryce Jefferson pass incomplete to Eric Rogers

4th & 4Punt0 yds

JT Bohlken punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMich 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 43

Situational Analysis

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
13%
15 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
45%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play