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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2021Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 29.4

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 96%

Market (consensus)

Miami (OH) -17

Edge: Miami (OH) -17 (12.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
70007
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
61414034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-713-720-727-734-7
Miami (OH)Bowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(M(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGPUNT34ydPUNT39ydPUNT624ydPUNT34ydTD162ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-8ydTD23ydPUNT618ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-1ydTD163ydPUNT38ydTO845ydPUNT3-8ydTD635ydPUNT37ydEND32ydTD183ydPUNT614ydPUNT34ydDOWNS625ydPUNT510ydTO10ydTD224ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS935ydDOWNS835ydPUNT33ydEND1062yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Miami (OH)
StatisticBowling GreenMiami (OH)
Passing13-3010-20
Pass Yards108227
Rush Yards150119
Total Yards258346
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-182-12
Penalties8-503-30
Possession30:4329:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Matt McDonald
13/28, 108 YDS
rushing
Nick Mosley
15 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Tyrone Broden Jr.
5 REC, 53 YDS
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
10/20, 227 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyre Shelton
9 CAR, 56 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jack Sorenson
4 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Matthew Salopek
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 64 yds , Taron Keith return for 19 yds to the BwGrn 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for no gain to the BwGrn 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jamal Johnson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew Homer

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 9 yds to the MiaOh 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BwGrn 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Taron Keith

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.70

Matt McDonald pass complete to Austin Osborne for 20 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Taron Keith

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

4th & 6Punt+11 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 11 yds to the MiaOh 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 33 yds, downed at the BwGrn 38

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Terion Stewart run for 62 yds for a TD, (Nate Needham KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 60 yds , Kenny Tracy return for 13 yds to the MiaOh 18

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Brett Gabbert sacked by Karl Brooks and Dontrez Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 17

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

4th & 5Punt+14 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 48 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 14 yds to the BwGrn 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.36

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 38

3rd & 15Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.31

Matt McDonald sacked by Dominique Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 35

4th & 18Blocked Punt+20 yds

Matt Naranjo punt blocked by Chris Cavalaris blocked by Chris Cavalaris Caiden Woullard return for 20 yds to the BwGrn 3

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the BwGrn 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson PAT BLOCKED)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 62 yds , Taron Keith return for 16 yds to the BwGrn 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

McDonald, Matt pass complete to Keith, Taron for 1 yard to the BOWLGREEN22, PENALTY BOWLGREEN holding (Banks-Wall, Jeremiah) 10 yards to the BOWLGREEN11, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Matt McDonald pass complete to Nick Mosley for 4 yds to the BwGrn 15

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.98

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 19 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 30

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 15 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 33 yds, downed at the BwGrn 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Terion Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 25

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.37

Matt McDonald sacked by Kameron Butler for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 20

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 46 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 63 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 13

1st & 20Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 53 yds , Jamal Johnson return for 21 yds to the BwGrn 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Cade Zimmerly) to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Terion Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds, downed at the MiaOh 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.65

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 25 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 45

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.33

Tyre Shelton run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andrew Homer

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 35

4th & 10Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -1.40

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted Deshawn Jones Jr. return for 6 yds to the BwGrn 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Taron Keith pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 6

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Matt McDonald pass incomplete

4th & 15Penalty-3 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Demetrius Hardamon) to the BwGrn 3

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds , Jalen Walker returns for 8 yds to the BwGrn 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jack Sorenson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.08

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 6 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Mac Hippenhammer) to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.33

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 25 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McDonald, Matt pass incomplete to Sims, Christian, PENALTY MIAMIOH pass interference (Boswell, Cedric) 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.68

Matt McDonald sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 32

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 30 yds, downed at the MiaOh 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kenny Tracy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Brett Gabbert sacked by Walter Haire for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 40

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Walker return for 11 yds to the MiaOh 17

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+83 ydsPPA +6.54

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 83 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 62 yds , Taron Keith return for 22 yds to the BwGrn 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

3rd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.75

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 20 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.60

Matt McDonald sacked by Dominique Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 33

3rd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Matt McDonald pass complete to Taron Keith for 6 yds to the BwGrn 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 1 yd to the MiaOh 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+7 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 46 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 12 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Nick Mosley run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 27

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Mosley run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23

4th & 1Sack-10 ydsPPA -3.48

Matt McDonald sacked by Mike Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.59

Brett Gabbert sacked by Sy Dabney for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 43

4th & 15Punt+10 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 45 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 10 yds to the BwGrn 22

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.61

Matt McDonald sacked by Kameron Butler for 0 yards to the BwGrn 24 Matt McDonald fumbled, forced by Kameron Butler, recovered by MiaOh Matthew Salopek , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 15

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Tyre Shelton run for 15 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

2nd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 64 yds , Taron Keith return for 20 yds to the BwGrn 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Nick Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 23

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Alex Padgett) to the BwGrn 18

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt McDonald sacked by Lonnie Phelps for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 12

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 47 yds, downed at the MiaOh 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 43

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Kenny Tracy run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kevin Davis run for no gain to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 26

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 25

4th & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.02

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Jamal Johnson run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.89

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 6 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Matt McDonald sacked by Ed Warinner and Caiden Woullard for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 46

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nick Mosley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Matt McDonald run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 41

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.54

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

David Afari run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

David Afari run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 44

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 41 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 9 yds to the MIAMIOH 47 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Block (Anthony Hawkins) to the BwGrn 12

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Nick Mosley run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Mosley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Tucker Melton pass incomplete to Bryce Boyer

3rd & 5Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.34

Nick Mosley run for 26 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Taron Keith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Nick Mosley run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Taron Keith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Taron Keith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 26

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
24%
21 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
14%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play